Posts by yieldcurve.pro
Carry is the income a bond earns above its funding cost. Rolldown is the price appreciation from aging down a positively sloped curve. Together they define the baseline return of every duration position. A walkthrough using t...
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/blog/carry-and-rolldown
Which begs the question: why do we need someone setting the Fed Funds Rate in the first place?
yieldcurve.pro - portfolio chart
How much should you invest in bonds?
A 30-year-old earning $75,000 with $50,000 saved should hold ~0% in bonds, according to lifecycle portfolio theory.
Customize your allocation at https://www.yieldcurve.pro/portfolio
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#YieldCurve #Treasuries
Regime: Bear Steep
(58 months of data)
Best avg monthly return:
reits: +0.61%
rates: +0.51%
commodities: +0.42%
Worst avg monthly return:
indices: +0.21%
currency: +0.00%
sectors: +0.00%
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/regimes
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#YieldCurve #Regimes #Rates
Front-end Treasury yields (1Mo to 1Yr) over the past quarter
Front End Monitor
Yield (1W chg bps)
1 Mo: 3.71% (-3)
3 Mo: 3.71% (-2)
6 Mo: 3.73% (-2)
1 Yr: 3.72% (-5)
Fed funds: 3.75%
3Mo near Fed funds (-4 bps)
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/levels
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#YieldCurve #Fed
yieldcurve.pro - odds chart
Prediction market update: Fed rate cut by....
Top outcome: December Meeting at 64%.
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/odds
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#YieldCurve #Fed
Top Stories
1. ETF of the Week: Shelton Equity Premium Income...
2. Massive News for Intel Stock Investors
3. Quantpedia’s Research Workflow: From Idea Disco...
4. Fed Disappointment May Make This Bond ETF Appea...
5. Wall Street Week | Fed...
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/news
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yieldcurve.pro - auctions chart
Recent Treasury auction demand.
View all auctions at https://www.yieldcurve.pro/auctions
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#YieldCurve #Auctions #Treasuries
yieldcurve.pro - The Laws of Trading: A Trader's Guide to Better Decision-Making for Everyone book cover
The Laws of Trading: A Trader's Guide to Better Decision-Making for Everyone by Agustin Lebron
www.amazon.com/Laws-Trading-Traders-Dec...
Top Stories
1. ETF of the Week: Shelton Equity Premium Income...
2. Recession Risks Are Rising According To Wall St...
3. Quantpedia’s Research Workflow: From Idea Disco...
4. Fed Disappointment May Make This Bond ETF Appea...
5. Wall Stree...
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/news
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Regime: Consolidation
(34 months of data)
Best avg monthly return:
rates: +0.20%
commodities: +0.14%
credit: +0.03%
Worst avg monthly return:
sectors: +0.00%
reits: -0.04%
indices: -0.09%
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/regimes
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#YieldCurve #Regimes
Thanks for the like @nonzerosumjames.bsky.social
We added your RSS feed to our curated news list.
Will gladly add others that you think fits our site's profile.
Consider signing up for a free account to check out some of our other user-only services.
Cheers -- YCP
Top Stories
1. ETF of the Week: Shelton Equity Premium Income...
2. Recession Risks Are Rising According To Wall St...
3. Taking Your ETF Strategy to Europe
4. Quantpedia’s Research Workflow: From Idea Disco...
5. Musk's xAI Turns To Wall S...
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/news
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Front-end Treasury yields (1Mo to 1Yr) over the past quarter
Front End Monitor
Yield (1W chg bps)
1 Mo: 3.74% (+1)
3 Mo: 3.73% (-1)
6 Mo: 3.75% (-4)
1 Yr: 3.77% (-3)
Fed funds: 3.75%
3Mo near Fed funds (-2 bps)
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/levels
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#YieldCurve #Fed
yieldcurve.pro - rolldown chart
Which Treasury tenor offers the best carry + rolldown?
See the sweet spot at https://www.yieldcurve.pro/rolldown
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#YieldCurve #Duration #Treasuries
The 2s10s steepener requires 4x capital, carries flat, and just ran into a bear flattener. Three calculators put exact numbers on every dimension of the trade's failure — tenor by tenor, basis point by basis point.
www.yieldcurve.pro/blog/anatomy-of-a-failed...
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📰 Curated Fixed Income News
Highly curated market and podcast news feed.
Recent highlights:
• ETF of the Week: Shelton Equity Premium Income ETF (SEPI)
• Recession Risks Are Rising According To Wall Street. Here...
• Analyst Report: Sun L...
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/news
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10-Year minus 2-Year Treasury spread over time
Duration Extension: Worth It?
2Y → 10Y trade-off:
• Extra yield: +49 bps
• Break-even: ~8 bps/year rate rise
If rates rise <8 bps over the next year, extension wins.
If rates rise more, price loss wipes out yield pickup.
2Y: 3.84% | 10Y...
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/slopes
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Give this classic paper a read
www.yieldcurve.pro/papers/salomon-brothers-...
This and other classic sources hosted for free at www.yieldcurve.pro
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#YieldCurve #FixedIncome
yieldcurve.pro - Essays On Trading Strategy book cover
Essays On Trading Strategy by Graham L. Giller
Practical trading strategies w...
www.amazon.com/Essays-Trading-Strategy-...
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Annual Fixed-Income Performance
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/blog/annual-bond-perf-001
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#YieldCurve #Treasuries
yieldcurve.pro - scenarios chart
What happens to bond prices if the Fed hikes 100bp? Or if a recession hits?
Simulate rate scenarios at https://www.yieldcurve.pro/scenarios
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#YieldCurve #Fed #Treasuries
Diversifying Return Stacked Allocations (Part 3)
www.yieldcurve.pro/blog/diversifying-return...
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#YieldCurve
Regime: Bull Steep
(69 months of data)
Best avg monthly return:
commodities: +0.91%
rates: +0.32%
credit: +0.11%
Worst avg monthly return:
sectors: -0.01%
indices: -0.01%
reits: -0.10%
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/regimes
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#YieldCurve #Regimes #Rates
yieldcurve.pro - Advanced Portfolio Management book cover
Advanced Portfolio Management by Giuseppe A. Paleologo
Portfolio cons...
www.amazon.com/Advanced-Portfolio-Manag...
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We built a daily fixed-income quiz, then four more calculators to help you study for it.
www.yieldcurve.pro/blog/the-yield-curve-has...
#YieldCurve
yieldcurve.pro - levels chart
Treasury yields for the 3 Mo Bill and the 10 Yr Note.
The 3 Mo and the 10 Yr ended at 3.72% and 4.20%, respectively.
https://www.yieldcurve.pro/levels
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#YieldCurve #Treasuries
yieldcurve.pro - Little Book That Beats The Market book cover
Little Book That Beats The Market...
www.amazon.com/Little-Book-Still-Beats-...
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Give this classic paper a read
www.yieldcurve.pro/papers/salomon-brothers-...
This and other classic sources hosted for free at www.yieldcurve.pro
✨
#YieldCurve #FixedIncome