U.S. Debt Draws Weak Demand as $10T Must Be Rolled Treasury must roll ~$10.0T in 2026 (Fortune, Mar 28, 2026); weaker auction demand and higher term premia are forcing yields up and stressing dealer capacity.

U.S. Debt Draws Weak Demand as $10T Must Be Rolled: Treasury must roll ~$10.0T in 2026 (Fortune, Mar 28, 2026); weaker auction demand and higher term premia are forcing yields up and stressing dealer capacity. 👈 Read full analysis #USDebt #Treasury #DebtMarkets #FinancialNews #YieldCurve

Fed Rate Expectations Tighten After Oil Rally 2-yr yield rose ~16 bps to 4.72% on Mar 23, 2026 as WTI jumped ~6.4% to $83.45; markets cut June Fed-cut odds from ~48% to ~24% (Seeking Alpha, CME FedWatch).

Fed Rate Expectations Tighten After Oil Rally: 2-yr yield rose ~16 bps to 4.72% on Mar 23, 2026 as WTI jumped ~6.4% to $83.45; markets cut June Fed-cut odds from ~48% to ~24% (Seeking Alpha, CME FedWatch). 👈 Read full analysis #FedRate #InterestRates #OilMarket #YieldCurve #WTI

Rising JGB yields are forcing a global yield curve steepening. This puts pressure on US tech’s forward P/E ratios. Investors are moving from growth-at-any-price to capital preservation as real rates climb. The "Widowmaker" trade has returned. #StockMarket #YieldCurve

It’s The Yield Curve: Why 2026 Could Surprise Investors
The yield curve is steepening, and this time it may signal a market rotation instead of a recession. Small caps, cyclicals, and financial stocks could benefit as investors rethink the 2026 market cycle. #investing #stockmarket #yieldcurve

A TradingView line chart comparing the US 10-Year minus 2-Year Treasury yield spread with the Federal Funds Rate from 2019 to 2026. The chart illustrates the yield curve inversion dropping below zero in 2022, a clear double-bottom pattern in 2023, and the curve turning positive (un-inverting) in September 2024, acting as a lead indicator before the Fed's first interest rate cut.

The bond market often prices in economic shifts long before they hit the Forex headlines. By tracking the spread between the US 10-year and 2-year yields, traders can identify changes in market sentiment regarding Fed policy and economic resilience. 📊
#Macro #Forex #YieldCurve #DXY #TradingView

Python examples for ‘Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model- agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation’ | R-bloggers Using yieldcurveml in Python examples for 'Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model- agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation'

Python examples for ‘Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model- agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation’

www.r-bloggers.com/2026/01/pyth...

#yieldcurve #quantfinance #quant

A steeper Treasury yield curve is a risk for private credit.  Because the average maturity of private credit bonds is approximately 7 years, a steeper yield curve may adversely affect this market. [Source: Strategas 26.01.06]

#LRGWealthAdvisors #privatecredit #investmentdvice #yieldcurve

Nothing to see here!! Hopefully.

10-2 crossing up 240 MA as a predictor of doom and gloom!!

#spy #stocks #stonks
#yieldcurve
#bonds
#treasuries
#recession

T. Moudiki's webpage Thierry Moudiki's personal webpage, Data Science, Statistics, Machine Learning, Deep Learning, Simulation, Optimization.

Python examples for 'Beyond Nelson-Siegel and splines: A model- agnostic Machine Learning framework for discount curve calibration, interpolation and extrapolation'

thierrymoudiki.github.io/blog/2026/01...

#python #yieldcurve #quant #quantfinance

Mortgage rates hit 2025 low as homebuyers catch a break Mortgage rates drop to their lowest point in 2025, offering potential relief for homebuyers in today's competitive housing market across the nation.

"After starting the year close to 7%, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage moved to its lowest level in 2025 this week, an encouraging sign for potential homebuyers heading into the new year," said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. #Yieldcurve #Reserves #financialconditions

Mortgage Rates Could Drop Below 6% in 2026 Mortgage rates could briefly drop below 6 percent in 2026 which could unlock parts of the Las Vegas Valley housing market, according to a new forecast.

Mortgage rates could briefly drop below 6 percent in 2026 which could unlock parts of the Las Vegas Valley housing market, according to a new forecast. #RealEstate #Yieldcurve #Reserves #Growth

Devlin Capital prepares for steeper yield curves in NA's major economies due to budget deficits & tax cuts. #YieldCurve https://fefd.link/hNio4

BasisPointInsight.com - India’s Bond Market Is No Longer Listening to the RBI by Madhavi Arora Rate cuts, benign inflation and strong growth optics should have eased yields. The bond market’s refusal to comply is a warning of deeper structural fault lines. by Madhavi Arora, BasisPointInsight.co...

Rate cuts, benign inflation and strong growth optics should have eased yields. The bond market’s refusal to comply is a warning of deeper structural fault lines.

Read Madhavi Arora's analysis: India’s Bond Market Is No Longer Listening to the RBI 👇

#BondMarkets #YieldCurve #MonetaryPolicy

11/
For regular chart-led macro insights from EFA, you can sign up to the free weekly chart pack here:
www.edinburghfinancialanalytics.com#sign_up

#YieldCurve #Macro #Banks #Markets #FixedIncome #Investing #USEconomy

1/
What (yield curve) do you want for Christmas? 🎄

Views on the US economy in 2026 are diverging fast.
Capex boom? Or labour-market wobble?

A short thread with charts...

#YieldCurve #Macro #Banks #Markets #FixedIncome #Investing #USEconomy

When the #yieldcurve speaks, wise investors listen. Everyone else refreshes Nvidia charts.

Rising yields + Rate Cut expectations = Policy Mistake Risk. If the Fed cuts and yields keep ripping, the market will break. I'm hedging with short-duration bonds until the dust settles. 🛡️ #Bonds #YieldCurve #RiskManagement

BasisPointInsight.com - State Borrowing Pressures Keep Long-End Yields on Edge by Yield Scribe State governments’ borrowing programme needed a fix three months ago and is now proving difficult to stabilise. by Yield Scribe , BasisPointInsight.com

4/4 Read Yield Scribe’s analysis for BasisPoint: State Borrowing Pressures Keep Long-End Yields on Edge 👇

#StateBorrowing #YieldCurve #FiscalPolicy #IndiaEconomy #RBI #DebtMarkets #MacroTrends

2 Bloomberg's Odd Lots: "'We observe a remarkable convergence in #yieldcurve shapes across #G10, even though #markets remain priced for a considerable divergence in monetary policy cycles,' Preusser says. 🧵
#bonds #bondmarkets

Interest Rates, Yield Curves, U.S. Treasury Security Yields

In place since May (2025), actionList.Pro's metaScan Panel highlights the (general) downside trend in U.S. Govt. Treasury Security Yields. #rates #interestRates #yieldCurve

THE MILLEGAN MEMO: SEPTEMBER 2025 — Woodworth Contrarian Fund Helen of Troy (HELE) is cheap, wheat commodity corners collapse in 1871, the Woodworth Fund releases its Q3 Newsletter, and the yield curve flips back. Different centuries, same story: the market alwa...

Helen of Troy (HELE) looks like $70 of assets for $26.
In 1871, wheat speculators lost to 567 train cars.
Now, the yield curve is back upright—but warning lights stay on.

Sept #MilleganMemo went out Sat for subscribers
Subscribe at the bottom of the article

#HelenOfTroy #YieldCurve #ValueInvesting

Monitor yield curve inversions to predict market downturns effectively. Monitor yield curve inversions to predict market downturns effectively.

#stockMarket #yieldCurve #investing Forecasting Stock-Market Trends with the Yield Curve 📈📉 www.linkedin.com/pulse/monito...

Bank of England Gilts Decision Risks £4 Billion Hit for Reeves Alongside its interest-rate decision on Thursday, the central bank will announce how quickly it plans to unwind its crisis-era quantitative easing portfolio in the coming 12 months — with potentially ...

Bank of England Gilts Decision Risks £4 Billion Hit for Reeves

uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/bank-en...

#BoE #gilts #QT #QE #interestrates #yieldcurve #yield

The yield curve has re-steepened after the record 2022-24 inversion. Treat this as a transition, not an all-clear: watch 2s10s/3m10y; consider extending some cash into short-to-intermediate IG/Treasuries to lock yields while keeping hedges. #YieldCurve #Bonds

Click Subscribe. #YieldCurve #Economy #Banking #Finance #Investing

🚨 Global Bonds Under Pressure as Long-Term Yields Surge 📉

finnewsnetwork.com.au/archives/fin...

#Bonds #Investing #GlobalMarkets #Inflation #YieldCurve #Economy

🚨 Global Bonds Under Pressure as Long-Term Yields Surge 📉

finnewsnetwork.com.au/archives/fin... @nigeljgreen.bsky.social

#Bonds #Investing #GlobalMarkets #Inflation #YieldCurve #Economy

Well, this looks interesting.
#finance #markets #investing #stocks #interetrates #yieldcurve

BMO: #Futures on the #S&P500 are little changed this morning, even as political overtones continue to threaten #Fed independence. Meantime, the #yieldcurve steepened, with the 10-year rising to 4.30%. #markets

US treasury auctions off $42 billion of 10 year notes at a high yield of 4.255% U.S. Treasury auctions off $42 billion up 10 year note * high-yield 4.255% * WI level at the time of the auction 4.244% * Bid to cover: 2.35X vs 2.58X six month average * Directs (domestic buyers): 19.61% vs 16.4% six month average * Indirects (international buyers): 64.23% vs 72.3% six month average * Dealers: 16.16% vs 11.2% six month average AUCTION GRADE: D It wasn't a total failure but the auction stunk. The bid to cover was low, the tail was high relative to the WI level at the time of the auction (and history). The international demand was low. The domestic demand was okay but it seems the domestic demand is being influenced by things like stablecoin demand. The dealers were saddled with a big amount at 16.6% well above the average of 11.2%. The auction stunk. Come to investingLive.com for your timely news with analysis This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

| etsy.me/3RHihSQ | ctrendfx.com #USTreasury #BondMarket #InvestmentNews #Finance #YieldCurve