I would also have said, "An improving economy". But, given what is happening with oil right now, I'm not sure that's going to play out in National's favour.
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Similarities between the '93 & '26 elections:
- Same major party leaders from last election.
- LAB looking to regain strongholds in AKLD.
- Former LAB Minister looking to regain (Mt) Roskill.
- Caucus dissatisfied with PM in March-April.
- Low major party vote share.
- Winston.
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I find it interesting that we're seeing more US-style candidate announcement videos this #2026NewZealandGeneralElection than in the past. The logic is pretty obvious. But it's interesting that it has taken this long to catch on.
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Tis election season.
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NZ First getting 17 MPs on the back of approximately 13.5% of the party vote.
And here I was thinking we were in a rerun of the 1990-93 cycle (but with MMP).
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