🚨 Just shipped a major update to GERDA, the German Election Database.
- State elections update: new years + mail-in
- 3 new election types: Mayoral, County, European
- Municipal elections: 1984-2025
- Meinungsbild public opinion
- New website & features
german-elections.com
Glad to see this out at @epsrjournal.bsky.social!
Using ESS data, Raquel Rego and I find that an anti-immigration stance is the strongest predictor of far-right sympathies among police and military personnel—similar to the general population.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review!
We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵
And there is more: @zachdickson.bsky.social and I are currently working on a major extension of PARTYPRESS. Stay tuned 👀 partypress.org
The paper is based on our PARTYPRESS dataset covering party press releases including issue labels for each text. doi.org/10.1177/2053...
Really excited to see my final dissertation paper out 🎉
Do parties shift their issue priorities when polls decline?
Looking at press releases from 68 parties in 9 countries, we find little evidence that they do.
Thanks so much for the invitation. I really enjoyed the workshop.
Big thanks to @zachdickson.bsky.social and @antvalentim.bsky.social for putting it together!
🗳️ Neue Prognose: Landtagswahlen in Baden-Württemberg (8. März) und Rheinland-Pfalz (22. März)
BW: Kopf-an-Kopf CDU vs. Grüne. RP: CDU und SPD fast gleichauf.
Unsere Modellvorhersage mit 5/6-Kredibilitätsintervallen und Szenario-Wahrscheinlichkeiten 👇
zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/f...
Day 1 wrapped up, excited for tomorrow 🤗
More and more young people are turning to the far right. Why and what can we do about it?
Join our #COVIDEU Workshop on Nov 21 (2–5 PM) to discuss causes and counter-strategies.
🚀 Hosted by @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
💡 Funded by @volkswagenstiftung.de
👉 Register: tinyurl.com/bdenyfnw
🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨
Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Very much looking forward to presenting recent experimental findings on voters’ perceptions of election polls @mzes-ssdl.bsky.social (@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social) next week!
Glad to see this out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! I show that the immigration-crime issue, when salient, can shift leftist cosmopolitans to the Right. This is due to leftist voters being more conservative on crime than leftist parties.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
💥 Update! 💥
This paper is now officially published in Volume 30, Issue 4 of The International Journal of Press/Politics! 🗳️
Experimental evidence that voters prefer moderately tailored messages - highly tailored ones can backfire & targeting can be too much: doi.org/10.1177/1940... #IJPP
Looking forward to presenting recent findings on the attitudinal effects of election polls later this term in Mannheim, in part based on joint work w/ @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social, @linushagemann.de, @hannahrajski.bsky.social, Thomas Gschwend, @lstoetze.bsky.social & @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social.
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.
😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.
👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.
A short 🧵
New paper out @wepsocial.bsky.social!
🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result.
Read full 🧵 below:
1/ New paper out in Electoral Studies with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social
We show that nuclear power plants reduce electoral support for Green parties in Germany.
🔗 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
A thread on the paper:
📣 Call for Applications 📣
3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀
Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social
Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us!
🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025
The Department of Homeland Security has spend over $800k worth of ads on Facebook and Instagram clearly targeted at people with Latin American / Mexican background telling them that "if you are here illegaly we will find you and we will deport you".
Very excited to present my paper with @heikekluever.bsky.social on the consequences of far-right parties in government at #EPSA2025 on Friday!
🗓️ Friday 4:50-6:30
📍 Room 0A.06 | Panel P10-S253
Are tailored ads in political campaigns as persuasive as conventional wisdom holds? 📢
In joint work w/ @heikekluever.bsky.social we present evidence from a field experiment with the German Greens ahead of the 2024 European Elections calling this into question 🤔
#epsa2025
⏰: Friday, 16:50
📍: 0A.10
That’s #EPSA2025 of course 😅
And last but not least, there is an overall imbalance by gender (about 60/40), but with variation across institutions.
There is also an interactive map on affiliations here: corneliuserfort.de/files/epsa20... (And yes, @gessler.bsky.social, the Viadrina is included in the maps this year!)
And a closer look at Europe
How are the affiliations spread out on the map?
This year's top individual contributors are @heikekluever.bsky.social and @tonirodon.bsky.social 🎉
In the top affiliations, we see some changes with Gothenburg gaining momentum, and the LSE losing its first place from last year. Happy to see Humboldt making it into the top 10!
(All figures are based on the number of (co-)authorships.)
