Australia says the threat is urgent.
So why is the response so slow?
Billions now. Capability later.
That’s not deterrence.
That’s delay.
open.substack.com/pub/jbruni/p...
#Australia #Defence #AUKUS #IndoPacific
Australia says the threat is urgent.
So why is the response so slow?
Billions now. Capability later.
That’s not deterrence.
That’s delay.
open.substack.com/pub/jbruni/p...
#Australia #Defence #AUKUS #IndoPacific
Full piece is up on Substack.
If it’s your kind of analysis, follow along—and subscriptions genuinely help keep this going.👇
jbruni.substack.com
Full piece is up on Substack.
If it’s your kind of analysis, follow along—and subscriptions genuinely help keep this going.👇
jbruni.substack.com
Australia runs on imported fuel.
What happens when supply is disrupted?
This is not hypothetical anymore.
New Bruni Brief 👇
youtu.be/tIpWrQ5MxRo?...
#EnergySecurity #Geopolitics #Australia #FuelCrisis
Australia runs on imported fuel.
What happens when supply is disrupted?
This is not hypothetical anymore.
New Bruni Brief 👇
youtu.be/tIpWrQ5MxRo?...
#EnergySecurity #Geopolitics #Australia #FuelCrisis
South Australia heads to the polls — but the real story is bigger.
A new episode of The Focus explores the future of Australian politics.
📺 Watch now: youtu.be/ufQvSVm72C4?...
#auspol #saelection
South Australia heads to the polls — but the real story is bigger.
A new episode of The Focus explores the forces reshaping Australian politics.
Dropping later today.
#auspol #saelection
No worries. And will do. Strange about the Spotify… here’s the link: open.spotify.com/episode/14mq...
I joined @thefocuspodadl.bsky.social for a talk about European security, the war in Iran, the U.S. administration, and the threat from Russia. You can listen to it here.
Thank you 🙏
It’s not surprising. Having lived there, they run a tight security ship. And now it’s a time of war, so it will be tighter.
Are we entering “World War E”?
In the latest episode of The Focus, John Bruni speaks with @anderspucknielsen.dk.
Could a deepening energy crisis eventually weaken Western support for Ukraine?
#geopolitics #energysecurity
Watch the discussion:
youtu.be/G3BZCeNcmDA?...
Are we entering “World War E”?
In the latest episode of The Focus, John Bruni speaks with @anderspucknielsen.dk.
Could a deepening energy crisis eventually weaken Western support for Ukraine?
#geopolitics #energysecurity
Watch the discussion:
youtu.be/G3BZCeNcmDA?...
And if the Trump–Netanyahu war against the #IRGC fails to deliver a decisive outcome soon, the world may face something unprecedented:
America holding the oil…
…but the global economy too damaged to buy it.
The clock is ticking.
You lose the right barrels.
Even if the US and Venezuela pump more oil, their crude sits at opposite ends of the spectrum.
That cannot fully replace Middle Eastern supply.
US shale = light, sweet crude
Venezuelan oil = extra-heavy, sour crude
Middle Eastern crude sits in the middle — the grades that produce the diesel, jet fuel, bunker fuel and industrial fuels the world economy runs on.
Lose Middle East supply and you don’t just lose barrels.
Crude oils differ in density and sulphur content.
#Refineries are engineered to process specific blends.
You cannot simply swap one type of crude for another overnight.
#Energy systems don’t work like that.
Some will say there’s a silver lining.
#Trump’s “capture” of #Venezuela for American oil interests could expand supply.
But there’s a problem most people miss:
Oil isn’t just about volume.
It’s about quality.
#WorldWarE(nergy) is already underway.
#Gulf oil and gas north of the #StraitofHormuz is largely offline.
Russian oil is pushed out of open markets and its shadow fleet is under attack.
Which leaves something extraordinary:
The United States as the last major unconstrained #oil producer.
And if the Trump–Netanyahu war against the #IRGC fails to deliver a decisive outcome soon, the world may face something unprecedented:
America holding the oil…
…but the global economy too damaged to buy it.
The clock is ticking.
You lose the right barrels.
Even if the US and Venezuela pump more oil, their crude sits at opposite ends of the spectrum.
That cannot fully replace Middle Eastern supply.
US shale = light, sweet crude
Venezuelan oil = extra-heavy, sour crude
Middle Eastern crude sits in the middle — the grades that produce the diesel, jet fuel, bunker fuel and industrial fuels the world economy runs on.
Lose Middle East supply and you don’t just lose barrels.
Crude oils differ in density and sulphur content.
#Refineries are engineered to process specific blends.
You cannot simply swap one type of crude for another overnight.
#Energy systems don’t work like that.
Some will say there’s a silver lining.
#Trump’s “capture” of #Venezuela for American oil interests could expand supply.
But there’s a problem most people miss:
Oil isn’t just about volume.
It’s about quality.
#WorldWarE(nergy) is already underway.
#Gulf oil and gas north of the #StraitofHormuz is largely offline.
Russian oil is pushed out of open markets and its shadow fleet is under attack.
Which leaves something extraordinary:
The United States as the last major unconstrained #oil producer.
Ten days into the intensifying conflict in the Middle East, the situation is becoming catastrophic for millions of children across the region.
Since 28 February, more than 1,100 children have been reported injured or killed in the violence: www.unicef.org/press-releas...
#Iran strikes 3 fuel tankers in #Iraq port of Basra - 1 crew dead and others
3 merchant ships hit earlier in day
Attack on fuel tanks in #Bahrain
#Oman shifts all vessels out of main export terminal
#StraitOfHormuz almost closed despite #Trump bluster
Oil repasses $100/barrel
#IranWar #Israel
Reports of Iranian mining activity in the #StraitofHormuz raise serious questions about global #EnergySecurity — in this Focus Brief I explore whether we may be entering an era of “energy war.” 👇
youtu.be/1OoB1j7WMQ4?...
Reports of Iranian mining activity in the #StraitofHormuz raise serious questions about global #EnergySecurity — in this Focus Brief I explore whether we may be entering an era of “energy war.” 👇
youtu.be/1OoB1j7WMQ4?...
