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Posts by Lukas Beck

Check out this august book review we wrote 👇

3 weeks ago 3 0 0 0

Congratulations, Jakob! I’m really happy to see this out there :)

4 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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Jakob Ortmann, But what is ‘Performativity of Science’? Austin, Perlocutionary Sequels, and Referent Malleability - PhilPapers Ever since its introduction by John L. Austin, ‘performativity’ has meant many things to many scholars—something that did not change when phrases like ‘performativity of science’ became popular. Such ...

Super happy this paper got accepted for 'Philosophy of Science'! Its an attempt of reconciling speech act theory and STS in a way thats hopefully helpful to philosophers of science and controversies in values in science. #philsci #philsky #HPS @mapsproject.bsky.social
philpapers.org/rec/ORTBWI

1 month ago 16 4 3 0
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The ethics of foreign intervention 6.30pm Tues 5 May | Kieran Oberman, Jonathan Parry, Paola Romero, Somayeh Tohidi | Ticket Required | Free public event at LSE

Join us at LSE for a panel on the ethics of foreign intervention, with Kieran Oberman, Jonathan Parry, Paola Romero, and myself, chaired by Alex Voorhoeve. In person and online.

www.lse.ac.uk/events/inter...

1 month ago 8 4 0 0

@belewollesen.bsky.social is also on Bluesky.

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The Condorcet Jury Theorem under Ambiguity
Bele Wollesen
Leibniz University Hannover

This paper evaluates the Condorcet Jury Theorem in the context of ambiguity. It explores the effects on the assumption of voter competence when voters face situations in which they can no longer ascribe a single probability. In contrast to voting in situations where voters are able to assign such probabilities, this paper demonstrates that voters may fail to vote competently under ambiguity, even if they are honest, practically rational, and epistemically competent. Thus, the conditions under which voter competence can be guaranteed become unclear once we adopt a less idealised framework of uncertainty. Specifically, conditions that ensure voter competence under risk do not necessarily guarantee voter competence under ambiguity. The second contribution is a more positive one. It outlines a fruitful research agenda aimed at identifying collective decision procedures that are better suited to less idealised uncertainty frameworks. In this regard, the paper shows how allowing abstention can have positive effects on the epistemic benefits of voting and extends the Condorcet Jury Theorem accordingly.

The Condorcet Jury Theorem under Ambiguity Bele Wollesen Leibniz University Hannover This paper evaluates the Condorcet Jury Theorem in the context of ambiguity. It explores the effects on the assumption of voter competence when voters face situations in which they can no longer ascribe a single probability. In contrast to voting in situations where voters are able to assign such probabilities, this paper demonstrates that voters may fail to vote competently under ambiguity, even if they are honest, practically rational, and epistemically competent. Thus, the conditions under which voter competence can be guaranteed become unclear once we adopt a less idealised framework of uncertainty. Specifically, conditions that ensure voter competence under risk do not necessarily guarantee voter competence under ambiguity. The second contribution is a more positive one. It outlines a fruitful research agenda aimed at identifying collective decision procedures that are better suited to less idealised uncertainty frameworks. In this regard, the paper shows how allowing abstention can have positive effects on the epistemic benefits of voting and extends the Condorcet Jury Theorem accordingly.

Former LSE student Bele Wollesen has a paper coming out in Ergo that I am a big fan of (www.belewollesen.com/uploads/1/4/...).

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Solidarity with Martin Peterson, a wonderful philosopher. I enjoyed working on this volume with him. Buy his books!

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ABSTRACT. There is a widely held view on measurement inferences that defends the prohibition that we should not make inferences from averages taken with ordinal scales (versus quantitative scales; interval or ratio). This prohibition is general—applying to all ordinal scales—and is sometimes endorsed without qualification. Adhering to it dramatically limits research in the social and biomedical sciences. I provide a Bayesian analysis of this problem, determining when measurements from ordinal scales can be used to confirm hypotheses about relative group averages. I illustrate with the alleged paradigm ordinal scale—the Mohs scale of mineral hardness—arguing that it has been mischaracterized in the literature. The prohibition, I conclude, cannot be upheld, even in a qualified sense. The beliefs needed to make average comparisons are less demanding than those appropriate for quantitative scales.

ABSTRACT. There is a widely held view on measurement inferences that defends the prohibition that we should not make inferences from averages taken with ordinal scales (versus quantitative scales; interval or ratio). This prohibition is general—applying to all ordinal scales—and is sometimes endorsed without qualification. Adhering to it dramatically limits research in the social and biomedical sciences. I provide a Bayesian analysis of this problem, determining when measurements from ordinal scales can be used to confirm hypotheses about relative group averages. I illustrate with the alleged paradigm ordinal scale—the Mohs scale of mineral hardness—arguing that it has been mischaracterized in the literature. The prohibition, I conclude, cannot be upheld, even in a qualified sense. The beliefs needed to make average comparisons are less demanding than those appropriate for quantitative scales.

From the new issue:

Against Prohibition (or, When Using Ordinal Scales to Compare Groups Is OK)
– Cristian Larroulet Philippi

Abstract in alt text or read it here:
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

#philsci #philsky

4 months ago 10 3 0 0

Welfare Econ faces a core problem: preference endogeneity. What should we do when the yardstick used to assess policies changes with the analysed system? MAPS member @becklukas.bsky.social tackles this issue in the context of large-scale interventions. New paper in Politics, Philosophy & Economics.

4 months ago 6 3 0 0

New paper "Endogenous Preferences, Environmental Economics, and Welfare" accepted at Politics, Philosophy & Economics.
In it, I argue for how we should address endogenous preferences in the welfare assessment of large-scale policy interventions (e.g., a carbon tax).
Penultimate version here👇

4 months ago 6 2 0 0
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Im Rentenpaket fällt mir wieder auf, wie sehr Berichterstattung darauf fokussiert, was das für Koalitionsstabilität und Kontrolle der Parteichefs über ihre Partei bedeutet, und wie wenig darauf, was es für das Leben der Menschen bedeutet.

4 months ago 2148 530 65 17
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History of Climate Economics Editors of the Special Issue Christophe Cassen (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Béatrice Cointe (CNRS, CSI Paris) Antoine Missemer (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Call for Papers In 2018, the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Eco...

Call for proposals for articles for a special issue of this well edited journal #econsky #histsci #climate

5 months ago 14 5 0 0

Join us for the Inaugural Conference of the new Forum #Wissenschaftsreflexion in June 2026! Early-Career Researchers can still apply for a dedicated workshop that covers travel & accomodation costs. #PhilSci #PhilSky #HPS #STS #SocSky @mapsproject.bsky.social @modeltransfer.bsky.social

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At the heart of economics lies the concept of preference, a notion that closely resembles desire. Despite their importance, it remains unclear what preferences in economics actually are; e.g., are they a type of desire? The chapter outlines and critically assesses the dominant views on the matter.

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Lukas Beck, Desires in Economics - PhilPapers At the heart of economics is a concept that bears a striking resemblance to a desire. Economists use preferences to explain and predict people's choices. However, what exactly we are talking ...

I am sharing a preprint of my chapter forthcoming in the Routledge Handbook on the Philosophy of Desire (edited by @alexgregory.bsky.social): "Desires in Economics."
philpapers.org/rec/BECDIE-3

Feedback or any thoughts are welcome!
Contains references to a galaxy far, far away🌌
More details below👇

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Team member @becklukas.bsky.social gave a talk entitled "Policy Optimization IAMs as Normative Models" at the Institute of Philosophy Colloquium. @iphilluh.bsky.social

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Looking for #ArgumentMapping tools or software for #TeachingPhilosophy. Is there an overview somewhere? Or do you have specific recommendations? #Philsky

5 months ago 7 4 1 1
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Cristian Larroulet Philippi, Values and Measurement - PhilPapers At first sight, measurement might appear to be a natural candidate for a scientific practice that is value-free. This chapter reviews prominent arguments supporting the opposite view, i.e., that value...

I’ve just uploaded to philpapers my (preprint) chapter titled “Values and Measurement” forthcoming in the Routledge Handbook of Values in Science.
It’s an overview of arguments for values playing significant roles in measurement practices.

Comments welcome!

philpapers.org/rec/LARVAM-2

6 months ago 28 10 2 0

I don't say "public philosophy" or "applied philosophy" because both seem to be trying to carve out a 2nd tier status for what is in fact our discipline at its best, doing what it's always done - speaking to people about questions that matter.

8 months ago 51 7 3 1
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Team member @becklukas.bsky.social presented "On the Diversity of Models in Normative Inquiry" at the #BSPS2025

9 months ago 4 1 0 0
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It was such a great conference, thank you, @mapsproject.bsky.social team!

10 months ago 11 4 0 0
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We are pleased to invite you to the MAPS Symposium, taking place on June 4 and 5, 2025, at Koniglicher Pferdestall. Attendance is free and open to all. We have a great lineup! Join us for two days of engaging discussions and critical reflections.

11 months ago 12 5 0 4

I think the thing people are missing about Trump’s plan is that, while we have to go through some short term pain, in exchange we will get long term pain.

1 year ago 68 8 5 1
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In collaboration with Luca Congiu (University of Rome Tor Vergata), we are conducting an experimental study to test whether presenting probabilities pictorially reduces the prevalence of choice patterns in line with the Allais paradox.

1 year ago 3 1 0 0

Congratulations to my spouse who is now a certified expert in strategic behavior and manipulation in collective decision-making 🥳
This is great, right? 😅

1 year ago 7 0 0 0
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Philosophy of Social Science Roundtable The Philosophy of Social Science Roundtable is an annual event held in North America.  The conference is a small, workshop style event.  Papers on any topic related to the social sciences, b...

The great conference (my very first one!) is in Atlanta this year. Send ‘papers on any topic in philosophy of the social sciences, especially those that tackle philosophical issues as they arise in, and are consequential for, practicing social scientists’. Abstracts by Dec 15th! #philsci #philsky

1 year ago 59 24 0 0
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The edge of sentience: risk and precaution in humans, other animals, and AI 6.30pm Tue 3 Dec | Jonathan Birch | Free public event at LSE

No one likes a poorly attended inauguration... so please join me in London or online on 3 Dec for my inaugural lecture, "The Edge of Sentience". www.lse.ac.uk/Events/2024/...

1 year ago 104 34 3 3

@henrikthoren.bsky.social, Dominic Lenzi and I are looking forward to your submissions.
Deadline: 28.02.2025

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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European Philosophy of Science Association (EPSA) - Philosophical Perspectives on Climate Economics

CfP: What is the appropriate role of climate economics in decision-making and climate policy? What role do value judgments play in its models and methods? How does it relate to other disciplines?
If you have answers, submit them to our topical collection for the EJPS: philsci.eu/Phil-Climate...

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I designed a lecture course on measurement that I will teach at Cambridge in Spring 25 and, in extended form, at Boston University in Fall 25 (drive.google.com/file/d/1w3QE...). t focuses on perennial problems (quantification, scales, evidence) and methods. Happy about feedback. #philsci #philsky

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