10/ Bottom line:
Reproducibility in social science is higher than often claimed, but robustness remains a key challenge.
More open data, more robustness, and more scrutiny can only help.
Link to article: www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Preprint: ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/i4rdps...
The report also said the EU’s mechanisms for addressing erosion or rule of law were largely ineffective, with most member states failing to turn guidance into tangible action despite several years of recommendations from the @ec.europa.eu. /7
places where the rule of law is declining in some areas, without erosion being part of an overall political strategy.
The Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Ireland, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Romania and Spain were all classified as “stagnators”, defined as countries where rule-of-law conditions
🚨🚨 Grim news: Governments in five EU MS are “consistently and intentionally” eroding the #ruleoflaw, Europe’s leading civil liberties group has warned, while democratic standards are deteriorating in six more, including historically strong democracies. 🧵
www.theguardian.com/law/2026/mar...
Nothing much new here as far as I can see, the EU and CPTPP countries already have lots of overlapping trade agreements and intend to keep them. Not much of a response to the biggest emerging danger which is the largest powers (including the EU) weaponising supplies.
None of this is going to be on the exam.
The release of the first iPhone is now closer to the dissolution of the Soviet Union than to today.
More reminders of mortality at profmusgrave.github.io/anotherday
homothetic preferences in the wild
My attempt at articulating why I think LLMs are a clear net positive for all research, and it's a mistake to ignore it despite private concerns:
paulgp.com/2026/03/16/r...
Making the comprehensive agreement (CETA) even more comprehensive (comprehensiver?) #digitaltrade
"Negotiations to add digital trade provisions begin Thursday"
I'm curious to see what Canada and the EU come up with here.
Excited to share my newly published article with Olivia Quinn in Climatic Change, which explains why the Inflation Reduction Act passed Congress when the Waxman-Markey bill failed.
It's open access so anyone can read it!
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
NBER: “.. Tariff increases are contractionary: imports fall sharply, exports decline with a lag, and output and manufacturing activity drop persistently.”
@scottlincicome.bsky.social
www.nber.org/papers/w34852
(1/2) Such a pleasure discussing the importance of the EU CBAM for climate policy with Arvid Viaene. Listen to his podcast to hear more about our work on the Global Effects of CBAM, with @allanhsiao.bsky.social @cwolfram.bsky.social and
@jmcolmer.bsky.social.
www.buzzsprout.com/2412056/epis...
Recently accepted by #QJE: “Automation and Rent Dissipation: Implications for Wages, Inequality, and Productivity,” by Acemoglu and Restrepo: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
Unsurprisingly….“Our results suggest that incorporating AI aggressively into the workplace, particularly with respect to software engineering, comes with trade-offs.” share.google/RxTfvq65f0pB...
California’s EV boom led to cleaner air in its neighborhoods, with satellite data linking this growth to lower NO₂ pollution.
insideevs.com/news/785951/...
New at JIE: "Playing with blocs: Quantifying decoupling" by Barthélémy Bonadio, Zhen Huo, Elliot Kang, Andrei A. Levchenko, Nitya Pandalai-Nayar, Hiroshi Toma, Petia Topalova
doi.org/10.1016/j.ji...
NEW: India is avoiding the fossil fuel detour 🪝
Where China built first on coal and gas, India is taking a shortcut >>> read in 5 graphics🧵
New evidence from Africa shows that aid reduces conflict when projects are well managed, but increases violence when management and monitoring are weak.
Read today's article to learn more:
No moar nrg!
An update on the "Great Reallocation" in US sourcing finds that China's share in US imports had fallen by July 2025 back to where it stood in 2001, from Laura Alfaro and Davin Chor www.nber.org/papers/w34490
Our online special issue, The Future of Global Governance and World Order, is out!
It features 15 short essays plus the editors' introduction, all #OpenAccess.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
#IOFoGG
Very excited about this @iojournal.bsky.social special issue on the future of global governance and world order – many (short) thoughtful pieces, perfect for teaching!
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
The trouble with The Trouble with Abundance: political marketing of sound economic policies matters: How about managing scarcity efficiently and calling it “abundance”?
The Trouble with Abundance by Jeffrey Frankel @projectsyndicate.bsky.social prosyn.org/myATHPk?refe...
On commercial peace and reverse causation -
Free Trade Can’t Bring Peace by Benn Steil @projectsyndicate.bsky.social prosyn.org/LkdDyx7?refe...
Based on very cool analysis by @benkeys.bsky.social and Philip Mulder @nber.org
www.nber.org/papers/w32579
