📢Tune in to "Fed President Double Header" livestream Friday Mar-27, 8:30am PT, at our annual Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy Conference.
First SF Fed President Daly with introductory remarks, then Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson with the keynote address.
www.frbsf.org/news-and-med...
Here is the recording of the excellent virtual seminar by
Adrien Auclert. Check it out, you'll get both a valuable primer on the HANK modeling approach *and* new contributions on firm and investment heterogeneity!
Thank you Adrien, we all learned a lot!
cepr.org/multimedia/v...
Adrien Auclert will present "New Keynesian Economics with Household and Firm Heterogeneity" in this month's VSME which we at the San Francisco Fed jointly organize with CEPR.
Join us on Thursday at 11am Eastern for Adrien's talk and a Q&A session!
cepr.org/events/event...
This Thursday Gernot Müller will kick off the new year for the Virtual Seminar on Monetary Economics, organized by the SF Fed and @cepr.org
Gernot will present his paper "Inflation Forecast Targeting Revisited".
Join us at 11am Eastern via Zoom!
cepr.org/events/event...
This research is part of the Center for Monetary Research at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco:
sffed.us/CMR
Thanks to my excellent coauthors Miguel Acosta, andreaajello.bsky.social, Francesca Loria, and Silvia Miranda-Agrippino!
We also find that monetary policy has significant effects on market-based inflation and dividend expectations that are consistent with conventional transmission channels. Term structure responses peak at longer horizons, suggesting there are signals about the reaction function.
In our working paper "Financial Market Effects of FOMC Communication: Evidence from a New Event-Study Database" we describe the USMPD in detail and document new empirical results. For example, large policy surprises have made a comeback, and press conferences play a key role...
The USMPD contains market reactions to all official FOMC communication events since 1994, including statements, post-meeting press conferences and minutes releases. It also includes data and code for high-frequency monetary policy surprises.
📢 New Data & Paper 📢
We released the U.S. Monetary Policy Event Study Database, a public, transparent, and regularly updated dataset of high-frequency financial market reactions to all official FOMC communication since 1994.
Data: sffed.us/USMPD
Paper: frbsf.org/research-and...
Excellent VSME talk by Jordi Gali, who provided a new perspective on monetary policy rules based on his Keynes Lectures and discussion at Jackson Hole of Emi Nakamura's paper. He makes a compelling case for rules for long-term real rates. Video here:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrbH...
We launched the Center for Monetary Research about one year ago. The first year brought a flurry of activities, research, and new data&indicators. Special highlight:
Adrien Auclert receiving the inaugural Janet Yellen Award! My blog post has a review and outlook:
www.frbsf.org/research-and...
Very excited that our third monthly VSME is coming up this Thursday. We'll hear from Jordi Gali about monetary policy in the New Keynesian model.
Please join us on Zoom at 11am Eastern / 5pm CET! Webinar registration here:
cepr-org.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
We hope you had a nice summer, the Virtual Seminar on Monetary Economics is now in session! Please join us this Thursday at 8am PT / 11am ET for our first seminar! Zoom webinar registration here: cepr-org.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
Apropos, we regularly update our measure of market-based monetary policy uncertainty, published via our
SF Fed Center for Monetary Research:
www.frbsf.org/research-and...
In a nutshell, the paper proposes a taxonomy for economic risks and uncertainties, reviews various measures and models available for quantitative assessments, and discusses ways how central banks can communicate uncertainty to the public. 2/3
🧵It was a great pleasure to work with excellent colleagues across the @federalreserve.gov on a paper for the FOMC framework review. Thanks to my coauthors Travis Berge, Giuseppe Fiori, Francesca Loria, Molin Zhong. You can find the paper here:
www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds... 1/3
Interested in top-notch research in monetary economics? Join us for this new online seminar series, co-hosted CEPR's Monetary Economics and Fluctuations program and our Center for Monetary Research! @ivanwerning.bsky.social will kick things off on Sep-4.
Sign up: cepr-org.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
🚨Friendly reminder that Saturday, May 31 is the deadline to submit (a) papers to our fall macro-finance conference and (b) nominations for the new Janet Yellen Award for Monetary Research, both initiatives of our new Center for Monetary Research. Details are here: www.frbsf.org/news-and-med...
🚀Stay ahead of the curve! If you're interested in events, new papers, and data updates of our Center for Monetary Research, you can sign up for the quarterly newsletter here: frbsf.org/subscription...
#MonetaryPolicy #MacroFinance #CentralBanking #EconSky
Excellent papers at the Second Thomas Laubach Conference of the @federalreserve.bsky.social Follow Ben Bernanke's presentation on Central Bank Communication live now, or watch the recording later. Great stuff!
www.federalreserve.gov/conferences/...
Selection Committee: Michael Bauer, Sylvain Leduc, Thomas Mertens, and Pascal Paul
More info is also in our conference call for papers:
www.frbsf.org/news-and-med...
The nominee should have received their Ph.D. within the last ten years, but exceptions due to career breaks are possible. Please send nominations to CMR@sf.frb.org by May 31, 2025. Nominations should include a brief justification and the nominee’s CV. Self-nominations are accepted.
📢Call for Nominations📢
The SF Fed and its Center for Monetary Research are launching the new Janet Yellen Award!
This award will be given annually to an exceptional early-career researcher who has made significant and policy-relevant contributions to macro-finance and/or monetary economics.
The SF Fed's Center for Monetary Research is hosting our 2nd Annual Macro-Finance Conference this fall. If you have a recent paper on the linkages between financial markets, monetary policy, and the macroeconomy, please submit by May 31!
www.frbsf.org/news-and-med...
Our Center for Monetary Research is cosponsoring a session at the 2025 CEBRA meeting. Do you have a recent working paper on international macro-finance/monetary issues? Then please submit to Session 14 of this CfP! Deadline is March 20. We look forward to your submissions! #CEBRA2025 #CFP #EconSky
Kristin Forbes distills lessons for monetary policy from her research and the recent experience of central banks, using Sun Tzu's eternal classic "The Art of War" as a framework. Ingenious! (And particularly close to my own martial artist heart.)
cepr.org/publications...
Submission deadline for our fixed income conference is this Friday, January 31. Our keynote speaker will be Annette Vissing-Jorgensen. If you have a new paper in this area, please consider submitting it!
Thank you @cwolfram.bsky.social for a fantastic presentation on CBAM in today's Virtual Seminar on Climate Economics. The slides and recording are here: www.frbsf.org/news-and-med...
Also worth checking out this @rff.org policy brief: www.rff.org/publications...
At the AEA meetings in San Francisco?
Check out this nice session on Friday morning: "Identifying Monetary Policy"
With presentations by Amy Handlan @michaeldbauer.bsky.social @kronerniklas.bsky.social myself and Philippe Andrade
Thank you Philippe for organizing! #ASSA2025