This is just one possible solution; it can happen as early as this week if Dragons beat Manly and Panthers lose to Bulldogs
Posts by The Cruncher
A full cycle (circle of parity) can be achieved with just 2 more results:
Tigers beat Panthers
Dragons beat Tigers
The longest chain is 16 teams long:
Panthers → Roosters → Rabbitohs → Bulldogs → Raiders → Sea Eagles → Dolphins → Sharks → Warriors → Knights → Cowboys → Storm → Eels → Broncos → Titans → Dragons
NRL Match Path Update - Round 5
Panthers are WAY ahead on the latest model ratings
Kayo seems to make my computer really slow lately :/
(grey labels mean the team is yet to both win and lose a match)
A circle of parity would be achieved with just 4 more results:
1. Brisbane Lions beat Gold Coast
2. Richmond beat West Coast
3. Essendon beat Western Bulldogs
4. Collingwood beat Brisbane Lions
AFL Match Path Update - Round 2
No cycles yet, but the longest path is up to 10 teams long: Suns-Cats-Freo-Dees-Saints-Giants-Hawks-Swans-Carlton-Richmond
probably helped out a little by the NRL's official predictor not working
it's crazy what making your page's description visible to Google can do
To achieve a full circle of parity, at least 5 more results are required. One possible solution is:
1. Titans beat Panthers
2. Dragons beat Bulldogs
3. Sea Eagles beat Dolphins
4. Sharks beat Knights
5. Knights beat Warriors
NRL Match Chain Update - Round 3
We have our first mini circle of parity: Broncos-Storm-Eels, and the longest chain is 6 teams long: Warriors-Roosters-Rabbitohs-Dolphins-Sharks-Titans
If only Flanno had told his players this before the match, could've really helped out
#NRLEelsDragons
Some analysis on the increased set restart number & high margins from Round 1, including just how many set restarts occurred between 20-40 metres
Plus the return of the Eye Test's expected points model, with ETxP charts for every game
www.rugbyleagueeyetest.com/2026/03/09/n...
Note that the sample size is too low to say anything definitive yet, but it's definitely something to keep our eyes on
Two teams (Broncos and Eels) landed themselves in the bottom 6% on % Possessions
37% of losing NRL teams from 2023-2026 have had more possessions than their opposition. None have so far in 2026.
I'm scared to read the xScore for this first half #AFLLionsDogs
ummm #NRLManlyRaiders
Anyone else getting flashbacks to last year's prelim? Panthers dominated the first half there too
#NRLBroncosPanthers
Anyone heard more about the two-hand jumping rule change?
#NRLWarriorsRoosters
Reckon it should be reflective of what colours each team is currently wearing, much more accessible and better for new fans
Looks a little odd with Warriors wearing blue and red, and Roosters blue and red on the Fox score graphics
#NRLWarriorsRoosters
Model estimates for tonight's Sydney-Carlton match are now up at @squiggle.au
NEW ARTICLE OUT: What did the 2026 NRL Las Vegas matches show us?
I discuss the new Fox AI innovations, introduce a new statistic, and investigate Dally M Medal vote earners from Vegas.
thecruncherau.substack.com/p/what-did-t...
Expected Dally M votes from #NRLBulldogsCowboys:
Once again, the model is very uncertain of who will receive votes here - even more so than the first match!
I know it's only two games into the year, lemme have my fun
If the 2026 NRL Dally M Medal were awarded now, Kalyn Ponga would be the favourite per my model's estimates
Expected Dally M votes from #NRLKnightsCowboys:
Knights players dominate, but not any obvious selections for stand out players; judges might have a tricky time here