New article out in @ejprjournal.bsky.social:
Why do we see such strong backlashes against carbon taxes in rural areas? We find that when rural residents feel disadvantaged by the state, a carbon tax feels like a punishment on top of a punishment: a "double disadvantage."
👉 tinyurl.com/3rhmvar7
Delighted to see this review of @drodrik.bsky.social’s stimulating new book out in “Economic Record”, co-authored with @grattonecon.bsky.social. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
More broadly, paying closer attention to the role of skills can help us better understand the relationship between technology and policy preferences. Amidst ongoing transformations of the economic and political landscape, this seems like an important research agenda.
👉 This dynamic is driven by dual VET, where training takes place in firms: individuals with school-based VET background resemble those with general secondary education.
👉 Crucially for the politics of technological change literature, vocational education nullifies the association between automation risk and demand for social protection that we observe in individuals with general secondary education.
👉 This relationship appears to be mediated by material self-interest and workplace socialization.
Using data from the European Social Survey and an original survey, we find:
👉 Education type matters, not just education level: among individuals with comparable levels of secondary education, those with a VET background are significantly less supportive of compensatory social policy.
🥁 New paper in BJPS @bjpols.bsky.social 🥁
While there has been a lot of great research on how technological change shapes social policy preferences, I argue with Patrick Emmenegger and @ndurazzi.bsky.social that this literature is missing an important link: the role of skills, notably dual VET.
BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of technological change on social policy preferences. It examines dual vocational education and training (VET), suggesting that dual VET reduces the demand for compensatory social policy. The findings are based on data from the European Social Survey and material from education systems.
NEW -
The Missing Link: Technological Change, Dual VET, and Social Policy Preferences - https://cup.org/4sUzglE
- @mhaslberger.bsky.social, Patrick Emmenegger & @ndurazzi.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
How do workers respond to using AI technology? For @defactoexpert.bsky.social I had the opportunity to highlight the implications of our recent @jeppjournal.bsky.social article. Read more in the blog!
Thrilled to see our paper (with @madselk.bsky.social and @benansell.bsky.social) out in West European Politics!
While I, as a young-ish person, would say, just build and bring prices down, research on Brexit has shown that stagnating house prices risk populist backlash from homeowners. Housing policy thus faces a delicate balancing act between the interests of renters and homeowners, young and old. (5/5)
The policy implications are somewhat sobering. We know that a lack of efficacy ("politicians don't care about people like me") can be a driver of populism. The #housingcrisis, where young people are frozen out from the housing market, thus may generate populist resentment among young renters. (4/5)
We argue that this reflects two ways in which homeownership boosts efficacy: materially, by increasing owners' sense of economic security and success, and socially, by serving as a marker of status and belonging. (3/5)
Based on survey data from over 10000 UK residents, we show that homeowners consistently exhibit higher political efficacy, even after conditioning on other socioeconomic factors. Crucially, this relationship is strongest later in life, when people's socioeconomic position has crystallized. (2/5)
Just out in @wepsocial.bsky.social: how housing wealth shapes whether people feel heard. Together with @madselk.bsky.social and @benansell.bsky.social, I looked at a neglected determinant of political efficacy: homeownership.
Read the #OA paper: doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Quick overview below (1/5)
How does tax regressivity at the top affect public support for taxation? In this article, we run an information provision experiment in the United States with a quota-representative sample of around 4,000 people and randomly present respondents with factual information about total tax rates by income group. We find that informing respondents that the superrich pay lower total tax rates than other people not only increases support for raising taxes on the rich but also lowers support for taxing the middle class. Our results highlight an important hidden cost of tax regressivity at the top: if left unaddressed, it risks undermining public support for broad-based taxation.
New in @bjpols.bsky.social!
Dave Hope, @lhaffert.bsky.social and I show that low taxes on the rich have a hidden cost: They undermine public support for broad-based taxation. 🖋️ cup.org/45lgPwN
Well said! 70-odd customized applications in the last few months, I really miss doing actual research.
This could/should be our most productive period for research, but there are only so many hours in a day...
Two great days at @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social filled with enriching discussions and mutual learning on AI and politics. Grateful to @mhaslberger.bsky.social and @benansell.bsky.social for bringing together such a brilliant group of researchers and making it happen!
Amazing workshop on the Politics of AI with wonderful people at Nuffield! Such a priviledge
Thank you @mhaslberger.bsky.social @benansell.bsky.social for the warm hospitality!
Two inspiring days at the Nuffield Politics of AI workshop!
This was social science at its best, thanks to all involved! @benansell.bsky.social @jburnmurdoch.ft.com @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social
📚 And if the article piques your interest, here is the link to the full paper: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
🤔 You're interested in how exposure to AI affects people's risk perceptions and policy preferences, but don't have time to read a full paper?
💡 @unisg.ch has got you covered with a write-up about our recent paper in @jeppjournal.bsky.social.
www.unisg.ch/en/newsroom/...
Sign-up link: forms.gle/1PaNbatuZbTW...
We're grateful for generous support from @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social and the Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods/DPIR.
The in-person workshop is open to the academic community; you can use the link in the next post to sign up. If you're interested in hearing about and discussing citizen perceptions, preferences, and priorities around AI with a stellar group of researchers, this might be for you.
I'm excited to share the schedule for the Politics of AI workshop I have the pleasure of co-hosting together with @benansell.bsky.social at @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social next week.
Link: matthiashaslberger.github.io/ai/
BJPolS abstract discussing the dynamic between knowledge economy migration and political shifts in Germany, specifically addressing urban versus rural opportunities and its implications on political perspectives and migration trends.
NEW -
Seeking Opportunity in the Knowledge Economy: Moving Places, Moving Politics? - https://cup.org/3LgxVos
"moving to opportunity results in... more left-leaning self-identification, and lower support for far-right parties"
- @valentinaconsiglio.bsky.social & @thmskrr.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Of all the housing charts not made by MMI, this one is my favourite. It shows how, despite rhetoric, housing shortages aren't a global phenomenon, but they do seem to be an Anglo-American one.
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Digital Distractions with Peer Influence: The Impact of Mobile App Usage on Academic and Labor Market Outcomes,” by Barwick, Chen, Fu, and Li: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...