I asked my students to vote between frequentist and Bayesian statistics today in class. I put a third option — more to shame students in a tongue-in-cheek way for not participating — called "I hate democracy." Bayesianism lost to "I hate democracy."

New paper in Theory and Decision 🎉

We document a digit effect in risk perception.

When comparing 0.01% vs. 0.05%, people overweight the digit (1 vs. 5) more than the actual scale difference: tinyurl.com/ye3j5y6h

I feel really bad for anyone who happens to have the same name last as that guy.

Do you know offhand of any papers that discuss these differences?

Commentary: Russia Used to Deny Interfering. Now it’s Celebrating its Successes. With fewer guardrails and more reach, Moscow openly cheers its disinformation wins.

open.substack.com/pub/newsguar...

www.debtinperspective.com

I love this breakdown of the national debt/deficit in relation to the DOGE cuts!

I've been looking into it (that's how I found this post). I'm getting some bad vibes from it.

Please share! Not 100% official yet, but I may get to recruit a Ph.D. student for Fall 2025. If you are interested in psychological methods, math, and/or some combination of those, send me a message so we can chat!

Google allows advertisers to target the sensitive informational queries of cancer patients | HKS Misinformation Review Alternative cancer treatments are associated with earlier time to death when used without evidence-based treatments. Our study suggests alternative cancer clinics providing scientifically unsupported ...

Almost done switching 100% to Firefox over Chrome thanks to this bad boy. Big hats off to the researchers: misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu/article/goog...

Just gave him a ring 😏

So, Van der Linden says mis/disinformation is bad
Mercier say NO, people wanting mis/disinformation is bad, and the media is bad for supplying it to them??? Am I missing something???

Job description

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Share the application URL here and elsewhere.👇

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Letters can be sent to me with "R-69755" in the subject line.

Can I get an add?

Attitudes towards COVID-19 vaccines may have “spilled over” to other, unrelated vaccines along party lines in the United States | HKS Misinformation Review This study used data from pre- and post-COVID surveys to examine vaccine attitudes in the United States. We found evidence consistent with an ideological “spillover” effect: Liberals’ attitudes became...

My lab just published an article suggesting that attitudes towards the COVID-19 vaccines may have "spilled over" to other, unrelated vaccines along party lines: misinforeview.hks.harvard.edu/article/atti...

We’re hiring a Writer We are looking for a passionate and skilled writer to join our team.

Come work with us!

Our World in Data is looking for a writer who can write global issues for a wide audience. You could focus on poverty, inequality, health, demography, or any of the many other topics we cover (or don't yet)! (And the team is awesome.)
ourworldindata.org/writer-q2-2024

I wouldn't be surprised if, in a few decades, this is handled with, "There is some evidence that the opposite effect could be observed (Authors et al., 2041, but 🤨)."