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Posts by Michael Snyder
Pattern Change #Livestream 7pm Tonight!
www.youtube.com/@pacificnort...
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youtu.be/jpm6sfg0QkI ENSO, El Nino!
Since 1950 Seattle has had 15 winter seasons with less than 1" of snowfall, 14 seasons were ENSO EL NINO, one was ENSO neutral.
This might be the first La Nina ever for Seattle with ZERO snow, still a little time left tho, but running out fast...
Bombogenesis underway!
Massive Midlattitude Cyclone off the West Coast of north America is undergoing Explosive Cyclogenesis as we speak! This is whats otherwise known as a "Bomb Cyclone"
Best chance for lowland snow west of the cascades is SW WA, into the northern Willamette valley on Thursday morning w/ a weak shortwave feature embedded in the northerly flow. Temperatures are marginal but we could see some accumulation under areas of heavier precipitation as winds become northerly
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and started backing off last night big
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and the HRRR keeps bringing the hammer each run now...
AIFS showing the low on hte danger track but pressure not being very low, but probably just not hires enuf to sniff that out, ECMWF is outlier right now
If ECMWF is not handling low well, or just off by a hair this is a big blow like the UW WRF GFS and NAM 3KM shows, decent amount of AIFS members show stronger storm also, perplexing
youtu.be/uhsK7d3x8_o #cawx
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