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Posts by Lach Tantau

#AFL round 3 predictions
Bombers vs.Power - Bombers by 2
Blues vs.Bulldogs - Blues by 10
Demons vs.SUNS - Demons by 6
Saints vs.Tigers - Saints by 29
Hawks vs.GIANTS - Hawks by 22
Crows vs.Kangaroos - Crows by 29
Eagles vs.Dockers - Dockeers by 20

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

Got a few categorical variables working for my random Forrest AFL model, namely venue and state. Interesting to note that by far the variable of most importance is my Elo team rating, which counts for upwards of 80% of variable importance (if I’m interpreting it correctly)

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Go dees. The model and I will be on opposite sides of the couch for this one.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Ok initial Random Forrest is working, but not categorical features yet. predictions are a little wild right now, so going to stick to my Elo model until I'm happy. Keen to give this thing a run this season, but also thinking "if it ain't, broke don't fix it...."

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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The Universe doesn't care

1 year ago 374 48 15 3
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Earthrise.

Taken #OTD 56 years ago.

In terms of seeing that we're all on this one single planet, it's one of the most important photos ever taken.

1 year ago 6469 929 132 59

Lots of fun, but quite hard 😅

1 year ago 1 0 1 0
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Very ominous…

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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1 year ago 1 0 1 0

The key is to keep them on the line as long as possible. Give them hope and waste their time so they don’t scam someone else.

1 year ago 1 0 1 0
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Everyone always gets a shock when I tell them that it’s super easy to tell what side the petrol tank is on #IYKYK

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

The hardest part so far has been data cleaning 🫠

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Doing a Bond song speaks volumes

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

Good time to turn the cricket on!

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

What do you think the single most important predictor is for an #AFL match?

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Yet to be determined… I like to keep things simple, so will something like smoothed scoring shots/goals/Elo rating (from current model) etc.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

The power of powers…

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Currently investigating a Random Forest #Python model for my 2025 #AFL predictions. Waddaya reckon?

1 year ago 3 0 2 0
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Going to start using bsky more for my #AFL #Python predictions for 2025.

1 year ago 3 0 1 0