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Posts by Owen Forbes

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Dozens of AI disease-prediction models were trained on dubious data The models are designed to predict someone’s risk of diabetes or stroke. A few might already have been used on patients.

Outstanding work by @alexdgibson.bsky.social to uncover the use of highly dubious data sets from @kaggle.com being used in hundreds of research papers and potentially even informing clinical practice. If you're re-using data, take the time to confirm that it's real. www.nature.com/articles/d41....

6 days ago 18 9 0 0
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Very excited to announce that the #BayesianWorkflow book by @statmodeling.bsky.social, @avehtari.bsky.social, @rmcelreath.bsky.social et al publishes in June! routledge.com/9780367490140 #RStats #DataScience #Bayesian

1 week ago 95 20 1 1
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SCORE | Center for Open Science SCORE shows that there is no shortcut to producing credible research findings, and there is no single indicator of trustworthiness. Research progress depends on transparency, rigor, and establishing r...

SCORE, a collaboration of 865 researchers, is now released as three papers in Nature, six preprints, and a lot of data (cos.io/score/). SCORE examined repeatability of findings from the social-behavioral sciences and tested whether human and automated methods could predict replicability.

2 weeks ago 190 106 1 32
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My new piece "Reproducibility: how to strengthen a weak foundation" is out today @nature.com! 🎉 How reproducible is research in the social & behavioural sciences? A new study by Miske et al. assessed 600 papers across 62 journals: the results are sobering.

📄 doi.org/10.1038/d415...
📄 rdcu.be/fbcq5

2 weeks ago 47 25 1 0
hexagon with a pink and grey galah on green/blue sunburst background is in the middle of the page. This hexagon logo sits over an explosion of pink dots on a lighter pink background

hexagon with a pink and grey galah on green/blue sunburst background is in the middle of the page. This hexagon logo sits over an explosion of pink dots on a lighter pink background

galah 2.2.0 is on CRAN! 📦

🛡️ Authorised users can access sensitive data from the command line
🌏 GBIF gets full support for predicate or DOI queries, new support for the Flemish and Kew Gardens portals
🗂️ We’ve tidied scripts to be more versatile, efficient & consistent

galah.ala.org.au/R/

#rstats

3 weeks ago 12 2 0 0
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Beware survivorship bias in advice on science careers For objective careers advice, talk to those who left science as well as those who stayed.

I’m not sure if I ever shared on Bluesky this article we wrote on how almost everyone giving career advice is susceptible to survivorship bias, but I think it was good and you should read it

www.nature.com/articles/d41...

3 weeks ago 106 38 6 3

FAIR data and code is both the most boring part of Open Science, and the part that will most fundamentally change how science is done.

This gap is regrettable, but understandable. Most scientists can't imagine what their science would be like if research outputs were FAIR.

3 weeks ago 31 8 1 0
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An Introduction to Bayesian Multilevel Modeling with brms
An Introduction to Bayesian Multilevel Modeling with brms YouTube video by RoyalStatSoc

www.youtube.com/watch?v=-JUD...

4 weeks ago 29 4 0 1
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Statistical Rethinking 2026 is done: 20 new lectures emphasizing logical and critical statistical workflow, from basics of probability theory to causal inference to reliable computation to sensitivity. It's all free, made just for you. Lecture list and links: github.com/rmcelreath/s...

4 weeks ago 598 193 11 11

We had a 'data forensics' lab meeting yesterday. We investigated everyone's close-to-submission datasets under the (false) assumption the data was faked & we had to find proof 🔍🧐

We found some mistakes & weirdnesses and it was such a good exercise in good data management! Highly recommend!

1 month ago 137 18 4 0
Graph showing the proportion of clinical psychology studies that adopted four transparent research practices (preregistration and sharing of measurement instruments, data, and analysis scripts) at three time points (2012, 2018, 2024). The graph suggests adoption of these practices has increased but remains uncommon.

Graph showing the proportion of clinical psychology studies that adopted four transparent research practices (preregistration and sharing of measurement instruments, data, and analysis scripts) at three time points (2012, 2018, 2024). The graph suggests adoption of these practices has increased but remains uncommon.

Graph showing the proportion of clinical psychology studies that adopted three transparent research practices (reporting guidelines and disclosure of conflicts of interest and funding) at three time points (2012, 2018, 2024). The graph suggests use of reporting guidelines has increased but remains uncommon. Conflict of interest disclosure statements have increased and are now quite common. Funding disclosure statements were relatively common across the three time points.

Graph showing the proportion of clinical psychology studies that adopted three transparent research practices (reporting guidelines and disclosure of conflicts of interest and funding) at three time points (2012, 2018, 2024). The graph suggests use of reporting guidelines has increased but remains uncommon. Conflict of interest disclosure statements have increased and are now quite common. Funding disclosure statements were relatively common across the three time points.

Has transparency improved in clinical psychology? New cross sectional study from us (Bianca Kotoulas, Justine Blackwell & me). Adoption of transparent research practices has increased between 2012, 2018, & 2024, but aside from coi and funding disclosures, they remain uncommon osf.io/preprints/ps...

1 month ago 57 21 0 1
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SORTEE Webinar: On what makes good sharable and reproducible R code, how to do it, and why it’s good for science For this month's SORTEE webinar, Dr. Dax Kellie from the Atlas of Living Australia will present on good, sharable, and reproducible R code in science

Coming up in March! Join @sortee.bsky.social for a webinar with @daxkellie.bsky.social on good, shareable, and reproducible R code - register here: events.humanitix.com/sortee-webin...

1 month ago 23 23 0 1
Screen shot of title page of a preprint.
Title: Should generative AI be used in reflexive qualitative research?
Authors: Elida Izani Ibrahim, Laura K. Nelson, and Andrea Voyer

Screen shot of title page of a preprint. Title: Should generative AI be used in reflexive qualitative research? Authors: Elida Izani Ibrahim, Laura K. Nelson, and Andrea Voyer

Recent publications arguing against the use of genAI in reflexive qual research inspired us (Elida Ibrahim and @andreavoyer.bsky.social) to write our own perspective. Not to convince anyone to use genAI but for those who might be interested and are looking for guidance.

osf.io/preprints/so...

2 months ago 52 21 2 0

Little blogpost reporting an analysis of recent (2021-2025) retractions of highly-cited papers in relation to #PubPeer comments. deevybee.blogspot.com/2026/02/the-...
#retractions #publishing

2 months ago 14 6 1 1
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"How do class gaps compare to race and gender gaps? Strikingly, we find that the class gaps in tenure-track academia are as large as or larger than analogous race or gender gaps."

2 months ago 55 14 2 0
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A megastudy of behavioral interventions to catalyze public, political, and financial climate advocacy Abstract. Addressing climate change depends on large-scale system changes, which require public advocacy. Here, we identified and tested 17 expert-crowdsou

New study finds that emphasizing collective efficacy (people's ability to catalyze large-scale change) is very effective in catalyzing behavioural change.

As you can see from my pinned post, I'm a big fan of simple messages that can mobilize public support for climate action!

2 months ago 238 79 3 7
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Writing is thinking

"On the value of human-generated scientific writing in the age of large-language models."

www.nature.com/articles/s44...

3 months ago 180 60 4 5
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How scientists can contribute to the social movements essential to protecting climate and nature - npj Climate Action Scientists have much to contribute to the growing social movements pushing for urgent and transformative change to address the climate and biodiversity crises. Depending on their skills, interests and...

There is much to be done, at all levels.

www.nature.com/articles/s44...

3 months ago 89 49 2 2
Statistical rethinking 2 with rstan and the tidyverse

The 0.5.0 version of my {brms} + {tidyverse} translation of McElreath's "Statistical Rethinking" (2nd ed) is up!

solomon.quarto.pub/sr2/

1/3

#rstats

3 months ago 117 31 3 0
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WARN-D machine learning competition is live » Eiko Fried If you share one single thing of our team in 2026—on social media or per email with your colleagues—please let it be this machine learning competition. It was half a decade of work to get here, especi...

After 5 years of data collection, our WARN-D machine learning competition to forecast depression onset is now LIVE! We hope many of you will participate—we have incredibly rich data.

If you share a single thing of my lab this year, please make it this competition.

eiko-fried.com/warn-d-machi...

3 months ago 189 159 5 7

Join me in congratulating @miriforbes.bsky.social for this recognition of her exceptional work!

Huge honor well deserved!

3 months ago 29 2 1 0

Just learned I've won the APA Distinguished Scientific Award for Early Career Contributions to Psychology in the area of psychopathology, and am feeling pretty delighted!! So grateful to @aidangcw.bsky.social for nominating me, and very proud of the work it's based on.

3 months ago 141 6 25 1
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Book cover for Reproducible Code guide. The cover has a red background with a large yellow-bodied black-headed stag beetle.

Book cover for Reproducible Code guide. The cover has a red background with a large yellow-bodied black-headed stag beetle.

Excited to launch the new improved Reproducible Code guide from @britishecologicalsociety.org @methodsinecoevol.bsky.social FREE online here! www.britishecologicalsociety.org//wp-content/... Amazing work by some very talented ECRs. We hope it’s useful!

4 months ago 316 198 6 9
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The breeding season is in full swing! After some troubles with currawong predation, most of the groups are on their second or third nest, and all the parents are busy provisioning their young 🦗🐦 30 chicks banded so far! #superbfairywren #SFW_ANU #birds #ecology

4 months ago 11 2 0 1

Congratulations Ben!!! 🥳🥳🥳🥳🥳🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

4 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Global sampling decline erodes science potential of natural history collections - Nature Communications Natural history collections hold over two billion specimens representing Earth’s biodiversity, but their scientific value depends on continued specimen collection and digitisation. This study demonstr...

“Overall, these findings suggest that the value of natural history collections as global research infrastructure is eroding due to decreased collecting of specimen data across species, locations, and time.“ doi.org/10.1038/s414... Interesting analysis based on @gbif.org data.

4 months ago 21 13 1 0
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Global sampling decline erodes science potential of natural history collections - Nature Communications Natural history collections hold over two billion specimens representing Earth’s biodiversity, but their scientific value depends on continued specimen collection and digitisation. This study demonstr...

We need new collections but - most importantly - the future generations of scientists will need new collections. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

4 months ago 6 3 0 0
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Global sampling decline erodes science potential of natural history collections - Nature Communications Natural history collections hold over two billion specimens representing Earth’s biodiversity, but their scientific value depends on continued specimen collection and digitisation. This study demonstr...

In an era marked by rapid climate change and biodiversity loss, it is imperative that we continue to invest in the unique value of natural history collections data

"Global sampling decline erodes science potential of natural history collections" 🧪

4 months ago 56 24 1 1
GBIF specimen records—number of specimens, unique species and spatial extent for Chordata, Arthropoda and Plantae (1950–2019).

GBIF specimen records—number of specimens, unique species and spatial extent for Chordata, Arthropoda and Plantae (1950–2019).

"Here we show substantial declines in the rates of collection of specimen data over recent decades, from analysis of over 150 million records from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) spanning more than two centuries"
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
🧪 #Macroecology #EvoBio #Paleobio

4 months ago 38 10 0 1

I’m pretty delighted to be part of this awesome group! Can’t wait to work together in this new chapter for HiTOP

4 months ago 31 2 2 0
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