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Can LLMs accurately embody human preferences regarding American values using demographic identifiers as character traits? Learn what happened when researchers tested this model during their session at #aapor25. Learn more: buff.ly/ZO6OQ64

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The great Upper Midwest standoff: Nation thinks Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa are all 'equally good' A national survey finally addresses the age-old question: “Which state is better? Minnesota, Wisconsin or Iowa?” The most popular answer? “All are equally good.”

My latest, via @mprnews.org, seeks to answer the question:

Which state is better: Minnesota, Wisconsin or Iowa?

www.mprnews.org/story/2025/0... cc: @apmresearchlab.org

data: @verasight.bsky.social's #aapor25 survey

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The great Upper Midwest standoff: Nation thinks Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa are all 'equally good' — APM Research Lab A national survey finally addresses the age old question: “Which state is better? Minnesota, Wisconsin or Iowa?” The most popular answer? “All are equally good.”

New on our #LabNotes blog, by @craigstetter.bsky.social

The question: “Which state is better? Minnesota, Wisconsin or Iowa?”

The most popular answer was “All are equally good.”

www.apmresearchlab.org/blog/title-t...

@verasight.bsky.social's #aapor25 survey

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📊 At @aapor.bsky.social’s Annual Conference, GSG Vice President @alexvhj.bsky.social shared how we significantly reduced 2024 polling error and bias using vote recall, turnout weighting & engagement-based weights — all built on lessons from 2020 & 2022. #AAPOR25

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This is what passes for advanced analysis in this field and I'm not exaggerating

Everyone- @natesilver538.tweet.pub ,@fivethirtyeight.universeodon.com.ap.brid.gy, @aapor.bsky.social, @statmodeling.bsky.social and anyone else who cares should take notice, and fix their methods & standards

#AAPOR25

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What the polls actually tell you about the NYC mayoral race A recent Marist poll shows former governor Andrew Cuomo still at the front of the pack. Here's what to make of the numbers.

I enjoyed their polling explainer at the end -- especially right on the tail of @aapor.bsky.social #AAPOR25.

gothamist.com/news/liz

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House with downed trees from St Louis tornado

House with downed trees from St Louis tornado

Old tree in pieces

Old tree in pieces

Road blocked by trees from St Louis tornado

Road blocked by trees from St Louis tornado

Ancient tree uprooted by tornado

Ancient tree uprooted by tornado

I did not expect such a dramatic ending to #aapor25
St Louis tornado

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#AAPOR25 is on the books! Now, time to enjoy some of St. Louis has to offer! 🍖
Awesome to finally meet in person some of you folks here! And always great to see again my people! Already looking forward to seeing everyone next year in the City of Angels! 😎

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Had the best week at #aapor25! Such a fun and insightful conference. 📊📈 @aapor.bsky.social

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Analyzing the Causal Effect of Survey Burden on Nonresponse in Probability-Based Online Panels Among New Panel Respondents
Friday, May 16th
4:15-5:45 PM
Midway Suite 1/2
Htay-Wah Saw

Analyzing the Causal Effect of Survey Burden on Nonresponse in Probability-Based Online Panels Among New Panel Respondents Friday, May 16th 4:15-5:45 PM Midway Suite 1/2 Htay-Wah Saw

📈 SRC's Htay-Wah Saw will present the results of a randomized control trial, which was used to evaluate the effect of survey burden on an online probability-based panel. Their findings will be presented at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/R3mA8

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Session: Prob/NonProb - Methods to Combine or Adjust Data to Improve Survey Estimates
Friday, May 16th
4:15-5:45 PM
Midway Suite 11
Raphael Nishimura

Session: Prob/NonProb - Methods to Combine or Adjust Data to Improve Survey Estimates Friday, May 16th 4:15-5:45 PM Midway Suite 11 Raphael Nishimura

📈 SRC's @rnishimura.bsky.social will moderate 'Methods to Combine or Adjust Data to Improve Survey Estimates' at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/D8rM9

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CNTI's @drnycnerd.bsky.social and Samuel Jens shared how people differentiate the admittedly fuzzy categories of "news" and "journalism" at #AAPOR25.

Missed it? Read about their presentation here: aapor.org/newsletters/...

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Session: Advances in Video and AI-Driven Survey Interviewing
Friday, May 16th
4:15-5:45 PM
Midway Suite 3/4
Andrew Hupp

Session: Advances in Video and AI-Driven Survey Interviewing Friday, May 16th 4:15-5:45 PM Midway Suite 3/4 Andrew Hupp

📈 Andrew Hupp will moderate 'Advances in Video and AI-Driven Survey Interviewing' at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/P3kR4

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Addressing Nonresponse Bias in Panel Surveys: Case Prioritization Using an Influence Measure in the 2022 Health and Retirement Study
Friday, May 16th
2:30-4:00 PM
Regency B
Sergio Martinez
Chendi Zhao
Heather Schroeder
Brady West

Addressing Nonresponse Bias in Panel Surveys: Case Prioritization Using an Influence Measure in the 2022 Health and Retirement Study Friday, May 16th 2:30-4:00 PM Regency B Sergio Martinez Chendi Zhao Heather Schroeder Brady West

📈 SRC's Sergio Martinez, Heather M. Schroeder, Chendi Zhao & @bradytwest.bsky.social examine the influence measure of response rates in panel surveys. They will present their findings at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/JPwJ2

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Navigating Data Privacy and Utility :a Study of the Impact of Data Perturbation on Small Area Estimation
Friday, May 16th
2:30-4:00 PM
Regency B
Chendi Zhao
Trivellore Raghunathan

Navigating Data Privacy and Utility :a Study of the Impact of Data Perturbation on Small Area Estimation Friday, May 16th 2:30-4:00 PM Regency B Chendi Zhao Trivellore Raghunathan

📈 SRC's Chendi Zhao and Trivellore Raghunathan examine how data perturbation impacts the accuracy of estimates in area-level Small Area Estimation. They will present their findings at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/e3g2x

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Simulation-Based Bayesian Optimal Sample Allocation
Friday, May 16th
2:30-4:00 PM
Midway Suite 5
Michael Elliott

Simulation-Based Bayesian Optimal Sample Allocation Friday, May 16th 2:30-4:00 PM Midway Suite 5 Michael Elliott

📈 Michael Elliott and Jonathan Mendelson offer an approach to a Bayseian sampling problem, which they will present at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/3RQyP

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What Predicts Consent and Full Participation in Special Surveys Involving Use of Geneactiv, Fitbit, and Atmotube Wearable Devices?
Friday, May 16th
2:30-4:00 PM
Midway Suite 9
Mick Couper
Htay-Wah Saw

What Predicts Consent and Full Participation in Special Surveys Involving Use of Geneactiv, Fitbit, and Atmotube Wearable Devices? Friday, May 16th 2:30-4:00 PM Midway Suite 9 Mick Couper Htay-Wah Saw

📈 SRC affiliates Mick Couper and Htay-Wah Saw used four studies to evaluate the selectivity across studies that involve wearables. Arie Kapteyn (@usc.edu) will present their findings at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/Nr6GZ

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Who Talks to Whom: Quantifying Echo Chamber Effects in Emerging Social Media Platforms
Friday, May 16th
2:30-4:00 PM
Midway Suite 1/2
Xinyi Chen
Mao Li

Who Talks to Whom: Quantifying Echo Chamber Effects in Emerging Social Media Platforms Friday, May 16th 2:30-4:00 PM Midway Suite 1/2 Xinyi Chen Mao Li

📈 SRC affiliates Mao Li and Xinyi Chen examine social media platforms in the "post-Twitter" era to find interaction patterns. They will present their findings at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/n1yWg

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Caregivers’ Daily Experiences Measured By Online Surveys, EMA, and Fitbit Data: Documenting Differential Participation in a Population Representative Sample
Friday, May 16th
2:30-4:00 PM
Midway Suite 5
Marco Angrisani
Ritika Chaturvedi
Kira Birditt

Caregivers’ Daily Experiences Measured By Online Surveys, EMA, and Fitbit Data: Documenting Differential Participation in a Population Representative Sample Friday, May 16th 2:30-4:00 PM Midway Suite 5 Marco Angrisani Ritika Chaturvedi Kira Birditt

📈 SRC's Marco Angrisani, Ritika Chaturvedi & Kira Birditt examined data from the UAS-CLEAR participation process and will present their findings at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/Qw683

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Data Quality: A Smorgasbord of Survey Challenges
Friday, May 16th
2:30-4:00 PM
Midway Suite 5
James Wagner

Data Quality: A Smorgasbord of Survey Challenges Friday, May 16th 2:30-4:00 PM Midway Suite 5 James Wagner

📈 SRC's @jameswagner254.bsky.social will moderate the 'Data Quality: A Smorgasbord of Survey Challenges' session at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/Mk625

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Great stuff at #AAPOR25

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How Americans Get News on TikTok, X, Facebook and Instagram X is still more of a news destination than these other platforms, but the vast majority of users on all four see news-related content.

We shared insights from a few @pewresearch.org studies at this year’s #AAPOR25 on how people get news.

Sharing if anyone wants to dive deeper!

• What’s news: pewrsr.ch/4m7tpXf
• Getting news on TikTok, X, Facebook & IG: www.pewresearch.org?p=169348
• The rise of news influencers: pewrsr.ch/4emDUB2

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Great presenting on civic participation & elections at #AAPOR25, alongside
@masahiko-aida.bsky.social, Dino P. Christenson of Wash U
Oliver Corpus of Loyola Marymount,
@peterenns.bsky.social of @verasight.bsky.social, & my co-author Penn State's Eric Plutzer

@aapor.bsky.social @apmresearchlab.org

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Roper exhibit table at AAPOR 2025

Roper exhibit table at AAPOR 2025

It’s a beautiful Friday in St. Louis and we have an excellent spot in the exhibit hall under the sunshine. Join the Roper Center for exhibitor luncheon at noon and take access to Roper iPoll home with you. #AAPOR25

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Sample Stratification for Election Studies
Friday, May 16th
1:00-2:30 PM
Midway East, West
Raphael Nishimura
Paul Burton
Matthew DeBell

Sample Stratification for Election Studies Friday, May 16th 1:00-2:30 PM Midway East, West Raphael Nishimura Paul Burton Matthew DeBell

📈 @rnishimura & Paul Burton, w/Matthew DeBell, used data from the @electionstudies.bsky.social to discuss the principles of sample stratification design and its role in objectives often seen in national United States election surveys. They will discuss their findings at #AAPOR25 myumi.ch/bVEx6

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Come over and say "Hi!" at #AAPOR Poster Session III at 1PM. I'll be showing the approach we used to stratify the Primary Sampling Units of the Fresh Face-to-Face 2024 American National Election Studies.
#AAPOR25
aapor.confex.com/aapor/2025/m...

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It's an early morning #AAPOR session, but never too early to watch a @bradytwest.bsky.social talk!
Today he's discussing important considerations when looking for reference probability samples to be used for inferences on non-probability samples -- joint work with @randridge.bsky.social
#AAPOR25

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Starting today's #aapor25 with a presentation from SSRS' Kyle Berta: do panelists get mad when you ask them omnibus surveys with a bunch of wildly differing topics (politics, ice cream, AI)? Luckily, not too mad!

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Please note the schedule change for Friday at #aapor25. The Presidential Address has been canceled. Lunch will be served at noon in the exhibit hall & poster sessions will begin at 1:00 pm. Read more: aapor.org/80th-annual-...

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It's a beautiful, sunny morning at #aapor25! Grab your coffee and let's start the last day on the right (or left) foot.

What sessions are you looking forward to today?

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