Last session for me today, in what I was apparently supposed to be tagging #TropMed23 instead of #ASTMH23.
Social and behavioral research for development and evaluation of vector control
#ASTMH23
Next session of #ASTMH23 is Science Under Assault, aka the first conference talk I've ever seen security for
Donal Bisanzio again, now on movement and dz transmission in Kenya #ASTMH23
Combined questionnaire and GPS points to estimate movement patterns
Put in Cassandra to stimulate disease X, id'd potential hotspots
Donal Bisanzio on the 2023 Ebola outbreak in Uganda #ASTMH23
Cassandra (network) Model to see what would have happened without preparedness
5m delay in response, 5x deaths
Hits Kampala? Repeat of W Africa outbreak
Next Noel Patson on causal inference to estimate the impact of insecticide treated bed nets on malaria #ASTMH23
Fear of malaria is a time-varying confounder. Net use increases with incidence. Use MSM with IPTW to account for confounding. Found significant protection after adjusting
First modeling session of #ASTMH23, starting with Jeanne Lemant on decisions for seasonal malaria chemoprevention in Benin
Include older children or more districts? Used OpenMalaria ABM
Geographic expansion would reduce cases more, and more cases averted/$
Me in front of a poster
Abrar Hussain in front of a poster
Suman Bhowmick in front of a poster
Come find us in the entomology posters at #ASTMH23
Maina L'Amour Jackson on the CEPI disease X vaccine library development program #ASTMH23
Goal: 100d from detection to vx trials. C19 was 326d. More initial prep needed- prototype libraries, clinical trial networks, lab networks, manufacturing capacity
Libraries need risk ranking viral families
James Bangura on One Health surveillance for disease X in Sierra Leone #ASTMH23
Looking for the source of the Ebola outbreak, found multiple zoonotic viruses in bats before spillover
Broaden stakeholder engagement inclusively
Build systems for sustainability
Integrate!
Jane Fieldhouse on timeliness in One Health outbreak response #ASTMH23
717: 7d to detect, 1d to alert, 7d to respond
Outbreaks in Uganda, prediction, prevention, and after action reports not often reported. Failure of interoperability of reporting channels. Frequent, scary dz response faster
Next is Angel Desai on the accelerating pace of EIDs #ASTMH23
Many factors driving emergence yet to be fully understood, but wildlife, travel, land use change are important
Early warning systems need to involve multiple driving factors. We lack data on behavioral factors
First full day of #ASTMH23 starting with Jonna Mazet in the spillover session
Don't talk about spillover in the singular- it happens more than you think
We need the anthropologists, communication, etc to understand risk
260 known zoonotic viruses, 0.5m likely out there
Happy to be at my 1st in person #ASTMH23
Starting with Ambassador John Nkengasong on Global Health Security
The 5 ps for managing pandemics: politics, population, policies, partnerships, pathogen
Examples from PEPFAR and C19
We can do science, but without politics nothing happens