Official publication of ' #NFL ghosts: A framework for evaluating defender positioning with conditional density estimation' is now available in the Annals of Applied Statistics projecteuclid.org/journals/ann... #BigDataBowl #sportsanalytics #CMSAC
Check out the latest from Quang Nguyen in the #CMSAC research lab #sportsanalytics #NFL #BigDataBowl
New paper by myself & @stat-ron.bsky.social
arxiv.org/abs/2603.17866
We introduce a generative modeling framework to evaluate continuous-time player movement against a distribution of frame-level hypotheticals
#cmsac #nfl #bigdatabowl #sportsanalytics #ghosting
Messed around with this year's #BigDataBowl data. In each frame, I (i) simulated remaining path (lines) while conditioning on all prev. positions (dots) ; and (ii) computed posterior predictive prob. of completion, INT, etc. Lots left to refine (esp. conditional prior mean of DB's trajectory)
that's #bigdatabowl, to me
My paper (coauthored w/ @stat-ron.bsky.social) on modeling variability in QB snap timing using #BigDataBowl data is published in JRSSA.
academic.oup.com/jrsssa/advan...
now #BigDataBowl decides to get on board with snake_case after I gave up and embraced their camelCase
Thanks to NextGenStats and @awscloud.bsky.social for the partnership, @kaggle.com for hosting, and to all of our loyal participants for ensuring that our competition is changing the game
#BigDataBowl
The 2026 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl is live!
Participants can sign up for two competitions:
- leaderboard
- traditional analytics competition
This year's task: predict/understand player movement when the ball is in the air
Great article on the cutting-edge #NFL #BigDataBowl data research by PhD student Quang Nguyen (@qntkhvn.bsky.social) - #Steelers fans should read this! Watt vs. Garrett? Metcalf vs. Pickens? Quang Nguyen Uses #NextGenStats To Evaluate Player Performance www.cmu.edu/dietrich/new...
Check out the latest #CMSAC #sportsanalytics research w/ #BigDataBowl data by @qntkhvn.bsky.social on modeling #NFL player change of direction: arxiv.org/pdf/2507.06122 this is a component of Quang's recent thesis proposal and I'm excited for more to come (he does all the work, I just opine)
Using #BigDataBowl tracking data, we model the instantaneous turn angle (i.e. the angle a player takes between consecutive steps; inspired by the animal movement literature) for NFL ball carriers.
We focus on RBs after handoff and RBs/TEs/WRs after the catch.
Heading to Yale this week to lead a player tracking data workshop with #BigDataBowl data at CSAS 2025 statds.org/events/csas2...
Feel free to reach out and say hi if you’re there.
Happy to connect and chat about sports / stats / #cmsac / literally anything else
Instructions for folks who want feedback on their 2025 #BigDataBowl Submissions:
www.kaggle.com/competitions...
Today #BigDataBowl
Check it out: #BigDataBowl Down, set, hut! -> 'A multilevel model with heterogeneous variances for snap timing in the #NFL' arxiv.org/abs/2502.16313
New paper w/ @stat-ron.bsky.social on modeling snap timing variability in the NFL, building upon our recent #BigDataBowl entry. #CMSAC #sportsanalytics
Check out the preprint: arxiv.org/abs/2502.16313
Excited to share that I'll be in Athens Greece May 5-6 to speak at the AUEB Sports Analytics Workshop & Conference! aueb-analytics.wixsite.com/saw2025 Looking forward to connecting w/ the international #sportsanalytics community, presenting #CMSAC #BigDataBowl research on modeling #NFL tackling
Details on the 2025 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl
I had a great time talking with Amrit Vignesh on the #SportsAnalytics podcast podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/s...! Thanks to Dave Yount for the invite, you can find the video here: youtube.com/watch?v=SsXW... - we covered a lot in this! #sportsanalytics #BigDataBowl #statistics #datascience
I've noticed this as well when going through #BigDataBowl notebooks (not knowing which ones are submitted or not)
Congrats again to @qntkhvn.bsky.social and @abhiv05.bsky.social on their #BigDataBowl semi-finalist submissions! cmu.edu/news/stories...
+ Down, set, hut! kaggle.com/code/tindata...
+ Trench Chess kaggle.com/code/abhishe...
#sportsanalytics #NFL #datascience #CMSAC
Check out this article on the latest #CMSAC #BigDataBowl work! cmu.edu/news/stories...
Big congrats to sophomore @abhiv05.bsky.social for his semi-finalist submission 'Trench Chess'! kaggle.com/code/abhishe...
And you can also read our predictions for the upcoming #SuperBowl
I'm heading to Indianapolis for the #NFL Combine & #BigDataBowl! I'll be there all day Wed Feb 26th, so please reach out if you're going! Happy to talk football analytics and all things related to the Carnegie Mellon #SportsAnalytics Center: stat.cmu.edu/cmsac #CMSAC
@qntkhvn.bsky.social did all the work, officially a #BigDataBowl legend (although is this a signal that the Eagles are going to upset the Chiefs and stop the 3-peat???)
Congrats to everyone! And big congrats to the finalists - the Combine is an awesome experience that you won't forget! And big congrats to #CMSAC entries by @qntkhvn.bsky.social and @abhiv05.bsky.social for their semi-finalist finishes! #BigDataBowl
Congratulations to the Finalists, Semi-Finalists, and Honorable Mention finishers in the 2025 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl
Congratulations to the Finalists, Semi-Finalists, and Honorable Mention finishers in the 2025 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl
Regardless of the announcement - congrats to everyone that made a submission! Just getting something out there is an achievement and something to point to in your #sportsanalytics #datascience portfolio #BigDataBowl