Two Fireballs Classified as Interstellar Reignite Debate Over Meteor Rates and Possible Artificial Probes Host The Angry Astronaut reviews a new analysis by Avi Loeb and a postdoctoral collaborator identifying two recent fireballs (July 28, 2022 and February 12, 2025) as statistically robust interstellar meteors based on calibrated velocity modeling of NASA’s CNEOS data. The discussion weighs the scientific implications of an unexpectedly high rate of meter-scale interstellar impacts against speculative interpretations that some entries could be deliberate probes, possibly linked to larger visitors such as 3I Atlas.

Two fireballs newly classified as interstellar reignite debate over meter-scale meteor rates and whether some entries could be deliberate probes — a new CNEOS analysis discussed by The Angry Astronaut and Avi Loeb #Interstellar #CNEOS #AviLoeb #MeteorRates

Un artículo liderado por Eloy Peña-Asensio @eloy-peas.bsky.social muy necesario para conocer mejor la imprecisión de los datos relativos a grandes bólidos meteóricos detectados por los satélites de defensa:
t.co/TP4EwDnKLH
La base de datos de #CNEOs, disponible aquí
🌠🔖 cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/

COMO VENGO ADVERTIENDO desde hace semanas en @Conversation_E:
theconversation.com/asteroide-20...
Y expliqué a @rtvenoticias ayer, es cuestión de tiempo que la mejora progresiva en la órbita minimice la probabilidad de impacto hasta descartarlo (ya ha bajado a 1,5% #CNEOS)
t.co/j1waqoXeKA
#astronomy

Asteroid headed towards Earth might smash into the Moon, scientists say Nasa expects chances of Earth collision to be revised down in future estimates

👇🌏"Asteroid headed towards Earth might hit the Moon, scientists say" #IncomingAsteroid #Moon
#2024YR4 #NASA #CNEOS #Astronomy

Astéroïde 2024 YR4: Risque d’impact accru mais pas de panique Principaux renseignements La probabilité que l’astéroïde 224 YR4 entre en collision avec la Terre en 2032 a augmenté, mais les experts soulignent qu’il n’y a pas lieu de paniquer. Le Center for Near Earth Object Studies (Cneos) de la NASA estime désormais…

Astéroïde 2024 YR4: Risque d’impact accru mais pas de panique #Astéroïde #Impact #NASA #Cneos #Science

A layer style necklace with an atom, sprayed crystal, and druzy bead. each is on a different layer. Chains and charms are shades of silvers and cosmic blues.

2024 #YR4 inspired.

#asteroid #nasa #astrophysics #astronomy #cneos #stem #science #planetkiller #cosmos #galaxy #universe #ufo

Screenshot of a portion of the CNEOS Sentry asteroid hazards table, showing new object 2024YR4 still highlighted in green (a Torino level 1 risk, the lowest nonzero level) and a cumulative impact risk of 0.16% (a lot) in 2032

Screenshot of the object details page for 2024 YR4 showing the orbit analysis is based on a range of observations that has been extended up to jan 9, now 14 days (was initially only 4 days)

Dang, it’s still there.
And the newest observations up thru YESTERDAY haven’t made it go away (like usually happens)
#2024YR4 #CNEOS #asteroid 🛰️
@sciguyspace.bsky.social

cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/detai...

The potential Torino-1-level impactor is still there after a few more days of observations, according to #CNEOS
(NOT a big worry)

Keeping an eye on these weird things is just one more service I offer

A screenshot of the https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/ impact risk table, showing a new entry highlighted in dark green for a 1 on the torino scale, the second-lowest level of interest

Oh cool the #CNEOS sky survey has picked up a potential impactor for 8y from now: #2024YR4. DON’T WORRY, this object has only been observed for 4 days and its orbit will likely get refined in a few days with more data.

See cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/

@NASAJPL’s #CNEOS counts 29,131 near-Earth asteroids, 852 that are >1km in size & would cause catastrophic damage if it hit Earth. This summer I’m an academic director @SSPers where talented HS students in STEM are tasked with observing a NEA & determining its orbit. #AsteroidDay

#cneos is NASA's center for computing asteroid and comet orbits and their odds of Earth impact