#IranWar #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #InternationalRelations #ForeignPolicy #USForeignPolicy #Israel #Iran #GlobalOrder #WorldPolitics #SecurityStudies #WarAndPeace #AsymmetricWarfare #EnergySecurity #OilMarkets #GlobalEconomy #Hegemony #SoftPower #MilitaryStrategy #ConflictAnalysis

Not every war ends in victory. Sometimes, it ends in exhaustion, pressure, and compromise. The US-Iran-Israel conflict is heading exactly there.
#Geopolitics #MiddleEast #ConflictAnalysis
Read FullrArticle: stratheia.com/the-cost-of-...

Quagmire in the Gulf: 13 points from when war games meets reality in US-Iran conflict Three weeks into the war with Iran, the trajectory of the conflict is beginning to resemble some of the worst-case scenarios long modelled by policymakers and analysts, according to Ilan Goldenberg, a former US Department of Defence official.

Three weeks into the war with Iran, the trajectory of the conflict is beginning to resemble some of the worst-case scenarios long modelled by policymakers and analysts, according to Ilan Goldenberg, a former US… Bne IntelliNews #Iraq #Iran #USForeignPolicy #MilitaryStrategy #ConflictAnalysis

Wars rarely unfold as planned. The U.S.–Iran confrontation illustrates how strategic assumptions about rapid victory can quickly collapse when conflicts escalate into complex regional crises.
#USIranTensions #Geopolitics #ConflictAnalysis
Read Full Article: stratheia.com/underestimat...

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The Israeli military exploded several houses in Kfarkala, heightening concerns over regional tensions and the impact on civilian infrastructure amid the ongoing conflict in Southern Lebanon.

#Israel #Lebanon #ConflictAnalysis

Tehran aims to show both its domestic audience and regional proxies that external pressure has not broken their resolve.

#RationalAnalysis #ConflictAnalysis #FactBasedNews #RegionalSecurity

EUROPE-IS-US Can group identity predict conflict? A 6-factor model reveals how language, religion, ethnicity, norms, singularity & conflict readiness shape risks.

Why do some groups escalate conflicts while others don’t?
Our new analysis reveals 6 stable traits—language, religion, ethnicity, norms, singularity, and conflict preparedness—that predict long-term risks.

With Middle-East Case studies

#ConflictAnalysis #GroupIdentity #MiddleEast

📄𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗣𝗨𝗕𝗟𝗜𝗖𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡 by @kristoftiteca.bsky.social & @salvgio.bsky.social
@egmontinstitute.bsky.social

"Beyond the jihadist label: Understanding the ADF’s multilayered violence"

#EgmontInstitute #DRC #GreatLakes #ConflictAnalysis #SecurityPolicy #ArmedGroups #Africa

𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 👉 tinyurl.com/55ascyz6

#Sudan's 1000+ Days of War: Mapping international powers vying for influence amid massive and irreversible civilian suffering:
impactpolicygroup.com/insights/sud...
#KeepEyesOnSudan #KeepEyesOnDarfur #Geopolitics #RegionalSecurity #HumanitarianAid #ConflictAnalysis #SudanWar

When ISIS expanded, headlines debated narratives. On the ground, regional forces fought the violence directly. History is more complex than press labels. #ISIS #MiddleEast #MediaNarratives #ConflictAnalysis

Why Does the Ukraine Conflict Feel Like an Endless War? | Analyzing the Negotiation Loop & European Stance

Why does the Ukraine conflict seem endless? 🤔 Examining the five-step negotiation cycle, attrition tactics, and Europe's firm stance reveals why diplomacy remains elusive. www.specializedxyz.com/journal/the-... #Ukraine #ConflictAnalysis #Diplomacy #Geopolitics

G.A.Z.A - Grounded in History, Abandoned by Justice, Zoned by Power, Awaiting Accountability - Stratheia An analysis of Gaza’s devastation as a product of occupation, displacement, and global complicity rather than an isolated war.

Occupation and blockade do not create security—they produce perpetual trauma, resistance, and instability.
#ConflictAnalysis #Blockade #Security
stratheia.com/g-a-z-a-grou...

BasisPointInsight.com - The Middle East After Gaza: Strategic Stalemates and Uncertain Futures by Lt Gen Syed Ata Hasnain (Retd) As 2025 ends, the Middle East remains in flux—Gaza quiet but unresolved, Iran under strain, Gulf cautious, and global powers navigating a region where pauses don’t mean peace. by Lt Gen Syed Ata Hasna...

As 2025 ends, the Middle East remains in flux—Gaza quiet but unresolved, Iran under strain, Gulf cautious, and global powers navigating a region where pauses don’t mean peace.

Read Lt Gen Syed Ata Hasnain’s (Retd) year-ender for BasisPoint 👇

#Geopolitics #GlobalOrder #WestAsia #ConflictAnalysis

Discussion: Is this Ukraine's 'Now or Never' Moment for Peace and Victory?

Is this Ukraine’s critical moment for peace? Has Russia failed strategically? Can Ukraine secure victory? Are we at a tipping point or just the beginning of a longer fight. www.specializedxyz.com/journal/is-p... #Ukraine #Peace #Geopolitics #ConflictAnalysis

📄𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗣𝗨𝗕𝗟𝗜𝗖𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡 by @kristoftiteca.bsky.social
@egmontinstitute.bsky.social

"Why Sudan’s conflict is escalating — and becoming harder to stop"

#Sudan #HornOfAfrica #ConflictAnalysis #Geopolitics #Peacebuilding

𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 👉 tinyurl.com/cj6kwpu9

💥 Urban Combat and Digital Shadows: Pokrovsk and the Convergence of Kinetic and Information Warfare - 📰 Read the complete article from ComplexDiscovery OÜ's geopolitical beat at complexdiscovery.com/urban-combat.... #Geopolitics #HybridWarfare #Cybersecurity #ConflictAnalysis #InformationWarfare

Zentrale Erkenntnisse? Junge Menschen müssen als Expert:innen anerkannt und bei Entscheidungen von Anfang an einbezogen werden!

Mehr Infos zur #YPS-Agenda:
➡️ www.un.org/en/peace-and...

#ZIF #YouthPeaceSecurity #ConflictAnalysis

The discussion underscores deep divisions in understanding the Gaza crisis, reflecting challenges in agreeing on facts, responsibility, and pathways to resolution amidst complex political and humanitarian challenges. #ConflictAnalysis 6/6

Overall, the Hacker News discussion showcased the profound complexity and often conflicting perspectives on the conflict. It highlighted the challenge of seeking accountability and justice amidst deeply entrenched narratives. #ConflictAnalysis 6/6

Fighting continues in Syrian city of Suwayda despite ceasefire announcement Fighting continues between Syrian security forces and armed groups in the southern city of Suwayda. It comes hours after a ceasefire was announced after negotiations with local community leaders. Meanwhile, Israel carried out air strikes targeting Syrian forces - entering Suwadya - in what it says was a measure to prevent the troops from attacking the Druze community in the city. The latest fighting between Bedouin groups and Druze fighters has killed at least 70 people since the weekend. Syria says Israeli air strikes violate international law. Al Jazeera’s Osama Bin Javaid has the latest from Damascus, Syria. Rob Geist Pinfold is a Lecturer in International Security at King’s College London, he is also a research fellow at Peace Research Center Prague. He blames Israel for instigating tensions between two groups into full-scale violence in Suwayda. Subscribe to our channel: http://bit.ly/AJSubscribe Follow us on X: https://x.com/ajenglish Find us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/aljazeera Check our website: https://www.aljazeera.com Check out our Instagram page: https://www.instagram.com/aljazeeraenglish Download AJE Mobile App: https://aje.io/AJEMobile #Syria #SyriaConflict #Suwayda #Bedouin #Druze #SyriaClashes #SyriaSecurityForces #SyriaSectarianViolence #SyriaWar #SyriaCivilWar #BasharAlAssad #SyriaAfterAssad #AlJazeeraEnglish

❓ What do Israel's actions in Syria signal about its intentions?

"This was not purely performative." - Dr Rob Geist Pinfold, King's Defence Studies lecturer, shares insights on Al Jazeera

🔗 📽️ bit.ly/44MfFuB

#IsraelSyria #ConflictAnalysis #InternationalSecurity

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Hezbollah faces challenges and weakened influence after heavy losses in its “support war” against Israel. The group is pressured to disarm and comply with UN resolutions, struggling with reduced power both domestically and regionally.

#Hezbollah #LebanonPolitics #ConflictAnalysis

Iran’s Missile Strikes and the Shattered Illusion of Israeli Invincibility - Stratheia Iran’s 12-day missile campaign shattered Israeli deterrence myths, exposing military, economic, and strategic vulnerabilities.

$1 billion a day in damages, key command centers crippled, and jets grounded. This wasn’t a shock, it was designed.
#IranIsraelWar #MilitaryCalculus #ConflictAnalysis
stratheia.com/irans-missil...

🕊️ Israel & Hezbollah clash in volatile Lebanon, raising fears of wider regional conflict. Over 20 Hezbollah fighters killed, Israel vows continued strikes until Hezbollah ceases attacks. 🧪 #MiddleEast #ConflictAnalysis #... see if amazon is running any sales today: tinyurl.com/amazondiscou...

📄 𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗣𝗨𝗕𝗟𝗜𝗖𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡 by @kristoftiteca.bsky.social‬ & Giovanni Salvaggio

‘Understanding Uganda’s (Ambiguous) Actions in Eastern DRC: Military Interventions to Protect Roads and Trade?’

#DRC #Uganda #GreatLakesRegion #ConflictAnalysis #Geopolitics #TradeAndSecurity

𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗶𝘁 𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 👉 tinyurl.com/bdvv5x3m

4. 2023–2024: Direct and Indirect Conflict
After the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks, Iran’s support for regional groups became more prominent. In 2024, Israel launched direct airstrikes, leading to retaliatory actions. Hundreds of missiles and drones were exchanged.
#ConflictAnalysis #IranIsrael

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Tensions between Iran and Israel escalate with missile strikes and mutual accusations, leading to increased public anxiety and division as military actions worsen and de-escalation seems unlikely.

#Iran #Israel #ConflictAnalysis

The Ripple Effects of the Israel-Iran Conflict on Central Asia - The Times Of Central Asia The Israel-Iran conflict has escalated dramatically, with Israel launching large-scale strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and military targets, including

Our @stephenmbland.bsky.social reports Central Asia balances on a geopolitical tightrope as the Israel-Iran conflict escalates, impacting trade, security, and diplomacy timesca.com/the-ripple-e... #CentralAsia #Geopolitics #IsraelIranConflict #RegionalStability #ConflictAnalysis