CEPAE: Conditional Entropy-Penalized Autoencoders for Time Series Counterfactuals

Tomas Garriga, Gerard Sanz, Eduard Serrahima de Cambra, Axel Brando

Action editor: Fredrik Johansson

https://openreview.net/forum?id=X6lrzqOtQo

#autoencoders #counterfactuals #counterfactual

What If France Had Started World War II? By Nick OttensThis article was first published over here by our friends at Never Was Magazine and is shared as part of our partnership with Never Was. For more articles like this please check out thei...

Originally published through "Never Was" magazine, Nick Ottens considers the #WhatIf possibility of #France pre-emptively starting #WW2. #AlternateHistory #Counterfactual www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/what-if...

The 21st Century Red Army That Never Was By Colin SaltBritish Sovietologist Charles J. Dick passed away last year from Covid complications. He was known primarily for writing about the Soviet Military and one of his works deserves to be look...

Colin Salt examines how the #Soviet #Army might have continued to develop in a scenario where the #ColdWar did not end but continued into the 21st century. #RedArmy #MilitaryHistory #AlternateHistory #WhatIf #Counterfactual www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/the-21s...

Algorithmic Recourse in Abnormal Multivariate Time Series

Xiao Han, Lu Zhang, Yongkai Wu, Shuhan Yuan

Action editor: Cedric Archambeau

https://openreview.net/forum?id=kzxFc2Suo5

#backtracking #recourse #counterfactual

Interviewing the AH Community: Brent A. Harris Questions from Gary OswaldCounter factual and Alternate History discussion and fiction is a large and healthy online community. Sea Lion Press has always had the aim of providing a platform for Altern...

From the archives: Gary Oswald ( @garyoswald.bsky.social ) interviews Brent A. Harris, #AlternateHistory #writer and co-founder of Inklings Press. #author #authorinterview #counterfactual #whatif #fiction #writing www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/intervi...

Changing The World - The Geography of Alternate History By Katherine Foy“In this great chain of causes and effects, no single fact can be considered in isolation”.Alexander von Humboldt (1769-1859)​Alternate history is all about contingency – in layman's t...

Katie Foy looks into #AlternateHistory scenarios that look at the changing #geography of our world, not only the human #history that it influences in ways we often fail to perceive. #Counterfactual #WhatIf www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/changin...

Template-Based Probes Are Imperfect Lenses for Counterfactual Bias Evaluation in LLMs

Farnaz Kohankhaki, D. B. Emerson, Jacob-Junqi Tian et al.

Action editor: Dennis Wei

https://openreview.net/forum?id=lhWEovKdoU

#biases #bias #counterfactual

Interviewing the AH Community: Ben Kearns Questions from Gary OswaldCounter factual and Alternate History discussion and fiction is a large and healthy online community. Sea Lion Press has always had the aim of providing a platform for Altern...

From the archives: Gary Oswald interviews Ben Kearns of the " #AlternateHistory Show" #podcast. #Counterfactual #WhatIf #Fiction www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/intervi...

OUT OF THE BLUE | Sea Lion Press

In today's #SaturdayShowcase of past SLP #AlternateHistory #books it's "Out of the Blue" by Austin Ross, in which #RonaldReagan unexpectedly becomes US #President in 1968, 12 years before he did in the #history we know. #WhatIf #Counterfactual #USpolitics www.sealionpress.co.uk/product-page...

Flying Wings By Nick OttensThis article was first published over here by our friends at Never Was Magazine and is shared as part of our partnership with Never Was. For more articles like this please check out thei...

Originally published by Never Was Magazine, Nick Ottens explores the idea of #flyingwing #aircraft becoming more mainstream. #Aviation #AviationHistory #MilitaryAircraft #AirForce #AlternateHistory #Counterfactual #WhatIf www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/flying-...

Writing Alternate History: Real vs Fictional Characters By Thomas Anderson.Alternate History fiction (or some of it at least) can be considered a specialised form of historical fiction. In particular, if one has set a story in a timeline not many years aft...

New: Tom Anderson discusses the unique challenges of #AlternateHistory #writing (it can also come into #historicalfiction) of whether to focus on using real historical figures or original #characters. #WritingCommunity #WhatIf #Counterfactual #Author #Fiction www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/writing...

I really can’t believe this needs to be said:

1. Thetis and Themis are not the same; the fact that someone has mixed them up is hilarious bc it evidences the #counterfactual #ignorance of #arrogance

2. Bc of this, any attempt to create an #Achillesheel off that basis will #fail

3. #ReturntoSender

Interview: Jared Kavanagh Questions from Gary OswaldThis Interview is with Jared Kavanagh, a regular SLP writer who can be found on facebook.Hello and thanks so much for talking to us.Thanks for inviting me to take part.First ...

From the archives: Gary Oswald interviews Jared Kavanagh, #author of yesterday's showcased #AlternateHistory #novel "Walking Through Dreams". #WhatIf #AuthorInterview #Counterfactual #Australia www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/intervi...

WALKING THROUGH DREAMS | Sea Lion Press

In today's #SaturdayShowcase of past SLP #AlternateHistory #books, it's "Walking Through Dreams" by Jared Kavanagh, an epic exploration of an #Australia in which founder crops allowed indigenous peoples to found urban civilisations. #WhatIf #Counterfactual www.sealionpress.co.uk/product-page...

This is how they continue to #deflect. It’s always #moving the #goalpost of #blamegame; never about #accountability + #concentrated #power.

It’s why #books are always #burned & targeted first.

There’s a reason #counterfactual #ignorance is so prevalent in the #UK.

#actuallyAuDHD

ask "what's the counterfactual?" ie what if that thing were't or hadn't been done?
Great angle, method, tip from @jennyschuetz.bsky.social @arnoldventures.bsky.social, shall be done always when I'm put in charge of the things
#counterfactual
#thoughtexperiment #counterpoint
bsky.app/profile/jenn...

Interviewing the AH Community: Carlos Arturo Serrano Questions from Gary OswaldCounter factual and Alternate History discussion and fiction is a large and healthy online community. Sea Lion Press has always had the aim of providing a platform for Altern...

From the archives: Gary Oswald ( @garyoswald.bsky.social ) interviews #AlternateHistory #writer and theorist Arturo Serrano ( @carturo222.bsky.social ), #author of "To Climates Unknown". #AuthorInterview #WhatIf #Counterfactual www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/intervi...

Review: The World Hitler Never Made By Gary Oswald.Gavriel D. Rosenfeld is the editor of the What Ifs of Jewish History AH book and owner of the Counterfactual History Review, a blog that has been running for twelve years and covers the...

Gary Oswald ( @garyoswald.bsky.social ) reviews "The World #Hitler Never Made" by Gavriel D. Rosenfeld, a magnum opus analysis of the many, many #AlternateHistory stories involving a #Nazi victory in #WW2. #Counterfactual #WhatIf #Dystopia #History www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/review-...

A poll was held on the server and Matrix.org won out, the cosmic lounge will be a matrix server. I don't expect an instant move to it but the space ID is here:
#the-cosmic-lounge:matrix.org

#spaceopera #scifi #postbiological #cyberpunk #transhuman #counterfactual #eldritch #space #planet #galaxy

Due to an increasing demand for explanations, this may involve counterfactual queries besides the typically considered factual queries.

We consider three types of queries: factual, #counterfactual, and robust counterfactual.

On the Hardness of Computing Counterfactual and Semi-factual Explanations in XAI

André Artelt, Martin Olsen, Kevin Tierney

Action editor: Taylor Killian

https://openreview.net/forum?id=aELzBw0q1O

#explanations #counterfactual #ai

#Term: #Counterfactual

"A counterfactual is a hypothetical #Scenario or statement that considers what would have happened if a specific event or condition had been different from what actually occurred. In simple terms, it is a 'what if' or 'if only' thought process t...

https://with.ga/85g79

#Term: #Counterfactual

"A counterfactual is a hypothetical #Scenario or statement that considers what would have happened if a specific event or condition had been different from what actually occurred. In simple terms, it is a 'what if' or 'if only' thought process t...

https://with.ga/85g79

Vignette: Republican Royal Racket By Charles Cartwright.On the Sea Lion Press Forums, we run a monthly Vignette Challenge. Contributors are invited to write short stories on a specific theme (changed monthly).The theme for the 91st co...

A unique #AlternateHistory vignette (ultra #shortfiction ) piece from Charles Cartwright, looking at a #French #royalist #election scam in a twenty-first century presidential contest... #WhatIf #Counterfactual #France www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/vignett...

Alternate History when the Capitol is Stormed: Musings on Our Genre and Recent Events By Alex WallaceI can’t help but have noticed how, since at least Trump was elected, and intensifying with the coming of the pandemic, that the mainstream media and the great social media commentariat ...

Alex Wallace discusses the challenges of #writing #AlternateHistory when it deals with visceral recent events. #WhatIf #Counterfactual #WritingCommunity www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/alterna...

Forest Carbon Baselines: Why Counterfactual Analysis Matters for Carbon Credits Scientific research on counterfactual baselines for forest carbon projects. How robust baseline estimation improves the credibility of carbon credits and offsets from restoration and avoided deforesta...

#Restoration is seen as the safer bet for #carbon finance. But it faces the same baseline challenge as avoided deforestation.
Both require a defensible #counterfactual. We revisit a
@science.org paper five years on.

belian.earth/news/counter...

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

#forests

The Many Faces of James Bond (Part 3) By Ryan Fleming Christmas. Merry Christmas.Somehow a film series about an alcoholic, gambling, womanising assassin became a staple of Christmas television in British households. Back before before eve...

Ryan Fleming looks at how the #JamesBond franchise became associated with #Christmas #television in the UK - and how things could have been different. #Counterfactual #WhatIf www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/the-man...

Winter Sale! Smashwords is having a sale for the rest of the month and dozens of Sea Lion Press books have 25% off, just in time for Christmas! Whatever your favourite period of history and preferred tone for AH t...

The #Smashwords #Christmas #sale is NOW ON! Please check out all the dozens of SLP #AlternateHistory #novels #discounted! #Books #BookOffer #WhatIf #Counterfactual #Writing #WritingCommunity www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/winter-...

Interviewing the AH Community: Alexander Rooksmoor Questions from Gary OswaldCounter factual and Alternate History discussion and fiction is a large and healthy online community. Sea Lion Press has always had the aim of providing a platform for Altern...

Gary Oswald ( @garyoswald.bsky.social ) interviews Alexander Rooksmoor, #AlternateHistory #author of yesterday's showcased #WhatIf #book, "Against the Devil's Men", among others. #AuthorInterview #Counterfactual www.sealionpress.co.uk/post/intervi...