"If you remember in 2023, there were #cyclonemocha in the Western part of Myanmar in #Rakhine. But of course if we compare to the tragic #earthquake last month. It is quite too devastating."

Myanmar’s military chief says foreign aid needed after deadly floods More than 235,000 people have been forced from their homes after floods and landslides caused by Typhoon Yagi.

200,000+ forced to flee after #TyphoonYagi, with #Myanmar junta "requesting" for int'l aid.

➡️Following #CycloneNargis & #CycloneMocha, Burmese military will weaponize humanitarian access. Int'l community must support CSOs, CBOs for direct aid delivery to civilians. www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/9/...

Today’s the last day of my birthday fundraiser and I would be so grateful if you could donate or share!

@MutualAidMyanmr are currently working hard to support communities devastated by Cyclone Mocha 💔

#WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
#CycloneMocha

New 18Z IMD #CycloneMocha surge forecast: 3-3.5m (9.8-11.5'), 0.5m higher than previous forecast. High tide is at 11 UTC, low tide is at 5 UTC. IMD predicts landfall at 6 UTC, just after low tide, so that is fortunate. Tidal range is about 1 meter. Myanmar gets the worst surge.

At 11 a.m. EDT May 13, #CycloneMocha ranked as the 8th-strongest tropical cyclone on record in the Bay of Bengal (BOB), with 150 mph winds, according to JTWC. The only landfalling Cat 5 in the BOB: 1999 Odisha Cyclone. Satellite data for the full Indian Ocean goes back to 1998.

Latest IMD #CycloneMocha surge forecast is 2.5-3m, 0.5m higher than yesterday's, but is likely too low, considering the 12Z Saturday JTWC intensity estimate is 150 mph--just 10 mph below Cat 5. Even if Mocha weakens to a Cat 3 at landfall, its surge will likely be Cat 4-level.