#DemosAU MRP fed poll
Follow up article on it here (was originally released in a pay walled Capital Brief article)
www.news.com.au/national/pol... #auspol

#DemosAU (MRP) ALP 29 L-NP 21 ON 27 Green 12 others 11

seat estimate ALP 83 ON 52 L-NP 9 (yep) Grn 1 others 5 - MRP method struggles with some of the IND seats, would expect a few more than that.

#DemosAU very similar to the other two this week but even worse for Liberals with a miserable 17%. #saparli

Who is voting One Nation? Exclusive SA polling reveals orange hotspots - News | InDaily, Inside South Australia Exclusive polling shows how much the Liberals stand to lose and who is voting for One Nation. Labor taking a dip in popularity from February.

Who is voting One Nation? Exclusive SA polling reveals orange hotspots. #DemosAU
Primaries: ALP 37 (-6) LIB 17 (-1) ON 23 (+4) GRN 11 (-1) OTH 12 (+4)
www.indailysa.com.au/news/just-in... #saparli #savotes No TPP given
Sample 1242 voters, 12-18 March

Minns’ popularity climbs as One Nation Splits Conservative Vote in NSW - DemosAU A surge in support for One Nation has split the Conservative vote in New South Wales, as Premier Chris Minns' personal popularity puts Labor in a strong

#DemosAU NSW state level poll
TPP: ALP 61 L/NP 39
Primaries: 34 (-3) L/NP 23 (-12.4) ON 21 (+19.2) GRN 15 (+2) OTH 7 (-9.1)
demosau.com/news/minns-p... #nswpol
(+/-) changes since 2023 state election
TPP as per pref flows at the election (2023 ALP 54.26 vs L/NP 45.74), but treat with caution now

#DemosAU SA (state) ALP 43 LIB 18 ON 19 GRN 12 OTH 8

Another dismal poll for the right which would win not very much if that were to play out. #saparli

Exclusive polling reveals battle for Libs to hold Opposition status - News | InDaily, Inside South Australia New state election polling reveals the Liberals' battle to clutch onto the Opposition bench will be fought in the regions.

#DemosAU SA state election poll reveals the Liberals’ battle to clutch onto the Opposition bench will be fought in the regions where some surprise players are fighting to upend the party.
Primaries ALP 43 LIB 18 ON 19 GRN 12 OTH 8
www.indailysa.com.au/news/just-in... #saparli #savotes No TPP given

Who do SA voters like most? Exclusive polling reveals top-rated pollie talent - News | InDaily, Inside South Australia SA party leader ratings include the pollie overseeing Labor's most public broken promise. Results back Liberal decision to switch leaders.

Who do SA voters like most? Exclusive polling reveals top-rated pollie talent
(South Australian leader + others pop rating from #DemosAU)
www.indailysa.com.au/news/just-in... #saparli #savotes

Exclusive polling results reveal surprise election players - News | InDaily, Inside South Australia Exclusive state election polling reveals just how many seats One Nation is likely to pick up in South Australia's upper house.

Exclusive polling results reveal surprise election players
(South Australian upper house polling figures from #DemosAU)
www.indailysa.com.au/news/just-in... #saparli #savotes

#DemosAU ALP 29 L-NP 21 ONP 28 GRN 12 Ind/other 10

Don't have access to full details yet.

My 2PP estimate for this poll 52.3 to ALP
My ALP vs ON estimate 51.3 (lowest so far from any pollster).

#DemosAU Qld (state) LNP 34 ALP 28 ON 21 Grn 10 Ind/Others 7
2PP 56-44 to LNP
(My last-election estimate 55-45 to LNP)
(OPV estimate 53-47 to LNP)
archive.md/SHh3P

One Nation Surge Hits Victoria - DemosAU A new DemosAU/PremierNational Victorian state poll shows a surge in support for One Nation, but the Liberal/National Coalition remain in poll position.

#DemosAU Vic(state) ALP 23 L-NP 29 ON 21 Grn 15 Ind/others 12

2PP 53-47 to L-NP #springst

Netsats Allan -37 Wilson +3
Pref Premier Wilson leads 40-31

demosau.com/news/one-nat...

DemosAU: Status Quo-ish Poll, But Is There An Elephant Outside The Room? Tasmanian and Australian psephology, opinion poll analysis, election analysis and political commentary by Dr Kevin Bonham.

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2026/02/demo...

#DemosAU: Status Quo-ish Poll, But Is There An Elephant Outside The Room? #politas

Rockliff government sheds support as independents surge in new poll ‘Despite the fall in the vote, Labor isn’t making any headway’…

#DemosAU TAS (state) Lib 35 ALP 23 IND 17 GRN 15 SFF 4 others 6 pulsetasmania.com.au/news/rocklif.... #politas

#DemosAU ALP 30 L/NP 21 ON 24 Green 13 others 12. Jan 13-21 DemosAU has ceased releasing 2PP. (FWIW I get 54.2 to ALP but ALP vs ON would be a bit lower).

It's a bird it's a plane it's #DemosAU with ALP 29 L-NP 23 ON 23 Green 12 others 13

Their 2PP 52-48 to ALP (my estimate 52.6).

They also have a 50-50 ALP vs ON number. Cautions below.

#DemosAU WA state level poll
TPP: ALP 56 (-1.1) L/NP 44 (+1.1)
Primaries: ALP 41 (-0.4) LIB 30 (+2) NAT 6 (+0.8) GRN 13 (+1.9) OTH 10 (-4.3)
Preferred Premier: Roger Cook (ALP) 47 Basil Zempilas (LIB) 34
Don't know 19
demosau.com/wp-content/u... #wapol
Dates: 10-26 Nov, Sample: 1012

#DemosAU (MRP) ALP 33 L-NP 24 Grn 13 ON 17 Ind/Other 13

2PP 56-44 to ALP

5 Oct - 11 Nov.

demosau.com/wp-content/u...

#DemosAU federal poll
TPP: ALP: 56 (+1) L/NP: 44 (-1)
Primaries: ALP 33 (-2) L/NP 24 (-8) ON 17 (+11) GRN 13 (+1) OTH 13 (-2)
demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol
DemosAU (MRP) | 5 Oct-11 Nov | n=6928 | +/- 2025 election

#DemosAU Vic (state) 51-49 to Coalition, again not an election winning lead. #springst

www.6newsau.com/post/exclusi...

DemosAU: Liberals Increase Lead Ahead Of Budget Tasmanian and Australian psephology, opinion poll analysis, election analysis and political commentary by Dr Kevin Bonham.

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/11/demo... #DemosAU: Liberals Increase Lead Ahead Of Budget #politas

#DemosAU Tas (state) Lib 41 ALP 24 Green 15 IND 14 SFF 2 other 4 #politas

pulsetasmania.com.au/news/rocklif...

#DemosAU Qld (state) LNP 37 ALP 29 Green 12 ON 14 IND/others 8. 2PP 54-46 to LNP.

Pref Premier (tends to favour incumbents) Crisafulli leads Miles 44-32.

Better for LNP than recent Resolve samples. #qldpol

#DemosAU Vic (state) ALP 26 L-NP 38 Greens 15 others 21. 2PP 51-49 to L-NP. Coalition would probably not win government on this, indeed Labor might still remain in majority #springst

demosau.com/wp-content/u...

NEW: The majority of Australians say they do NOT want a prime minister like #DonaldTrump, according to the result of a #DemosAU poll

Every single gender, age and location demographic disagreed with "Australia needs a Prime Minister like Donald #Trump" by between 65-79%

#AUSPOL #Drumpf #MAGA

Does Federal Parliament need more MPs? Less than a quarter of Australians would support increasing the number of MPs in federal parliament, despite claims electorate population sizes have grown too

#DemosAU national issue polling on democracy, Trump, the AEC, HTV cards, voting systems, and more.
demosau.com/news/does-fe...
The full report is here.
demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol
No voting intentions this time.

DemosAU: More Friendly Fire Than Seat Swing? Tasmanian and Australian psephology, opinion poll analysis, election analysis and political commentary by Dr Kevin Bonham.

#DemosAU: More Friendly Fire Than Seat Swing? Fine details from @pulsetasmania poll from yesterday kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/07/demo...

#politas

Hung parliament: Poll shows Tasmanian Liberals face minority rule Analyst: Labor is on track for its worst primary vote since 1903…

#DemosAU Tas (state) Lib 34.9 ALP 24.7 Green 15.6 Nat 2.7 Ind 20.3 SFF 1.8

My seat estimate for this poll Lib 13 ALP 10 Grn 6 IND 4 Nat 1 ??? 1

pulsetasmania.com.au/news/hung-pa... #politas

#DemosAU federal poll
TPP: ALP 59 (+3.8) L/NP 41 (-3.8)
Primaries: ALP 36 (+1.4) L/NP 26 (-5.8) GRN 14 (+1.8) ON 9 (+2.6) OTH (0)
demosau.com/wp-content/u... #auspol
(+/-) changes vs. last election, sample of 1199 voters

#DemosAU 59-41 to ALP with miserable Coalition primary. More evidence in favour of Labor still being in second honeymoon (re-elected govts don't always get one but they tend to if they overperform expectations) demosau.com/wp-content/u...