Three times the reverse gear handed me the bill. 🚗
“Things were better back then!” – simply not true. Hans Rosling’s “Factfulness” explains why. Ten instincts.
#Factfulness #SwissChris #HansRosling
👉 swisschris.ca/st-en/blog/p...
Lucibee thread - Apr 6, 2018 The more I poke, the more bits fall off. #PACEtrial #factfulness This time I poked the fitness test, one of the few "objective" measures they used. They reported that they had used a version of the test by Petrella et al., but then quoted a different equation in their supplementary data. #PACEfail None of the fitness equations had been validated in their patient population. Looking closely at the paper they cited, the population studied was healthy older adults. When this study included unhealthy people, it stopped being a good estimate of VO2max. #PACEfail And the equation they said they used gives very different results from those they actually quoted in their fitness graph in the only paper they reported them in (mediation analysis). #PACEfail So I have absolutely no idea exactly what they did do, because they didn't report it properly. Given that the authors themselves had concerns about the fitness testing (it reportedly caused harm to pts), this is problematic. #PACEfail
![Thread continues (Apr 6, 2018):
When a colleague tried to obtain the data for the fitness test, his request was deemed "vexatious".
I can now see why. They were probably too embarrassed to release it! #PACEfail
[colleague was Graham McPhee]
So not only did they use unreliable subjective measures in an unblinded trial, they also used unreliable objective measures too. #PACEfail
And @TheLancet
FastTracked this paper too.
#PACEfail
Mediation paper was published in @TheLancetPsych
Fitness data criticised here by Bob... http://thelancet.com/journals/lanpsy/article/PIIS2215-0366(15)00054-1/fulltext
Mediation analysis cannot be used to confirm a theory. You have to be damn sure that your theory is correct before you use it, because it won't tell you otherwise. #confirmationbias
But it can disprove it if the objective measures drop out. Which they did.
#PACEfail
Ref: "If the presumed causal model is not correct, the results from the mediational analysis are likely of little value." http://davidakenny.net/cm/mediate.htm](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:idf6m3amxguxiftesf7y24hd/bafkreie5rakh77jz2sf563v64w4z6puwlvjy3ewf22l32knjvlaptha3tq)
Thread continues (Apr 6, 2018): When a colleague tried to obtain the data for the fitness test, his request was deemed "vexatious". I can now see why. They were probably too embarrassed to release it! #PACEfail [colleague was Graham McPhee] So not only did they use unreliable subjective measures in an unblinded trial, they also used unreliable objective measures too. #PACEfail And @TheLancet FastTracked this paper too. #PACEfail Mediation paper was published in @TheLancetPsych Fitness data criticised here by Bob... http://thelancet.com/journals/lanpsy/article/PIIS2215-0366(15)00054-1/fulltext Mediation analysis cannot be used to confirm a theory. You have to be damn sure that your theory is correct before you use it, because it won't tell you otherwise. #confirmationbias But it can disprove it if the objective measures drop out. Which they did. #PACEfail Ref: "If the presumed causal model is not correct, the results from the mediational analysis are likely of little value." http://davidakenny.net/cm/mediate.htm
![The whole idea that you can use a trial or mediation analysis to prove your theory correct doesn't make any sense. If that were so, then we would still think that scurvy is caused by a bacterium that is killed by the acid in lime juice.
Bookmarking... SMC [Science Media Centre] on mediation analysis paper:](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:idf6m3amxguxiftesf7y24hd/bafkreibmgm3wk2x2nkvtfqhlucqigxn5lfcssmnofxl2s33pzad6v7f5im)
The whole idea that you can use a trial or mediation analysis to prove your theory correct doesn't make any sense. If that were so, then we would still think that scurvy is caused by a bacterium that is killed by the acid in lime juice. Bookmarking... SMC [Science Media Centre] on mediation analysis paper:
More archiving...
This time, #PACEtrial mediation analysis (because it's on my mind).
Xitter thread from 6 April 2018.
"The more I poke, the more bits fall off.
#PACEtrial
#factfulness"
📣 New Podcast! "Factfulness: Why the world is much better than you think (Hans Rosling)" on @Spreaker #analysis #bias #data #decisions #development #factfulness #growth #instincts #logic #mindset #psychology #rosling #statistics #thinking #worldview
#Factfulness 2025 🍎 När ungdomar inser hur mycket som faktiskt blir bättre hittar de ofta motivationen att engagera sig i framtiden, säger Anna Rosling Ronnlund, Gapminder, som 24 november tar med sig Ola Rosling & Helena Nordenstedt till @uu.se aula och Kunskap för livet 👉 www.uu.se/institution/...
Book review: Factfulness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About the World – and Why Things Are Better Than You Think - Hans Rosling, Ola Rosling & Anna Rosling Rönnlund
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
www.goodreads.com/review/show/...
#bookreview #factfulness
cover of the nonfiction book factfulness by hans rosling
most of us get the most basic facts about the world wrong. that’s why global #health researcher hans rosling wrote #factfulness. to give people the tools to get it right!
this #book is perfect for #nonfiction beginners.
full review: idealistatheart.com/factfulness-...
#booksky #evidencebased #facts
Interessant, dass so viele verlangen, Medien sollten nicht nur schlechte Nachrichten verbreiten, und wenn man sich dran hält, trotzdem nicht klicken. #ConstructiveJournalism #Factfulness
Hans Rosling är saknad!
#factfulness
Eeeeeeguuunoooonnn…
"Pensar de manera crítica siempre es difícil, pero es casi imposible cuando tenemos miedo. Cuando nuestras mentes están ocupadas por el miedo no hay espacio para los hechos" (@HansRosling - #Factfulness)
Wohl verdient viral gegangen Herr @christianstoecker.de -
#gapminder für das Klima zum eigenen check
#GuteNachrichten #Factfulness
I know other #geographyteachers have read this but there is so much great geography in here, only a few chapters in but feels like it's on a par with #prisonersofgeography and #factfulness @hannahritchie.bsky.social
And for non fiction. I wish I had picked this up earlier. It’s brilliant so far
#booksky #reader #Factfulness #HansRosling
#petition
Run a public information campaign on the climate crisis
petition.parliament.uk/petitions/70...
#uk #climate #gov #factfulness
We put out 5 big questions for people to annotate e.g. it's ok to chop down rainforest if you need to feed your family, we don't do anything on migration because it just leads to media headlines but big questions are quite fun! Also do a quiz your parents based on #factfulness.
Choose 20 books that have stayed with you. One book per day for 20 days, in no particular order. No explanations, no reviews, just covers.
#BookSky 💙📚
#Books #BookChallenge
#factfulness
2/20
Ein lesenswertes und inspirierendes Buch, dass Lust darauf macht nicht nach der einfachen, schnellen Antwort zu suchen.
Dass nicht alles in Ordnung ist, aber jede/r jeden Tag einen Beitrag leisten kann, die Welt noch schöner zu machen und das fängt bei der eigenen Einstellung an.
#factfulness
Sozial, nachhaltig und wettbewerbsfähig: Europa muss alles können.
Und ein Blick auf #factfulness zeigt, dass es gut läuft, gerade bei den wichtigsten Dingen.
Donc, un turnover assez bas comparé à "la moyenne". Après, personne ne nie que les raisons sont parfois scandaleuses et souvent liées au modèle économique qui semble encore se chercher. Mais bon... #factfulness
"Journalists set up their narratives as conflicts between two opposing people, views, or groups. They prefer stories of extreme poverty and billionaires to stories about the vast majority of people slowly dragging themselves toward better lives." #QOTD #journalism #factfulness
📚 3 #LIVRES qui ont complètement changé ma #VISION de la #VIE:
.
💭 #FACTFULNESS
.
🙏🏻 LE #POUVOIR DU MOMENT #PRÉSENT
.
🌌 L'#UNIVERS À PORTÉE DE MAIN
.
➡️#livre #meilleurlivre #livrestagram #livredujour #passionlecture #lectureaddict #lecturedumoment
apprendre-a-investir.net/3-livres-chang…
I interviewed #Factfulness co-author Anna Rosling Rönnlund, about how we can (and if we can) change our bad thinking habits. www.nzherald.co.nz/lifestyle/news/article.c...
#Factfulness is a must read if you espouse to be a rational thinker, are an #entrepreneur , #creative or maybe just want to actually understand the world better. www.amazon.com/Factfulness-Reasons-Worl...
One page in «Factfulness» elegantly explaining why everyone should be reading it. @Gapminder #Factfulness
Being mindful about facts #Factfulness
1. Realize that the world is different from what we see
2. Recognize stories that trigger dramatic instincts
3. Use simple rules of thumb to avoid these instincts
Nice visualizations! @Gapminder
https://www.gapminder.org/factfulness
The worldview is better than ever! Get the facts for free, as Bill Gates is giving college grads a copy of #Factfulness, his favorite book, now through Friday: via @CNNMoney #ITEC2215 #ITEC3220
