And here it is in chart form.
Democratic State Rep Cyrus Javadi, who switched from the Republicans last year, appears to be the favorite (at least for now) in his Harris+5 #HD32 in northwestern Oregon. He didn't even draw a Democratic primary challenger!
The closest Democratic State House win in North Carolina in 2024 was in #HD32, a Harris+0.5 district covering the Oxford/Henderson area.
Democrat Bryan Cohn flipped the seat blue by a similar margin, but he's retiring this year. Should be an interesting one to watch.
Final count is 10 NC incumbents not seeking reelection: #ncpol
SENATE:
-Bobby Hanig #SD01
HOUSE:
-Matthew Winslow #HD07
-Ted Davis #HD20
-William Brisson #HD22
-Bryan Cohn #HD32
-John Sauls #HD51
-Mark Brody #HD55
-Stephen Ross #HD63
-Harry Warren #HD76
-Sarah Stevens #HD90
10/28/25: Spanberger!
Albemarle County & Nelson County VA:
#HD53 #HD54 #HD55
Harrisonburg:
#HD34
Page County & Winchester:
#HD32 #HD33
Last week, Oregon State Rep Cyrus Javadi switched parties, becoming a Democrat. He's running for re-election next year and he's got a good shot at winning re-election.
His #HD32 in northwest Oregon backed Harris by 5 points last year as he (as a Republican) won it by 4.
Final results in two of Florida's special legislative elections:
#SD19 (Trump+19.5):
Debbie Mayfield (R)- 54.5%
Vance Ahrens (D)- 45.5%
#HD32 (Trump+20):
Brian Hodgers (R)- 55.4%
Juan Hinojosa (D)- 44.6%
Around 10 point overperformances for Democrats in both!
Polls have closed in Florida and early votes have already reported in two of the state's special legislative elections:
#SD19 (Trump+19.5):
Debbie Mayfield (R)- 53.2%
Vance Ahrens (D)- 46.8%
#HD32 (Trump+20):
Brian Hodgers (R)- 54.8%
Juan Hinojosa (D)- 45.2%
