For #Virginia election watchers: post-election (PE) absentee mail-in ballots (ballots that were postmarked by Election Day and arrived at elections offices by noon today) and provisional ballots are now being tallied.

Race to watch is #HD34: City of Harrisonburg (JMU) + Rockingham County.

Do we have yet another upset brewing in Virginia? #HD34 backed Trump by 6, but Democrat Andrew Payton is winning right now.

Mostly Republican areas out, but Payton's got a near 70% chance to win according to @statenavigate.org

10/28/25: Spanberger!

Albemarle County & Nelson County VA:
#HD53 #HD54 #HD55

Harrisonburg:
#HD34

Page County & Winchester:
#HD32 #HD33

Despite Virginia's #HD34 backing Trump by seven points, the Virginia Democrats have it on their target list.

Why? Well, they're hoping for strong youth turnout in Harrisonburg (James Madison University!), so if they can get that, they can flip this district.

RATING: Likely R

The Virginia Democrats have plenty of targets to flip in the State House this year, but one stands out, #HD34 in Harrisonburg.

This district backed Trump by seven, but the Democrats are hoping for big youth turnout out of Harrisonburg (James Madison University) to flip it blue.

Centered around the college town of Muncie, Indiana's #HD34 trending to the right in the Trump era, Democratic State Representative Sue Errington has been able to keep a solid hold of it.

Last year, she won re-election by 10 points, outrunning Harris's four point win here.