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Gas prices are nearing this ‘psychological wall.’ One group of drivers might smash right through. “The economy feels a bit miserable right now,” one financial-wellness expert says. “I’m shifting from autopilot to a more intentional strategy.”

"There’s a psychological wall at $4. Stations will sacrifice some margin to stay at $3.99 because they know how consumers react- but once costs force their hand, prices jump above it- and that could happen soon," GasBuddy Patrick De Haan posted online, MarketWatch reports.

Monday?

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War Will Push U.S. Inflation Above 4% This Year, O.E.C.D. Says

“The resilience of the global economy is now being tested,” the OECD said in a report, The Times reported.

“Higher energy and fertilizer prices and the unpredictable nature of the evolving conflict in the Middle East will add to inflation and weigh on demand,” the OECD said.

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US housing market: War with Iran drives US mortgage rates higher for fourth-straight week | CNN Business The US housing market was supposed to turn a corner this year, but economic uncertainty and a jump in mortgage rates fueled by the US-Israeli war in Iran are complicating affordability for American ho...

The housing market was poised to turn the corner this year.

Then Netanyahu and Trump decided a war with Iran was a good idea.

Americans who serve in the armed forces have died and an economic shockwave is going to reverberate around the country for a long time.

#RememberTheFallen
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Exclusive: Trump's approval hits new 36% low as fuel prices surge amid Iran war, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Americans' views on Trump soured significantly with regard to his stewardship over the economy and the cost of living, as gasoline prices have surged.

"This provides a huge opportunity for Democrats to make major strides in the midterms by focusing on issues that are traditionally more Republican issues, like national security, the economy and immigration," Doug Farrar, a Democratic strategist, told Reuters.

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#ICE

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U.S. Worker Thriving Declines as Job Market Pessimism Grows For the first time in Gallup's tracking, more U.S. workers are struggling than thriving. Job market confidence has dropped sharply with about half of employees watching for better opportunities.

"For the first time since Gallup began measuring the life evaluation of the American workforce, more U.S. workers are struggling in their lives (49%) than thriving (46%). This contrasts with 2022 and 2023, when the reverse was true," Gallup reported.

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Fill it up - now it’s a financial decision 😅⛽
#GasCrisis #InflationNation #FuelCosts #EconomicReality #CostOfLivingCrisis #SatireArt

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Trump’s war with Iran is jeopardizing his plan for Fed rate cuts this year | CNN Business The US-Israeli war with Iran, now stretching into its third week, is dashing hopes that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates at all this year.

"While inflation has ticked up for many imported items since the tariffs were implemented, lower energy costs largely balanced out much of that increase," writes Bryan Mena.

"The war with Iran looks set to erase that buffer."

#IranWar
#EpicMiscalculation
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How many rate cuts? Iran war upends Federal Reserve's next steps The Iran war has scrambled the Federal Reserve’s outlook on inflation and unemployment and will likely further delay interest rate cuts this year, putting off any relief for consumers struggling with ...

In December, the Fed forecast inflation would cool to 2.6% by the end of 2026, but Inflation was already rising -- before the Iran War -- with core prices rising 3.1% in January from a year earlier, biggest increase in more than two years, AP reported.

#GasPrices
#SupplyChain
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US Diesel Tops $5 a Gallon as War Disrupts Supply Chains The nationwide average retail price reached $5.044 a gallon on Monday, according to the American Automobile Association, up by more than a third since the conflict began. Crude oil prices have topped...

"In some US states, diesel prices had already surpassed the $5 mark. Prices for residential heating oil, which is effectively interchangeable with diesel, have also climbed above $5, according to the US Energy Information Administration," Bloomberg reported.

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“This may be the last year-over-year print we see around 2.4% for a while as CPI potentially moves back towards 3% or above,” Skyler Weinand, chief investment officer at Regan Capital, wrote shortly after the data was released, U.S. News reported.

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Flights are already getting more expensive after jet fuel spike. When should you book? Some airlines are already raising fares after a historic surge in jet-fuel costs.

“Airlines never met a higher fare they didn’t want,” Scott Keyes, the founder of flight-deal company Going, previously known as Scott’s Cheap Flights, tells CNBC.

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Goldman Sachs raises Q4 Brent, WTI crude price forecast amid longer Hormuz disruption Goldman Sachs raised its Brent, WTI crude oil price forecasts for the fourth quarter of 2026 to $71/67 per barrel from $66/62 as it sees longer ​disruption to oil flows in the Strait of Hormuz due to ...

Goldman analysts in a note on Thursday said they now assume 21 days of low Strait of Hormuz (SoH) oil flows at 10% of normal levels followed by a 30-day gradual recovery, compared with their earlier expectation of a 10-day disruption, Reuters reported.

(It's Day 12 of Iran War)

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Oil surges over 7% despite record reserve release announcement as markets doubt supply relief The IEA said Wednesday that its 32 member countries would release 400 million barrels of oil from emergency reserves.

“Prices right now are still in panic mode. There is a lot of emotion, fear, uncertainty built into the price that we see,” said Pavel Molchanov, senior investment strategist at Raymond James.

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Inflation was steady in February before the Iran war drove up gas prices The consumer price index rose 0.3% month over month, and 2.4% from one year ago.

“With oil prices up roughly $30 in recent weeks — and potentially heading toward triple digits — investors are far more focused on how the conflict feeds into inflation over the months ahead,” wrote Principal Asset Management’s Seema Shah in a note, CNBC reported.

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U.S. Gasoline Prices, Rising Again, Hit $3.48 a Gallon

The average price of U.S. gasoline reached $3.48 a gallon, according to data from the AAA motor club. That is a nearly 17 percent increase since the first U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran on Feb. 28. Gas hasn’t been at these levels since 2024, The Times reported.

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Drivers can expect another gas price surge this week The national average could hit $4 a gallon within the next month, says Gasbuddy.com.

“As a result, gasoline prices in many states could climb another 20 to 50 cents per gallon this week,” predicts Patrick De Haan with the fuel tracking website Gasbuddy.com, The Minnesota Star Tribune reported.

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Iran conflict forces central banks into sharp policy rethink The escalating crisis in the Middle East has dramatically changed the outlook for global central banks, with the huge supply shock posing a ​difficult trade-off between underpinning growth and counter...

"We are seeing resilience tested again by the new conflict in the Middle East," IMF Managing Director ⁠Kristalina Georgieva said today in Tokyo, Reuters reported.

"My advice to policymakers in this new global environment is think of the unthinkable ​and prepare for it."

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Oil prices top $100 per barrel as big Middle East producers cut output amid Iran war Gulf Arab oil producers are cutting production as they run out of storage space because they can't export through the Strait of Hormuz

The last time oil prices topped $100 per barrel was after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, CNBC reported.

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White House worries as gas prices jump amid ongoing US-Israel war on Iran US drivers are largely insulated from higher oil prices caused by Middle East turmoil – but only to a point

Even if oil prices stayed at current levels, Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at Gas Buddy, expects retail prices could gain another 20 to 25 cents a gallon, which could push the nationwide average to $3.40, The Guardian reported.

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The U.S. unexpectedly loses 92,000 jobs, adding to worries about the economy The job market showed further signs of weakness last month as employers cut 92,000 jobs. The unemployment rate inched up to 4.4%, from 4.3% in January.

The weaker than expected jobs report comes as Americans are already anxious about the high cost of living. Those affordability concerns will likely be amplified as the war in Iran has triggered a sharp rise in energy prices, NPR reported.

#JobCuts
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#AI

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Jobs are falling. Spending is, too. That’s a problem | CNN Business One of the main pillars propping up the US economy — consumer spending — may be starting to crack.

Retail sales declined 0.2% in January from the prior month, the Commerce Department said Friday, the biggest decline since May. January’s reading came in below expectations of 0%, according to a poll of economists by data firm FactSet, XNN reported.

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Dow Plunges More Than 1,000 Points As Oil Rallies Oil prices have rallied to a nearly two-year high since the U.S. attacked Iran over the weekend.

Retail gasoline prices in the U.S. have jumped nearly 27 cents since last week to $3.25 per gallon on average, according to the motorist group AAA, CNBC reported.

The last time gas prices made a similar jump was in March 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine, the group said.

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What If the Iran War Is Not Short-Lived? Analysts say a drawn-out conflict could have dramatic consequences for energy markets and inflation.

“If this were to go on for weeks or months, you can’t stop 20%-30% of the world’s seaborne oil and not have some massive reaction,” says Lucas White, lead portfolio manager for GMO’s Resources, Climate Change, and Quality Spectrum strategies, Morningstar reports.

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"The reforms proposed and already made to aid the data centers will have implications for the health and safety, as well as economic well-being of citizens in every state. Both state and federal policymakers have a role," writes Mike Jacobs.

#DataCenters
#ElectricBill
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Gas prices see biggest single-day spike in 3 years as Iran war jolts market The national average price of unleaded gas hit $3.11 per gallon on Tuesday, up 11 cents overnight.

The national average price of unleaded gas hit $3.11 per gallon on Tuesday, up 11 cents overnight, according to AAA.

It was the biggest single-day spike since March 4, 2022, according to GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan, Axios reported.

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U.S. Court of Appeals yesterday shot down the Trump administration’s attempt to delay refunding billions of dollars’ worth of tariffs the Supreme Court ruled are illegal, but until Trump returns our money, federal debt is piling up by the millions in interest payments alone.

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“But most shipowners were avoiding transits through the strait of Hormuz after insurers cancelled the war risk coverage for vessels in certain areas of the region,” Sheel Bhattacharjee, head of freight pricing in Europe at Argus Media, told CNBC by email.

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Oil jumps, Asian markets slide as Iran closes Hormuz Brent nears $80 after touching five-month high as Strait of Hormuz shutdown stokes supply fears; Asian stocks tumble, Wall Street futures dip amid widening Middle East conflict

The gains came after Iranian drones struck the largest oil refinery in Saudi Arabia and major gas facilities in Qatar. Iranian media also reported that a fuel tanker flying the Honduran flag caught fire in the strait after being hit by two drones, YNet News reported.

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How the Iran Conflict Could Trigger a Wider Economic Shock | OilPrice.com Fears of disruption to global oil and LNG supplies are escalating as a geopolitical conflict involving Iran impacts shipping and insurance costs in the vital Strait of Hormuz trade route.

"The moment the market just gets that headline that, you know -- the strait is closed, there's no more crude flowing and so on -- that's when panic is going to set in," said Amena Bakr, head of Middle East and OPEC+ research at Kpler trade intelligence company, RFE/RL reported.

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U.S. crude oil set to top $70 a barrel when trading begins on fears of Iran supply disruption It is unclear who is governing Iran, the fourth-largest oil producer in OPEC, after U.S.-Israel strikes killed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

“Tankers are starting to build by the Strait of Hormuz, but nothing seems to be going through at the moment – tankers are definitely spooked,” said Matt Smith, oil analyst at energy consulting firm Kpler, CNBC reported.

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