11/11
Happy to break this down further if useful.
Not just mine warfare —
But the full picture:
Sea control vs denial
Littoral constraints
Sustained operations
Because that’s where this actually sits.
#Hormuz #IranWar #NavalSupply #LogisticsinWar #Blockade #KhargIsland
10/11
If you want to understand what’s actually happening:
Stop thinking in terms of:
“Straits, Open vs Closed - Blockades are the Key”
Start thinking in terms of:
Risk vs Sustainability
That’s where the real signal is.
#Hormuz #IranWar #NavalSupply #LogisticsinWar #Blockade #KhargIsland
8/11
So when people say:
“The US can just keep the Strait open and blockade Kharg Island”
What they really mean is:
“The US can sustain acceptable risk indefinitely”
And my answer is simple.
Can they really?
#Hormuz #IranWar #NavalSupply #LogisticsinWar #Blockade #KhargIsland
6/11
This is where the “blockade” narrative falls apart.
Because maintaining control isn’t a moment.
It’s a condition that must be:
Maintained
Protected
Sustained
Day after day.
You need to "outlast" an enemy...
#Hormuz #IranWar #NavalSupply #LogisticsinWar #Blockade #KhargIsland
5/11
And in that environment, sea denial beats sea control.
You don’t need dominance.
You need:
Mines
Missiles
Sub-surface threat (hard in shallow waters)
Persistent uncertainty
That’s enough to shift the equation.
#Hormuz #IranWar #NavalSupply #LogisticsinWar #Blockade #KhargIsland
4/11
The Strait of Hormuz and the wider Gulf Sea is not open ocean.
It is a textbook littoral environment:
Constrained waters
Predictable routes
Limited manoeuvre space
All of which favour the defender.
#Hormuz #IranWar #NavalSupply #LogisticsinWar #Blockade #KhargIsland
3/11
You don’t need to sink ships to break control of the sea.
You just need to raise the level of risk beyond what is operationally acceptable.
That’s how modern maritime disruption actually works. It is as true of merchant ships as it is of naval vessels.
#Hormuz #IranWar #NavalSupply
2/11
Maritime control is just not about presence.
It never has been.
It is about achieving freedom of action within an acceptable level of risk — and sustaining that over time.
That distinction matters.
#Hormuz #IranWar #NavalSupply #LogisticsinWar #Blockade #KhargIsland
