US Appeals Court Rules CFTC Has Exclusive Jurisdiction Over Kalshi Prediction Market, Blocking New Jersey Regulation A federal appeals court in Philadelphia has ruled that New Jersey gaming regulators cannot stop prediction market operator Kalshi from allowing state residents to trade contracts on the outcomes of sporting events. In a 2-1 decision, the 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals determined that Kalshi's sports-related event contracts qualify as 'swaps' under the Commodity Exchange Act. These are traded on a platform licensed by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a designated contract market, granting the federal regulator exclusive jurisdiction and preempting state gambling laws. The ruling upholds a preliminary injunction issued by a lower court after New Jersey sent Kalshi a cease-and-desist letter claiming violations of state rules, including bans on betting on collegiate sports and restrictions for those under 21. Kalshi argued successfully that its platform involves financial derivatives rather than traditional gambling. This marks the first time a federal appeals court has addressed the growing tension between state gaming regulators and prediction market firms. The decision aligns with the CFTC's position under the current administration, which recently sued several other states to block similar regulatory efforts. Dissenting opinions noted that the contracts closely resemble gambling, raising concerns about social impacts like addiction among young men and broader societal consequences. The case highlights ongoing debates over federal versus state authority in regulating emerging financial instruments that allow bets on real-world events such as sports and elections.

US Appeals Court Rules CFTC Has Exclusive Jurisdiction Over Kalshi Prediction Market, Blocking New Jersey Regulation

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👥 Usuarios: It's not clickbait ✅

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Prediction Markets Hit 35% on Chance of Trump Removal Prediction markets indicate a 35% chance of Trump's removal via the 25th Amendment, according to Kal...

Prediction markets indicate a 35% chance of Trump's removal via the 25th Amendment, according to Kalshi data. Trading volume surged this weekend as users bet on Cabinet action. #PredictionMarkets #News

Sports bets on prediction markets ruled to be "swaps," exempt from state laws https://arstechni.ca #predictionmarkets #sportsbetting #Policy #Kalshi

Original post on noc.social

@pluralistic and others make the argument that #predictionmarkets create a perverse incentive to cause catastrophes and make money off of predicting them.
But surely there's an equal incentive to make money off of not causing or preventing them.
Why would there be bias one way or another?
I'm […]

🤔 I wonder if Iran is making wagers in the #PredictionMarkets?
They could bankrupt them all at once!

How PRED Is Building the Bloomberg Terminal of Sports Prediction Markets | HackerNoon Amit Mahensaria, CEO of PRED, shares his insights on building a P2P sports prediction exchange that bans no winners, runs on Base, and rivals Polymarket.

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🚨 BREAKING: Massive win for Prediction Markets!
> Federal Court rules @Kalshi’s sports contracts are LEGAL in NJ! ⚖️ The logic: Federal oversight (CFTC) > State gambling laws.
> This gives regulated markets
> Congrats @Kalshi & @TarekMansour!
> #Kalshi #CFTC #PredictionMarkets #FinTech #@robot2trade1

Polymarket faces backlash for allowing bets on Air Force officer's rescue. Ethical boundaries of prediction markets under scrutiny. #Polymarket #Ethics #PredictionMarkets Link: thedailytechfeed.com/polymarket-c...

Nevada judge confirms Kalshi injunction. Arizona, Washington, Massachusetts, Ohio all pushing back.

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Decentralized Prediction Market Development Crypto prediction platform development for secure, decentralized, and AI-powered prediction markets built on blockchain and smart contracts.

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#Polymarket removed a forum allowing #bets on the rescue of U.S. #servicemembers after #politicalpressure, highlighting scrutiny on #predictionmarkets. Rep. Seth Moulton criticised the platform, calling for stronger oversight and regulation, citing potential national security risks and the…

Polymarket removes controversial bets on Air Force rescue Polymarket, a prediction market platform, recently removed bets concerning the rescue of U.S. Air Force personnel shot down over Iran, following public criticism from Representative Seth Moulton. Moulton described the wagers as a 'dystopian death market,' emphasizing the insensitivity of betting on the lives of military service members. He also noted that Donald Trump Jr. is an investor in Polymarket. In response, the company stated the market was immediately taken down for failing to meet their integrity standards and that they are investigating how it bypassed internal safeguards. This incident follows a pattern for Polymarket, which has previously seen significant trading on contracts tied to military and geopolitical events, including potential bombings in Iran by the U.S. and Israel. The removal highlights ongoing ethical concerns about prediction markets and the limits of what is considered acceptable for online wagering, particularly when human lives are involved. The controversy also prompted Moulton to ban his congressional staff from participating in similar platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. President Donald Trump announced early Sunday that the second service member, a weapons systems officer, was rescued.

Polymarket removes controversial bets on Air Force rescue

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👥 Usuarios: It's not clickbait ✅

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#TheRoadToPolymarket

The loss of the feeling that you have any real control over the quality or outcomes of your life, leads to hopelessness, which leads to apathy, which leads to amorality, which leads to #Polymarket, #Kalshi & “ #PredictionMarkets”.

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Someone Else’s Keys - Part 2 What the Other Hand Was Doing

My latest on trump 2.0's #CORRUPTION.
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The problem with binding news and prediction markets. Polymarket and Kalshi are quickly making deals with news publishers, with potential implications for the regulation of prediction markets. It’s unclear how journalism wins.

Polymarket and Kalshi are making deals with news outlets. Their pitch: 'Journalism is better when it's backed by live markets.' But a new investigation by the Columbia Journalism Review raises concerns.
#Journalism #PredictionMarkets #MediaEthics
www.cjr.org/tow_center/t...

Federal government sues three states over their regulation of prediction markets Federal government sues Connecticut, Arizona, and Illinois over their regulation of prediction marke...

Federal government sues Connecticut, Arizona, and Illinois over their regulation of prediction market operators like Kalshi and Polymarket. The CFTC asserts its exclusive regulatory authority. #PredictionMarkets #PredictionMarkets #News

Since #CrookedDon is using #MarketManipulation to enrich his #BillionaireBros AND is suing #Illinois, #Connecticut, and #Arizona for trying to regulate #PredictionMarkets, I thought I'd take bets on the next #Trump #Bootlicker to be fired. Current hot picks are #TulsiGabbard and #KKKarolineLeavitt.

Trump administration sues three states over attempts to regulate prediction markets Trump admin. sues Illinois, Connecticut & Arizona, seeking federal control over prediction markets l...

Trump admin. sues Illinois, Connecticut & Arizona, seeking federal control over prediction markets like Kalshi & Polymarket, arguing they're financial products, not gambling. #PredictionMarkets #PredictionMarkets #News

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CFTC lawsuit targets states over prediction markets ban Federal regulators CFTC and the DOJ challenge states to treat event contracts as gambling, escalating fight over prediction markets oversight.

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Members Paradigm mulls prediction market entry with trading terminal, market making desk: Fortune Paradigm is reportedly developing a prediction markets trading terminal, according to anonymous sources in a ...

Paradigm mulls prediction market entry with trading terminal, market making desk: Fortune

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Unregulated Prediction Markets Could Trigger FTX-Level Collapse, CFTC Chair Cautions - Crypto Economy CFTC Chair Michael Selig warned that offshore, unregulated prediction markets could end in FTX-style failures without clear U.S. rules.

🔴 Prediction markets under regulatory scrutiny

The CFTC warns that prediction markets could lead to systemic risks without proper regulation.

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How Kalshi Clone Script Helps Web3 Startups Generate Revenue? Learn how a Kalshi Clone Script helps Web3 startups make a profit in 2026

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