Gold Could Reach $10,000 as Credit Market Strains Ed Dowd warns of $10,000 gold if private-credit gating rises; Preqin reports ~$1.3tn private debt AUM (Jan 2026) and ZeroHedge quoted Dowd on Apr 3, 2026.

Gold Could Reach $10,000 as Credit Market Strains: Ed Dowd warns of $10,000 gold if private-credit gating rises; Preqin reports ~$1.3tn private debt AUM (Jan 2026) and ZeroHedge quoted Dowd on Apr 3, 2026. 👈 Read full analysis #GoldInvestment #FinancialNews #PrivateDebt #MarketTrends #CreditMarket

Original post on mastodon.social

For any GP worth their salt, a sales pitch with a #zeroloss #proposition, but not backed up by any bona-fide guarantee to that effect, should always be promptly dismissed. That #privatedebt became a $2.5 trillion (🤦‍♂️!) "asset" class says a lot about the liquidity-driven madness in #global […]

Saaspocalypse = first real liquidity test for private credit. Retail exits + gated funds + software defaults exposing the mismatch: daily liquidity vs long-duration risk. ~30% of private-credit books tied to SaaS vs ~10% at banks, AI risk now layered on top. Dimon isn’t just de-risking, he’s underwriting the unwind: • tightening exposure • stress-testing loan books • enabling shorts on private-credit-linked names Banks smell opportunity. Private credit took share post-2008. Now it faces its first cyclical + structural drawdown. When liquidity gets questioned, alpha turns into beta, fast! ⬇️ Big Banks Are Playing Both Sides of the Private-Credit Meltdown https://www.wsj.com/finance/banking/big-banks-are-playing-both-sides-of-the-private-credit-meltdown-8051b834 #privatedebt #Fund #investor

Saaspocalypse = first real liquidity test for private credit. Retail exits + gated funds + software defaults exposing the mismatch: daily liquidity vs long-duration risk. ~30% of private-credit books tied to SaaS vs ~10% at banks, AI risk now layered on top. Dimon isn’t just de-risking, he’s underwriting the unwind: • tightening exposure • stress-testing loan books • enabling shorts on private-credit-linked names Banks smell opportunity. Private credit took share post-2008. Now it faces its first cyclical + structural drawdown. When liquidity gets questioned, alpha turns into beta, fast! ⬇️ Big Banks Are Playing Both Sides of the Private-Credit Meltdown https://www.wsj.com/finance/banking/big-banks-are-playing-both-sides-of-the-private-credit-meltdown-8051b834 #privatedebt #Fund #investor

Private credit took share post-2008. Now it faces its first cyclical + structural drawdown.

When liquidity gets questioned, alpha turns into beta, fast!

⬇️
Big Banks Are Playing Both Sides of the Private-Credit Meltdown
www.wsj.com/finance/bank... #privatedebt #Fund #investor

𝐀𝐫𝐞 𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐰 𝐚𝐛𝐬𝐨𝐫𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐝 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐦 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐠𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐬 𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐩𝐩𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐞𝐰 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐳𝐨𝐧? Private capital’s expansion into life insurance has shifted from a return‑enhancing strategy to a late‑cycle stress test. To sustain spreads and balance‑sheet growth in a crowded market, insurers have leaned heavily into private, illiquid, and model‑priced assets. This has amplified concerns around valuation opacity, ratings arbitrage, and the growing use of affiliate‑originated credit. While insurers are structurally suited for long‑duration, illiquid investments, the rapid buildup of harder‑to‑price exposures introduces uncertainty about true asset quality and capital resilience. The real question is no longer whether the model works in calm markets, but how it behaves when credit stress forces opaque valuations into daylight. 𝐀𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐲𝐜𝐥𝐞 𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬, 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 “𝐟𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐥𝐲 𝐧𝐞𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐛𝐨𝐫𝐡𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐢𝐧𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐫” 𝐟𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐛𝐚𝐜𝐤 𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐦𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐝, 𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐜𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐬𝐚𝐲 𝐧𝐨 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐬? #privateequity #Realestate #privatedebt https://x.com/mohossain/status/2026435548856844333?s=46

𝐀𝐫𝐞 𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐰 𝐚𝐛𝐬𝐨𝐫𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐝 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐦 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐠𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐬 𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐩𝐩𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐞𝐰 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐳𝐨𝐧? Private capital’s expansion into life insurance has shifted from a return‑enhancing strategy to a late‑cycle stress test. To sustain spreads and balance‑sheet growth in a crowded market, insurers have leaned heavily into private, illiquid, and model‑priced assets. This has amplified concerns around valuation opacity, ratings arbitrage, and the growing use of affiliate‑originated credit. While insurers are structurally suited for long‑duration, illiquid investments, the rapid buildup of harder‑to‑price exposures introduces uncertainty about true asset quality and capital resilience. The real question is no longer whether the model works in calm markets, but how it behaves when credit stress forces opaque valuations into daylight. 𝐀𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐲𝐜𝐥𝐞 𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬, 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 “𝐟𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐥𝐲 𝐧𝐞𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐛𝐨𝐫𝐡𝐨𝐨𝐝 𝐢𝐧𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐫” 𝐟𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐛𝐚𝐜𝐤 𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐲 𝐦𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐝, 𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐜𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐰𝐚𝐲𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐬𝐚𝐲 𝐧𝐨 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐦𝐬? #privateequity #Realestate #privatedebt https://x.com/mohossain/status/2026435548856844333?s=46

𝐀𝐫𝐞 𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐬𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐰 𝐚𝐛𝐬𝐨𝐫𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐝 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐦 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐲 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐠𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐬 𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐩𝐩𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐞𝐰 𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐳𝐨𝐧?

#privateequity #Realestate #privatedebt
x.com/mohossain/st...

Carney's Speech Shows Davos & the WEF Don't Understand the Depth of the Crisis We Face Yes, we are in a global crisis. No, it does not have to keep escalating. Yes, countries can act on their own now, because more of the same is not going to work.

"Yes, we are in a #GlobalCrisis. No, it does not have to keep escalating. Yes, countries can act on their own now, because more of the same is not going to work...."

#MonetaryPolicy #PrivateDebt #credit #bubbles #boom #bust #depression #deflation

dougaldlamont.substack.com/p/carneys-sp...

Michael Hudson: The Economic Unravelling of the Political West | naked capitalism Michael Hudson describes the development and progression of America's economic parasitism.

"Yves here. Michael Hudson provides a forceful indictment of how America’s economic posture towards its nominal allies has changed from what Goldman Sachs called “long-term greedy” to openly predatory..."
#geopolitics #PrivateDebt #instability
www.nakedcapitalism.com/2025/12/mich...

𝐀𝐈: 𝐩𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐛𝐲 𝐆𝐏𝐔𝐬, 𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞𝐝 𝐛𝐲 𝐘𝐎𝐋𝐎 𝐝𝐞𝐛𝐭. AI debt structures with equity‑like returns Deals: $30B @ 6.58% | $38B @ 6.40% | $12–20B @ 10.50% Capital costs rise, structures get complex. Yield for credit investors, risk for equity holders? https://x.com/mohossain/status/1979308168447693289?s=46 #privatedebt #RiskManagement #CRE #Investor @mohossain https://x.com/mohossain/status/1988427504747466997?s=46

𝐀𝐈: 𝐩𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐛𝐲 𝐆𝐏𝐔𝐬, 𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞𝐝 𝐛𝐲 𝐘𝐎𝐋𝐎 𝐝𝐞𝐛𝐭. AI debt structures with equity‑like returns

Deals: $30B @ 6.58% | $38B @ 6.40% | $12–20B @ 10.50%
Capital costs rise, structures get complex. Yield for credit investors, risk for equity holders?

x.com/mohossain/st... #privatedebt

x.com/mohossain/st...

Marcel Schindler: «Kredit- und Aktienanalyse sind wie Yin und Yang» Vor bald zehn Jahren schlüpfte die Swiss Capital Group als Private-Debt-Gesellschaft unter die Fittiche von Stepstone. CEO und Länderchef Marcel Schindler beschäftigt sich schon länger mit der Anlageklasse, als es den Begriff «Private Debt» überhaupt gibt. Von Rosinenpicken hält er wenig, von Diversifikation dagegen sehr viel.

Marcel Schindler: «Kredit- und Aktienanalyse sind wie Yin und Yang»: Vor bald zehn Jahren schlüpfte die Swiss Capital Group als Private-Debt-Gesellschaft unter die Fittiche von Stepstone. CEO und Länderchef Marcel Schindler beschäftigt sich schon länger mit der… #StepstonePrivateDebt #PrivateDebt

Private Debt Can Be a Powerful Growth Tool — If You Use It Wisely. Here's What Founders Need to Know. Private debt is on the rise as a powerful alternative financing option for entrepreneurs, but it comes with risks that can't be ignored.

📰 Interesting turn! 🤔 Private debt can fuel founders' growth, but only if you wield it with discipline, clear milestones, and sensible terms. Are you prepared to use it wisely? #privateDebt #startups #fintech

“Credit cockroaches” swarm; investment risks surface | Standard Chartered Concerns have emerged in certain high-leverage U.S. sectors. It is time to examine our investments. Diversification is a powerful shield against related risk.

As interest rates remain high and economic growth slows, more borrowers may default. These defaults could reveal further “cockroaches,” eroding bank capital and investor confidence. #PrivateDebt
www.sc.com/en/news/weal...

Hidden risks in private credit markets are multiplying—Dimon's "cockroach" warning signals deeper cracks in the system. 2026 may test financial resilience. #CreditRisk #BankingCrisis #PrivateDebt #FinanceWatch #DimonWarning

Thanks for laying out FOLO - the fear of losing out, so clearly. #MMT #LearnMMT #PrivateDebt
Remember the National Debt is your Savings, the money in your pocket.

Michael Theurer

Michael Theurer

„Was bedeutet der Aufstieg von #PrivateDebt für die #Finanzstabilität?“ erörterte Bundesbankvorstand Michael Theurer in seiner Rede bei der #PrivateMarketsWeek der #BoersenZeitung.

Die gesamte Rede finden Sie unter: www.bundesbank.de/content/968750
Fotos: erdmann&erdmann medien GmbH

𝐈𝐧 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐜𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐭, 𝐬𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐄𝐁𝐈𝐓𝐃𝐀 𝐦𝐞𝐚𝐧𝐬 𝐛𝐢𝐠 𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐛𝐥𝐞 — 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐠𝐫𝐚𝐯𝐞𝐲𝐚𝐫𝐝 𝐟𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐛𝐨𝐭𝐭𝐨𝐦 𝐮𝐩. M&A #privatedebt #BDC #Privatecredit #fund #Investor #Loan #Ennovance @mohossain

𝐈𝐧 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐯𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐜𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐭, 𝐬𝐦𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐄𝐁𝐈𝐓𝐃𝐀 𝐦𝐞𝐚𝐧𝐬 𝐛𝐢𝐠 𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐛𝐥𝐞 — 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐠𝐫𝐚𝐯𝐞𝐲𝐚𝐫𝐝 𝐟𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐛𝐨𝐭𝐭𝐨𝐦 𝐮𝐩.

M&A #privatedebt #BDC #Privatecredit #fund #Investor #Loan #Ennovance @mohossain

Part 3: #MarketOpportunities
#M&A
#OilAndGas
#VCInvestments
#VentureCapital #VCFunding
#PrivateDebt #PrivateCapitalFunds #Finance #PrivateCredit #Investment #VentureDebt #FamilyOffice

UK government relaxing post-2008 banking rules - what does this mean for private debt markets?

Insurers & investors embraced private debt for yields, but policy shifts could reshape the landscape.

tinyurl.com/bdhcrtch

#FinancialRegulation #PrivateDebt #UKFinance

Alternatywny kredyt i dług prywatny - nowa klasa aktywów Alternatywny kredyt i dług prywatny - nowa klasa aktywów dla polskich inwestorów. Strategie, ryzyka i praktyczne zastosowanie w zarządzaniu majątkiem.

🎯 Private debt w Polsce rośnie jak na drożdżach - aktywa wzrosły o 183% do 4,7 mld PLN w 3 lata

Direct lending dla zamożnych: 8-12% dochodu rocznie przy niskiej korelacji z GPW.

Kredyt alternatywny przestaje być egzotyką 🇵🇱

wealthmanagement.com.pl/kredyt-alter...

#PrivateDebt #HNWI #Inwestycje

#PrivateEquity #DealFlow #FundClosing
#EuropeanFunds
#FinancialMarkets
#EuropeanExits #CorporateStrategy
#MarketOpportunities
#M&A
#OilAndGas
#VCInvestments
#VentureCapital #VCFunding
#PrivateDebt #PrivateCapitalFunds #Finance #PrivateCredit #Investment #VentureDebt #FamilyOffice

Part 2: #InvestmentStrategy
#FundClosing
#EuropeanFunds #InvestmentTrends
#FinancialMarkets
#EuropeanExits #CorporateStrategy
#MarketOpportunities
#M&A
#OilAndGas
#VCInvestments
#VentureCapital #VCFunding
#PrivateDebt #PrivateCapitalFunds #Finance #PrivateCredit

Part 3: #PrivateDebt #PrivateCapitalFunds #Finance #PrivateCredit #Investment #VentureDebt #FamilyOffice

Q3 2024 Global M&A Report. (2024). In PitchBook. PitchBook. pitchbook.com/news/reports/q…

Disclaimer:
autoripartners.com/disclaimer

Visit autoripartners.com

Part 2: #DealTrends
#PublicVsPrivate #MarketInsights
#EuropeanExits #CorporateStrategy
#MarketOpportunities
#M&A
#OilAndGas
#VCInvestments
#VentureCapital #VCFunding
#PrivateDebt #PrivateCapitalFunds #Finance #PrivateCredit #Investment #VentureDebt

Part 2: #SouthernEurope
#DealTrends
#PublicVsPrivate #MarketInsights
#EuropeanExits #CorporateStrategy
#MarketOpportunities
#M&A
#OilAndGas
#EnergySector
#VCInvestments
#VentureCapital #VCFunding
#PrivateDebt #PrivateCapitalFunds #Finance #PrivateCredit

Part 2: #SouthernEurope
#DealTrends
#PublicVsPrivate #MarketInsights
#EuropeanExits #CorporateStrategy
#MarketOpportunities
#M&A
#OilAndGas
#EnergySector #MergersAndAcquisitions
#VCInvestments
#VentureCapital #VCFunding
#PrivateDebt #PrivateCapitalFunds #Finance

Vista Equity Partners saves millions by switching from private debt Investing.com -- Vista Equity Partners is saving at least $200 million in annual interest expenses by refinancing portfolio companies with broadly syndicated loans instead of private debt, noted a report from Bloomberg. The private equity firm is wrapping up a refinancing for Finastra this week, raising more than $4.1 billion through loans arranged by banks including Morgan Stanley. This deal will partly replace the $5.3 billion of private debt Finastra obtained in 2023, which was the largest private credit deal on record at that time. Through the refinancing, Vista will reduce borrowing costs on most of Finastra’s first-lien debt to 4 percentage points over the US benchmark, down from 7.25 percentage points in the private financing. A smaller second-lien portion will price at 7 percentage points over the benchmark. This Finastra deal is part of a larger strategy that includes earlier refinancings for KnowBe4 Inc. and Avalara (NYSE:AVLR) Inc., as well as a new transaction for Duck Creek Technologies Inc. that launched on Monday. Vista’s move from private credit to broadly syndicated debt highlights the current strength of the leveraged loan market, where institutional investors are eager to deploy capital amid fewer new financings for mergers and acquisitions. The shift also demonstrates that for some borrowers, the more expensive private debt market, valued at $1.7 trillion, only offers a temporary solution. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C. AI computing powers are changing the stock market. Investing.com's ProPicks AI includes 6 winning stock portfolios chosen by our advanced AI. In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. Which stock will be the next to soar?

Click Subscribe. #VistaEquityPartners #PrivateDebt #InvestmentStrategy #FinanceNews #DebtManagement

Wall Street Wants to Make Private Markets a Little More Public

www.nytimes.com/2025/07/19/b... #lbo #privatedebt #privatecredit #mergers #acquisition #deals #fees #LP @ennovance

x.com/mohossain/st...

Global M&A powered by larger deals in first half; bankers show appetite for megadeals
www.reuters.com/business/fin...
#privateequity #credit #privatedebt #LP #Fund #investor #merger m&a #deals #ennovance buyout secondary investment #MandA #transaction #mergerandacquisition #loan #lbo

NewsMatch Alert: Press Release Summary | 16 June 2025 Welcome to Medianet’s daily media alert featuring a curated list of today's most newsworthy press releases handpicked by our editorial team. Today's highlights Climate and housing crises converging to...

🔢 Today's Press Release Highlights from Medianet 🔢
www.linkedin.com/pulse/newsma...

#ClimateCrisis #Homelessness #Superannuation #PrivateDebt #OceanHealth #Gliders #NAIDOCWeek #PublicAccess #CulturalInclusion #pressrelease #pressreleasedistribution #australia #australianews #media #journalists