Hoffnung ist keine Strategie – konfrontiert mit dem Trumpismus, muss Europa umdenken Mit Unterstützung der Amerikaner vermochte sich Westeuropa nach 1945 von seiner bellizistischen Vergangenheit zu lösen. Als 1989 Osteuropa hinzukam, setzte man weiter auf das transatlantische…

Martin Kragh, #SCEEUS: König Lear begreift weder seinen eigenen Charakter noch die Verantwortung, die mit seiner Macht einhergeht. Nach langem Leiden fragt er sich selbst: «Wer kann mir sagen, wer ich bin?» www.nzz.ch/meinung/hoff...

Die ukrainische Schuldfrage Die Geopolitik-Koryphäe John Mearsheimer sieht Putins Krieg als Verteidigungsaktion. Doch sein „offensiver Realismus“ hat Schwächen.

Martin Kragh, #SCEEUS: Die Geopolitik-Koryphäe John Mearsheimer sieht Putins Krieg als Verteidigungsaktion. Doch sein „offensiver Realismus“ hat Schwächen.

@tagespost www.die-tagespost.de/politik/die-...

The unfulfilled European Zeitenwende on Russia: Where are we four years after the large-scale invasion? - Sceeus SCEEUS Report | The unfulfilled European Zeitenwende on Russia: Where are we four years after the large-scale invasion? | By Fredrik Löjdquist

Fredrik Löjdquist, #SCEEUS: The only way forward is to change the cost-benefit calculus in Moscow in a way that alters or ends Russia’s antagonistic behaviour.

Utrikespolitiska institutet
sceeus.se/publikatione...

Strategic positional deadlock: Is there a way out? - Sceeus By Aleksandr Golts. Positional deadlock since 2023 is the main characteristic of the situation on the Russian-Ukrainian front. Neither side can break through the enemy’s defences to an operational…

Aleksandr Golts: Neither side can break through the enemy’s defences to an operational depth to manoeuvre or conduct combat operations || #SCEEUS Report No. 2, 2026
sceeus.se/en/publicati...

Resilience and vulnerability: Impressions from a freezing Ukraine - Sceeus SCEEUS Commentary | Resilience and vulnerability: Impressions from a freezing Ukraine | By Klara Lindström

Klara Lindström, #SCEEUS: This winter has shown that Ukraine’s resilience remains remarkable. Limiting the effects of mounting vulnerabilities, however, will depend on sustained and purposeful European engagement. sceeus.se/en/publicati...

Analytiker - Utrikespolitiska institutet Om Utrikespolitiska institutet (UI) Utrikespolitiska institutet (UI) grundades 1938. Det är Sveriges ledande institut för forskning och information om utrikes- och säkerhetspolitik. UI fördjupar oc...

#SCEEUS, Utrikespolitiska institutet: Vi söker en analytiker med mångårig erfarenhet av policyfrågor kopplade till regionen, med särskilt fokus på Ryssland och Belarus.
jobb.ui.se/jobs/7150773...

So far, my Sunday piece on security guarantess for Ukraine is still on the frontpage of The @National Interest : nationalinterest.org

The more elaborate #SCEEUS report on which the article is based may be found there: sceeus.se/en/publicati...

If supported effectively, Ukraine’s #veterans can become a cornerstone of Ukraine’s national resilience and of Europe’s stability. Veterans reintegration is also integral to the EU accession process.

Read more in our latest #SCEEUS commentary 👇

The best way for European policymakers to support Ukraine’s reform path is a credible continuation of the EU accession process.

More in my latest #SCEEUS Commentary 👇

@sceeus-ui.bsky.social

Original post on digitalcourage.social

Aus der #Dlf App | #EuropaHeute | Alltag in besetzten ukrainischen Gebieten – Interview mit #AndreasUmland , #SCEEUS
share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothek-audio-teil...

Was @andreasumland sagt!

Wer Umfragen aus ruZZisch besetzten […]

Putin knows what he wants in Ukraine. Trump does not. The Q is: Does Europe know what it wants?

#SCEEUS Director Fredrik Löjdquist on the importance of European agency during today’s #UI breakfast with Swedish journalists.

@sceeus-ui.bsky.social

Korea Północna angażuje się w wojnę rosyjsko-ukraińską. Ta współpraca podkopuje międzynarodowy porządek nuklearny Kolejne reperkusje podstępnego ataku Moskwy na naród ukraiński pogłębiają rosyjską subwersję logiki światowego reżimu nieproliferacji. Zaangażowanie Korei Północnej w wojnę rosyjsko-ukraińską pogłębia...

Skutki rosyjskiej wojny w Ukrainie dla globalnego bezpieczeństwa są dodatkowo zaostrzane przez rosnące zaangażowanie Korei Północnej, państwa posiadającego broń jądrową poza NPT, w wojnę rosyjsko-ukraińską.

With @walberque.bsky.social @stimsoncenter.bsky.social in @wiadomosci.onet.pl

#SCEEUS

2025 – Time to End Russian Impunity - Sceeus SCEEUS Commentary No. 1, 2025 | 2025 – Time to End Russian Impunity by Klara Lindström | Centre for Eastern European Studies, SCEEUS

Recommendations in my #SCEEUS commentary on #accountability:

1. Ensure Europe's seat at the table
2. Make a Helsinki Final Act at 50 Declaration
3. Kick the mechanisms of international justice into action
4. Protect and support the institutions of international law

sceeus.se/en/publicati...

Publishing record on the Russo-Ukrainian War for 2024 Among achievements this year were four “#TheNationalInterest” articles based on several #SCEEUS reports arguing that a Ukrainian victory as well as stable and just peace in Eastern Euro…

Among achievements this year were four “#TheNationalInterest” articles based on several #SCEEUS reports arguing that a Ukrainian victory as well as stable and just peace in Eastern Europe will be:

umland.wordpress.com/2024/12/31/p...

THREAD

Among achievements this year were four "#TheNationalInterest" articles based on several #SCEEUS reports arguing that a Ukrainian victory as well as stable and just peace in Eastern Europe will be:

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@nordicukraine.bsky.social @sceeus-ui.bsky.social @defense-of-ukraine.bsky.social

Kampf in einem „Heiligen Krieg“: Nordkoreas dunkle Rolle in Putins Kreuzzug Nordkorea hat Russland große Mengen an Waffen und dazu auch Truppen zur Verfügung gestellt. Der militärische Wert ist zweifelhaft. Doch klar ist: Russlands Krieg gegen die Ukraine hat globale sicherhe...

@martinkragh.bsky.social #SCEEUS:

Putin schafft es erfolgreich, die widersprüchlichen Perspektiven, Russland sei ein Imperium & ein Vorbild für Antiimperialismus, in Einklang zu bringen.

@focusonline.bsky.social

@konflikt-sicher.bsky.social @ukrainekompakt.bsky.social @nordicukraine.bsky.social

Key messages of the speakers from the Session 3 of the 3rd EU Accession Exchange Forum Кey messages of the speakers from the Session “Spoilers of the EU integration: how to safeguard the EU accession process from Russia’s interference?”

Summaries of the statements of Nona Mikhelidze, IAI, Andras Racz, @dgap.org , Pavel Havlicek, AMO, Hanna Hopko, International Center for Ukrainian Victory and me, #SCEEUS, at Ukraine’s 3rd EU Accession Forum organized by the New Europe Center

neweurope.org.ua/en/en-key-me...

Zelenskyy’s Changing Leadership Style What does the latest cabinet reshuffle tell us about how Zelenskyy is governing Ukraine?

From the #WSF2024 Warsaw Security Forum:

Zelenskyy's ability to learn and adapt has been helpful. This should also enable him to fulfill his new role as a wartime president.

With Julia Kazdobina, Ukrainian Prism, in The National Interest

#SCEEUS
nationalinterest.org/feature/zele...

On my way to the #WarsawSecurityForum with yesterday's #SCEEUS Report 14/2024 written together with Julia Kazdobina & Jakob Hedenskog:

How did it happen that the West only understood Russia's war eight years after it had begun?

#WSF2024

sceeus.se/en/publicati...

@apsa-europe-polsky.bsky.social

NATO Frontline States Need an Air Defense Shield Now Russia is probing NATO with attack drones and missiles. Ignoring them is a dangerous option.

Excellent analysis of #NATO's tricky questions at its Eastern border as well as some thoughtful recommendations, in this @foreignpolicy.com article by my #SCEEUS / #UI colleague #FredrikWesslau.

@nordicukraine.bsky.social @konflikt-sicher.bsky.social

It is time for the EU to initiate a Trans-Caspian Partnership EU leaders’ decision to start accession negotiations with Moldova and Ukraine has put the final nail in the coffin of the Eastern Partnership which was never designed to handle enlargement. The time i...

In the South Caucasus and Central Asia, the desire to forge closer ties with the EU has increased following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

@jengvall.bsky.social, #SCEEUS, in NEE

@konflikt-sicher.bsky.social @ecpr.bsky.social @fpri.bsky.social @euwatch.live @caucasussurvey.bsky.social

Opinion: 6 ways Ukraine’s Kursk incursion is changing the tide of war As becomes clearer with each passing day, the Ukrainian foray into Russia’s Kursk Oblast, which began on Aug. 6, is no minor incident. Kyiv’s unexpected operation on Russian territory could fundamenta...

Ten years of insufficient support for Ukraine, coupled with many states' continued trade with Russia, have led Kyiv to shift from a defensive to an offensive stance.

My today's @kyivindependent.com article based on a #SCEEUS commentary.

@nordicukraine.bsky.social @konflikt-sicher.bsky.social

Defence Expenditures, Secrecy and State Programmes in the Russian Federal Budget: A Closer Look at the Data - Sceeus SCEEUS Report No. 6, 2024 | By Erik Andermo and Martin Kragh | The entry into force of the Russian Budget Code (Byudzhetnyy kodeks) on 1 January 2000 marked a break from the fiscally tumultuous 1990s....

Existing aggregate estimates of Russia’s defence expenditures, such as the annual publications of SIPRI and IISS, provide only a crude overview of the trends in the Russian budget.

#ErikAndermo and @martinkragh.bsky.social for the #SCEEUS

@dgoberlin.bsky.social

Ukraine-Krieg: Experten sehen klare Vorteile für westliche Waffen gegen Russland Darf die Ukraine westliche Waffen auch gegen militärische Ziele in Russland einsetzen? Eine Frage, die momentan für eine hitzige Diskussion sorgt.

Die Zögerlichkeit von Scholz, anderen Politiker & etlicher Experten beruht auf einer Fehleinschätzung russischer Verhaltensmodi.

@annehamilton.bsky.social mit Zitaten von @meistefan1.bsky.social @dgap.org & mir #SCEEUS

@konflikt-sicher.bsky.social @ukrainekompakt.bsky.social @ukrindeu.bsky.social

NORTHERN EXPOSURE After centuries of neutrality, Sweden this year became the 32nd member of NATO, a decision triggered by Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. In addition to adding a highl…

How does the West’s standoff with Russia look from Stockholm as Sweden becomes NATO’s newest member?

#BrianWhitmore interviews #FredrikLöjdquist of the #SCEEUS at the #UISweden for @powervertical.bsky.social

CC: @nordicukraine.bsky.social @sipri.bsky.social
www.powervertical.org/2024/05/23/n...

Eurasia: Between Russia and Turkey As Russian influence in Central Asia wanes, Turkey’s is on the rise.

Turkey has its own agenda, which does not include subordination to either Russia or China. It is a Western interest to encourage Turkey’s emergence as a partial counterweight to this axis.

Dr @jengvall.bsky.social, #SCEEUS at The Swedish Institute of International Affairs, for The National Interest

Ukraine-Belarus Relations in the Shadow of War - SCEEUS SCEEUS Guest Commentary | Ukraine-Belarus Relations in the Shadow of War by Pavlo Rad & Iaroslav Chornogor | Centrum för Östeuropastudier, SCEEUS

Belarus’ future depends not only on EU actions, but also on the outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian War and developments in Russia.

Pavlo Rad and Iaroslav Chornogor of the Foreign Policy Council "Ukrainian Prism" for the #SCEEUS at the Utrikespolitiska institutet

#StockholmBelarusConf

Belarusian Civil Society Inside and Outside of the Country - SCEEUS SCEEUS Guest Commentary | Belarusian Civil Society Inside and Outside of the Country by Tatsiana Chulitskaya | Centrum för Östeuropastudier, SCEEUS

There is a pressing need for support for organisations, initiatives, and activities within Belarus.

Tatsiana Chulitskaya of the Vilnius University Institute of International Affairs and Political Science for the #SCEEUS

#stockholmbelarusconf

What Is Wrong With the West’s Belarus Policy? - SCEEUS SCEEUS Guest Commentary | What is Wrong with the West's Belarus Policy by Ryhor Astapenia | Centrum för Östeuropastudier, SCEEUS

Any decrease in Western support for independent media, civil society, and political actors would limit Western leverage on the situation in Belarus.

sceeus.se/en/publicati...

Ryhor Astapenia of Chatham House for the #SCEEUS

#StockholmBelarusConf

Avoiding Misplaced Fatalism: What Explains Belarusian Scepticism of European Integration? - SCEEUS SCEEUS Guest Commentary | Avoiding Misplaced Fatalism: What Explains Belarusian Skepticism of European Integration? | Centrum för Östeuropastudier, SCEEUS

The current Russian regime would thwart any attempts at Belarus-EU integration. Many Belarusians view this reality as a prohibitive barrier to any thoughts of EU integration.

@shraibman.bsky.social for the #SCEEUS at the #Utrikespolitiskainstitutet

sceeus.se/en/publicati...

#stockholmbelarusconf