RichardJR

@electricbluesfan.bsky.social

11 months ago

2/11 Despite a tightening race nationally, where Conservatives now trail by less than 1% (39.7%), this isn't translating into seat gains for Poilievre's party—which is still projected to win only 128 seats, well short of government formation.
#ElectionPolls #SeatProjections

RichardJR

@electricbluesfan.bsky.social

1 year ago

2/7 Liberal seat projections now show the party winning approximately 176 seats—exactly the threshold for a majority government. Analysts give Carney a 53% probability of securing a majority, while Conservatives have just a 6% chance of winning one.
#CanadianElection #SeatProjections