#StLouisFed

While short-term rates are declining, long-term rates are increasing. This interest rate behavior may be signaling an expectation of future fiscal deficits and large debt-to-GDP ratios, which would result in higher interest rates, notes #stlouisfed
www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...

#lower #immigration projections mean lower breakeven employment growth estimates, chart #stlouisfed
www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...

In order to understand the strength of the labor market or tightness of the #labor market, we would also look at what fraction of employed workers are holding 2nd jobs, chart #stlouisfed
www.stlouisfed.org/open-vault/2...

US firms have restructured their global supply chains:
#changes in the #composition of US import suppliers play an important role in shaping overall import price dynamics, chart #StLouisFed www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...

For firms in advanced economies, competitive dynamics with #China are no longer limited to cost advantages in manufacturing. Increasingly, #Chinese firms are active in #HighTech sectors where innovation, know-how, and #intellectual property play a central role, chart #stlouisfed

U.S. economic growth to fall below 2% trend, warns St. Louis Fed’s Musalem - Reuters Investing.com -- Alberto Musalem, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, anticipates that U.S. economic growth this year will likely fall considerably below the estimated trend of 2%, according to an interview with Reuters. Despite the prediction of a slowdown, Musalem does not foresee a recession. His outlook is based on a combination of factors including slipping confidence, higher prices, and a hit to household wealth. Musalem noted that financial conditions have tightened, but he does not see any market dysfunction in the recent volatility. He indicated that markets are responding to reassessments of global growth. There is a growing tension between the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate goals as the risks of slower growth and higher inflation start to materialize. While inflation expectations remain anchored, Musalem stressed the importance of the Federal Reserve’s role in keeping them that way. He warned that it would be risky to assume the Federal Reserve can overlook higher prices resulting from tariffs, suggesting that some effects could persist. He emphasized the need for a balanced approach to monetary policy as long as inflation expectations remain anchored. Musalem also mentioned that businesses are not resorting to layoffs, but are instead adopting a wait-and-see approach to hiring and capital spending plans. In the event of higher-than-anticipated tariffs, companies and households may need to adjust to increased prices, potentially leading to a rise in the unemployment rate. Musalem’s stance on monetary policy response will depend on the evolution of inflation and unemployment in the coming months, the persistence of the price shock, and the consistency of inflation expectations with the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target. Musalem, who has a vote on interest rate policy this year, referred to anchored expectations as a necessary but not sufficient condition for the Federal Reserve to reach its 2% inflation target. He stressed vigilance regarding the risks associated with keeping unemployment low and inflation stable, and committed to maintaining a balanced approach as long as inflation expectations do not threaten to rise. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Click Subscribe. #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #StLouisFed #Musalem #FinancialNews

Producer Price Index by Industry: Concrete Block and Brick Manufacturing: Concrete Brick Producer Price Index by Industry: Concrete Block and Brick Manufacturing: Concrete Brick

“One more thing: price of the brick going up” fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCU32... #theWire #StLouisFed #meme #economics #bricks #concrete

Click Subscribe. #Inflation #Tariffs #Economy #StLouisFed #FinanceNews

Just reading where Trump says there will be a #Transition and #Pain but not to #PrepareForARecsession. That means he and the @GOP are causing a recession. The wonderful part is, #RedStates will bear the brunt of the damage. #StLouisFed. #RedStateJobLosses #RedStatePriceIncreases

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis As part of the Federal Reserve System, the St. Louis Fed works to promote a healthy economy and financial stability.

Level up your economic insights! 🚀 The St. Louis Fed website (www.stlouisfed.org) just got a usability boost. Bookmark it for easy access to research, tools, and data to inform your economic decisions.
#FRBStLouis #StLouisFed #Econsky #finsky #research #data #CentralBank #MonetaryEconomics📊

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis As part of the Federal Reserve System, the St. Louis Fed works to promote a healthy economy and financial stability.

Sharing a quick summary of some of the work that the team has done recently. Come and check our webs for additional content.
fedinprint.org/search?sort=...

#FRED #FRASER #economics #monetarypolicy #StLouisFed

FRASER A to Z Coloring Book | Title | FRASER | St. Louis Fed Coloring pages inspired by FRASER®, a digital library of U.S. economic, financial and banking history, in honor of its 20th anniversary.

Did you know about the FRASER Coloring Book?
It's been a huge hit, with over 1500 downloads in just the past month! 📈 Check it out and unleash your inner artist or share it with family members and friends!
fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/fraser...

#FRASER #EconEd #ColoringBook #FED #StLouisFed

Everybody Loves FRED: How America Fell for a Data Tool From Facebook political debates to college classrooms, the St. Louis Fed’s data tool has gained a major following.

Swag on point but also we need #StLouisFed over here

Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability | FRED | St. Louis Fed Release: Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability, 3 economic data series, FRED: Download, graph, and track economic data.

FRED has added 3 data series (fred.stlouisfed.org/release?rid=...) for the Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability. This provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market.
#FRED #LaborMarket
#Data #Economics #StLouisFed

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Ready to take your FRED® skills to the next level? Head over to the link below and get started today!
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#FRED #DataSkills #MicroCredential #FreeLearning #Economics #StLouisFed

As the #ECB executive board nominations being discussed (2men), let me point to this great podcast series by US #StLouisFed, it is possible to make efforts, there are many great women @DivDecEcon @ecb why not a similar project by the ECB?...