Actually read this book for an analysis of what makes one good at predicting #superForecasting
Do groups see better into the future? That’s what Mi3’s Bahador Bahrami wanted to find out: "Our results clearly show that when forecasters compromise, the accuracy of their aggregated predictions improves significantly." tinyurl.com/5n6vcrrb #superforecasting #DecisionMaking #CognitiveScience
You can now take a short online course in #superforecasting good-judgment.thinkific.com/courses/Superforecasting...
Could #superforecasting help improve international development crisis response? @PTetlock www.theguardian.com/global-development-profe...
Did you predict Brexit & Trump? Take the #Superforecasting challenge with @TheEconomist @PTetlock https://www.gjopen.com/challenges/10-the-world-in-2017
The modest @PTetlock (of #superforecasting fame) comes across very nicely in this @FT lunch w/ @rbrtrmstrng next.ft.com/content/803a430a-442b-11...
Read our new @signmagazine piece on the future of prediction ft @PTetlock & @NateSilver538 onlinelibrary.wiley.com/enhanced/doi/10.1111/j.1... #superforecasting
We don't always want #superforecasting says @JohnKayFT : http://on.ft.com/1ReRMRu @PTetlock
Dominic Lawson on #pollgate and lessons from @PTetlock #superforecasting - www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/comment/columns/domi...
Fancy your prediction skills? @TheEconomist teams up w/ @PTetlock to test yr forecasting for 2016 www.gjopen.com/challenges/5-the-economi... #superforecasting
In 2016 are we about to move from being rubbish at prediction to #superforecasting? @PTetlock http://econ.st/1OnIZbB @TheEconomist
A 1 hour stats course can improve forecasting by 10% - @odysseanproject review of @PTetlock #superforecasting new.spectator.co.uk/2015/10/superforecasting...
This is fascinating on @PTetlock #superforecasting - some people genuinely are better at prediction http://wapo.st/1Vn9zbx (cc @TimHarford)