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From bananas to toys, these 5 charts show how much costs have risen since Trump's tariffs went into effect Since Trump’s tariffs took effect in April, inflation has been showing up in categories that rarely see big swings.

www.cnbc.com/2025/09/13/c...
#TariffInflation

Trump crashes the Fed consensus by shoving his economist on the board & demanding steeper rate cuts. Powell’s left trying to balance inflation and a fraying of Fed independence. Playing with fire? Definitely. 🔥 #FedWatch #TariffInflation www.politico.com/new...

From bananas to toys, these 5 charts show how much costs have risen since Trump's tariffs went into effect Since Trump’s tariffs took effect in April, inflation has been showing up in categories that rarely see big swings.

Prices have skyrocketed since Trump’s tariffs kicked in—everything from cars to groceries is costing more. 🛒📈 Check the charts that show how much more you’re paying. #TariffInflation #CostOfLiving

Trump promised he’d crush inflation and slash your everyday costs. Instead, prices are climbing, promises are fading—and wallets are feeling the pain. 📉 #BrokenPromises #TariffInflation thehill.com/opinion/...

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Why tariff-driven inflation and a weakening labor market haven’t been bad for U.S. stocks - MarketWatch Why tariff-driven inflation and a weakening labor market haven’t been bad for U.S. stocks  MarketWatch

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Tariff inflation worry, debt deluge to prop up longer-term US Treasury yields: Reuters poll By Sarupya Ganguly BENGALURU (Reuters) -Longer-term U.S. Treasury yields will rise modestly in coming months on tariff inflation worries and a deluge of new debt issuance even as short-term yields fall on renewed Federal Reserve rate cut bets, a Reuters survey of bond strategists showed. Both two-year and 10-year yields have fallen about 25 basis points since mid-July despite nearly half a trillion dollars of new Treasury securities expected to hit the market this quarter alone. The bulk of that yield decline followed big downward revisions to previous months’ hiring data that led President Donald Trump to fire the Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner. A September Fed rate reduction is now all but certain after a long pause, with nearly two more priced into interest rate futures by year-end following concerns about the strength of the job market as well as mounting worries over future political interference in Fed policy. "The market, as we’ve seen, has a tendency to take on board a downside surprise on growth and the labor market and run with additional expected cuts. We’ve been reluctant to take that on board. In fact, we’ve been pushing back on this," said Jean Boivin, head of the BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) Investment Institute. "This is a world where the Fed will have an easing bias, will want and have the intent to cut, but will be constrained in its ability to deliver that because the inflation piece of the puzzle will not be cooperating as much," Boivin added. Although many market participants view the surge in U.S. tariffs to their highest since the Great Depression as a temporary boost to inflation, many others are concerned this will prove more persistent at a time when it is already well above the Fed’s 2% target. Consumer price index (CPI) data due on Tuesday are expected to show a further rise in July. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, currently 4.27%, will edge up to 4.30% in three months and trade around there at end-January and in a year, medians from nearly 50 bond strategists in an August 6-11 Reuters poll showed. Policy-rate sensitive 2-year Treasury yields were expected to drop about 15 bps to 3.60% in six months and then to 3.50% in a year, the poll showed. STEEPER CURVE That will further steepen the yield curve, widening the gap between those two yields from around 50 bps on Monday to 80 bps in a year. "General uncertainty around trade policy and fiscal concerns and its impact on Treasury issuance might keep longer-term yields, like the 10-year yield, a little bit more elevated," said Collin Martin, fixed income strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research. "Add all that together, we’ll probably see a steeper yield curve." Large Treasury debt sales in coming quarters are expected to prevent long-term yields from falling much, even if inflation rises less than expected. That in part, is a reflection of the higher "term premium" - compensation for holding long-term debt. "Fiscal concerns could be more of an issue based on expectations for more and more Treasury issuance coming through the pipeline," said Martin. "And the more debt we issue, the more buyers we need to find. You might need to see yields stay a little bit elevated to attract that marginal buyer." Those concerns have been compounded by growing doubts over the central bank’s independence, stoked by Trump’s barrage of attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the credibility of official U.S. statistics. "We have been of the view long-term rates in the U.S. will be drifting up...There are forces at play that will require greater compensation to take duration risk in U.S. Treasuries over time, and that’s going to continue to become apparent to investors," added BlackRock’s Boivin. "Mathematically, we don’t have a deficit reduction plan in place, and that’s why the market and us as investors are forcing the issue by expecting more yield...A steepening yield curve is the high-conviction structural bet in our portfolio at the moment," he said. Before you buy stock in BLK, consider this: ProPicks AI are 6 easy-to-follow model portfolios created by Investing.com for building wealth by identifying winning stocks and letting them run. Over 150,000 paying members trust ProPicks to find new stocks to buy – driven by AI. The ProPicks AI algorithm has just identified the best stocks for investors to buy now. The stocks that made the cut could produce enormous returns in the coming years. Is BLK one of them?

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Real unbiased economic statistics are critical.

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The tariff-driven inflation that economists feared begins to emerge Inflation rose last month to its highest level since February as President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs push up the cost of a range of goods, including furniture, clothing, and large appliances.

“You are starting to see scattered bits of the #TariffInflation regime filter in,” Eric Winograd, chief economist at AllianceBernstein, who added that the cost of long-lasting goods rose last month, compared with a year ago, for the first time in about three years.

apnews.com/article/infl...

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Few Signs of Tariff Inflation - Action Forex Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Few Signs of Tariff Inflation  Action Forex http://dlvr.it/TLLdBd

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Few Signs of Tariff Inflation - Action Forex #EconomicCommentary #FinancialAnalysis #TariffInflation #ForexMarket #MarketTrends

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Macquarie: Fed is struggling with the unknowability of tariff inflationary impact Investing.com -- Uncertainty surrounding U.S. import tariffs and their inflationary consequences is weighing on financial markets and clouding the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook, according to analysts at Macquarie. In a note to clients on Tuesday, Macquarie highlighted a growing list of companies pulling earnings guidance due to tariff-related risks. “Among the main ‘worry points’, we think, are [a] batch of U.S. companies that have withdrawn their forward guidance on earnings in view of the uncertainty around U.S. import tariffs,” the firm wrote. Macquarie explained that the issue came to a head with Ford Motor Co . (NYSE:F) suspending its full-year outlook, citing potential “industrywide supply chain disruption” and the risk of further tariff hikes. Despite signs of slowing global growth, the firm also noted that the dollar has failed to rally. “The slow global growth signals have not put a bid under the USD this morning. That’s in keeping with the deterioration of the USD’s ‘safe haven’ status over the past few weeks,” Macquarie stated. With the Federal Open Market Committee set to meet Wednesday, Macquarie expects the Fed to keep interest rates on hold and avoid signaling a clear directional bias. “Jay Powell will reiterate that he and the FOMC are well placed to wait for more clarity before reacting to the U.S. import tariffs with either rate cuts or rate hikes,” said the firm. The core challenge, Macquarie said, is that “the Fed’s struggles with the unknowability of the inflationary implication of tariffs (and the longer-term effect from a rise in inflation expectations) compel the FOMC to dissuade traders from automatically assuming that aggressive rate cuts are ahead.” While outward economic resilience persists, Macquarie cautioned against assuming monetary policy easing is imminent, warning that the Fed remains in wait-and-see mode as policy uncertainty grows.

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Fed may struggle to 'look through' tariff inflation: Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley argue that the U.S. Federal Reserve may face increasing challenges in maintaining its current stance on inflation amid rising concerns about the impact of new tariffs. While Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently suggested the central bank might not overreact to inflation driven by tariffs—characterising it as a temporary, one-off price increase—this view may become harder to defend if inflation remains elevated for a prolonged period. Morgan Stanley analysts have highlighted a potential tension between the Fed's data-dependent approach and its desire to look past short-term inflation shocks. Although Powell’s remarks imply some tolerance for slower disinflation, particularly if the source is seen as supply-side driven, the persistence of high inflation could ultimately limit the Fed’s flexibility. Markets hoping for rate cuts later this year may find expectations tempered by sticky price pressures. The Fed’s current strategy relies heavily on distinguishing between temporary and sustained inflation drivers. However, Morgan Stanley warns that politically driven tariffs—especially if expanded or prolonged—could feed into broader price levels, making it harder to separate transitory effects from underlying inflation trends. This could force the Fed to keep interest rates higher for longer, even if growth slows. As the U.S. economy navigates a complex mix of geopolitics and domestic economic data, the path forward for monetary policy remains uncertain. Should tariff-induced inflation persist, the Fed may have to delay rate cuts longer than markets currently anticipate, reinforcing the delicate balancing act central bankers face between fighting inflation and supporting economic growth. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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Thank you, MAGA!

Congrats to all the dumb dumbs who voted for this.
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Trump's tariffs on China bite US bargain-hunting online shoppers On Wednesday, Matthew Cannon's college-age daughter forwarded him a request from delivery company DHL asking for duties and fees of $45.19 tied to her order from Australian fashion seller I.Am.Gia. DH...

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