20260305, day6, 15 countries are in this war, incl 🇬🇧 🇫🇷.
#NATO Art 5, CAN may join
⭕🇬🇷 #ThucydidesTrap: #XJP & #Obama discussed this for 4 hours.
I wonder if @Trump & his sycophants know this.

Canada will be the first to recognize it's best business and culture partner California, the day the #Calexit occurs.

The US military is obsolete but someone responsible must take hold of its legacy.

It's everyone's job to stop #USChinaWar and evade the #ThucydidesTrap.

And also interests or analyses that seek alignment with rising powers or stabler neighbours simply because they are stable:

#ThucydidesTrap requires allying with #China to prevent #waronChina. This might entail #Calexit.

#EuropeIsNotAcontinent entails a #FreeAlaska to seek #ArcticPeace w #Russia.

ASPI’s Critical Technology Tracker: 2025 updates and 10 new technologies | The Strategist ASPI’s Critical Technology Tracker now covers global research efforts into 74 technologies, giving policymakers, industry and partners the clearest, most current picture of the tech race for strategic...

Technologically the West is not just a sinking, it's sinking THIS YEAR and so to save itself Europe must hard-ally with China. Which means peace with Russia & Iran whether they like it or not.

And here's why thats just inevitable
www.aspistrategist.org.au/aspis-critic...

#ThucydidesTrap applies.

Unless in a #ThucydidesTrap which forces a binary choice that in the nuclear age can be made only one way.

NATO was arming to attack Crimea as Donbas was in a hot war. Doing nothing would risk nuclear false alarm disaster with missiles 90s from Moscow. The pivotal error of the West was to put Russia into this position.

Now the West cannot ever #pivotToAsia.

And the #ThucydidesTrap must #endAmerica.

Well then your economics is bizarre and I can only refer you to #MichaelHudson & #RayDalio.

You are actually a worse narcissist than any MAGA I've encountered yet.

#ThucydidesTrap may explain even to you why the world must side with China & help dismantle USA, regardless of history or feelings.

"A rose by any other name would smell as sweet."

This makes for some good, uncomfortable reading. #longread #realism #liberalism #ThucydidesTrap

7. Finally #geopolitics of #nuclearwar see #ThucydidesTrap logic:

#TaiwanIsPartOfChina legally by its own constitution. Despite tribal, ethical, spiritual differences it's not militarily defensible, nor is it morally:

Life is at lower risk with rising #China having #Taiwan than a falling USA.

9/9

Pretty tankie at this point like all who see #ThucydidesTrap factors threatening #nuclearwar most likely by false alarm.

You wouldn't know what a contradiction is if it was both too weak to take Ukraine and also a threat to #EuropeIsNotAContinent.

What's your #supermajority rule then? Last probe.

Which, from a #ThucydidesTrap perspective, is very good. The period of time that the falling power has confidence to initiate war on the rising power must be minimized. In 2026 this means absolutely no #pivotToAsia can ever be allowed to occur.

Norway did it's bit to #distract_Trump to Venezuela.

Critical Technology Tracker - ASPI The Critical Technology Tracker is a large data-driven project that now covers 64 critical technologies.

Ultimately only this matters: the tech Go game.

www.aspi.org.au/programs/cri...

The USA has lost but will not take the L, continues to strut it's cult ideology & retarded #freedom_unit #zioUSD as if it has won a game it no longer really gets.

#ThucydidesTrap forces everyone sane to ally China.

#DemocraticParty is just another vector of #ZionistAttack. The final solution is to both #endAmerica and #endIsrael. None of these genocidally fascist clowns could reverse the technological & industrial & even military collapse of the undead USA.

However they may try to trigger the #ThucydidesTrap.

Global Tech Landscape Shifts in ASPI’s 2025 Critical Technology Tracker - Office of the Vice President for Research The Australian Strategic Policy Institute, an independent, nonpartisan think tank focused on defense, technology, and national security, has released its 2025 update to the Critical...

This is exactly what neocons want. And they must never, ever, get it, for the #ThucydidesTrap reason.

www.research.utah.edu/research-imp...

There really are no "US strategists" that get listened to. The better ones like #ThomasPMBarnett just get ignored.

That's just as well, since any coherent strategy for a term gives more latitude to the next POTUS to do inevitably more harm.

#ThucydidesTrap means the wise want the US off the map.

Aligned interests.

China must prevent a #pivottoAsia. There must never, at any tiime, ever, be a "pivot". See #ThucydidesTrap for why.

While China finds it inconvenient that wars rage in Europe, MENA, Congo and Caribbean, it gains time to take the lead in the 8/74 technologies it doesnt yet.

I don't agree. I think only the #ThucydidesTrap matters.

As the USA declared itself belligerent and reinforced #WolfowitzDoctrine, again, the imperative for all rational actors must be to hasten #AmericanDecline and facilitate #ChinasRise, and if necessary #endAmerica, starving it out utterly.

The US-China Contest: Inevitable but Avoidable - Stratheia The U.S.- China rivalry is real but not inevitable; mutual interests and restraint can pave the path to cooperation, not conflict.

Mahbubani is right: U.S.–China ties don’t have to mirror the Thucydides Trap. A pragmatic partnership benefits the whole world.
#Mahbubani #ThucydidesTrap #Geopolitics
stratheia.com/the-us-china...

There's a lot of solid coverage about the #TrumpTariffs and the chaos they are bringing. What's missing is how consistent this is with US behavior this century. I just published a repackaged podcast on the real #ThucydidesTrap that lays this out. youtu.be/nXX4x-MPMkI