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The G-Zero wins was our #1 risk for 2025 – but @ianbremmer.com warned about this risk over a decade ago.

In honor of twenty years of Top Risks, let’s look back at the first appearance of the G-Zero:

#TopRisks2025

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Looking back at our #TopRisks2025 – what about the Red Herrings?

aka: what we weren’t losing sleep over in 2025

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Top risks of 2025, reviewed Here’s how Eurasia Group’s 2025 Top Risks report stacked up – where it hit the mark and where it missed.

#ICYMI: Our friends at @gzeromedia.com review our #TopRisks2025 ⬇️

www.gzeromedia.com/news/analysis/top-risks-...

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Mexican standoff: Eurasia Group's #10 Top Risk of 2025 Mexico will face formidable challenges this year in its relations with the US at a time of ongoing constitutional overhauls and fiscal stresses at home.

Looking back at #TopRisks2025 – how did we do?

First up: #10 Mexican standoff

The political challenges for Mexico’s economy in 2025 were significant, but the surprise was how well Pres. Sheinbaum was able to navigate her relationship with Pres. Trump.

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#TopRisks2026 marks twenty years of @ianbremmer.com’s annual forecast of the political risks that are most likely to play out over the year.

Leading up to our 5 January launch, we’ll be looking back at #TopRisks2025, as well as some of the most notable risks from the last two decades.

Stay tuned…

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Trump wants a weaker European Union America’s new National Security Strategy confirms what Europeans have feared for months: Washington now sees a strong, unified European Union as a problem to be solved, not an ally to be supported.

Most European leaders now believe that America can no longer be counted on as an ally.

That’s an existential crisis for the transatlantic alliance. Or, as we put it in our #TopRisks2025, the G-Zero wins.

@gzeromedia.com

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Trump’s tariffs hand US farmers a long winter These days, US farmers aren’t just worried about the weather jeopardizing their harvests. They’re keeping a close eye on geopolitical storms as well.

A lot of farm workers in the US are losing their authorization to work or are being deported outright, says our expert Noah Daponte-Smith.

“And that is creating labor market pressures in the food supply chain that are pushing prices up.”

@gzeromedia.com #TopRisks2025

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Trump cuts tariffs on China after ‘truly great’ meeting with Xi China’s leader agreed to delay restrictions on rare earth minerals for a year and buy more soybeans, Trump said after a meeting designed to calm trade tensions.

“If you look at the totality of the relationship between the US and China,” says @ianbremmer.com.

“It’s in a significantly more challenging place, and longer term, the trajectory is more toward decoupling.”

#TopRisks2025

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Trump is leading a political revolution. Will he succeed? The biggest story of our G-Zero world, Ian Bremmer explains, is that the United States – still the world’s most powerful nation – has chosen to walk away from the international system it built and led...

“President Trump is replacing the rule of law with the rule of Don,” writes @ianbremmer.com.

“Much like he’s embracing the law of the jungle – where the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must – internationally.”

#TopRisks2025 @gzeromedia.com

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“We are heading back to the law of the jungle – where the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must.”

@ianbremmer.com explains how the global leadership deficit will reach critical mass in 2025:

@carnegiecorp.bsky.social #TopRisks2025

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10 biggest world threats of 2025, ranked | Ian Bremmer "There is so much more uncertainty and volatility in a world that is moving fast with big countries that are more at odds with each other and with fewer rules of the road that leaders, companies, and ...

“The G-Zero world and America First are working together in lockstep,” says @ianbremmer.com.

“And that means more ungoverned spaces, more rogue actors, more geopolitical instability and more conflict.”

#TopRisks2025

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TikTok ban likely to be upheld On Friday, the Supreme Court appeared poised to uphold the TikTok ban, largely dismissing the app’s argument that it should be able to exist in the US under the First Amendment’s free speech protectio...

The clock is ticking for TikTok – and it looks like the ban is likely to be upheld.

Our friends @gzeromedia.com point out that the decision could be an early reflection of US-China breakdown, which ranks #3 on our #TopRisks2025.

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Country-Specific Implications

In addition to our global #TopRisks2025 report, we published addendums for Brazil, Canada, Europe, and Japan.

Curious how these risks play out in different parts of the world?

Download here ⬇️

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@Eurasia Group’s #TopRisks2025 highlights a growing tragedy: ungoverned spaces. From Haiti to Syria, millions suffer as global leadership retreats. These crises impact us all—displacement, radicalization, instability. We can’t look away. #GlobalCitizenship #UngovernedSpaces lnkd.in/eZ6n8fy8

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The G-Zero wins: Eurasia Group's #1 Top Risk of 2025 We’re entering a uniquely dangerous period of world history on par with the 1930s and the early Cold War.

This geopolitical reality is the force behind all the Top Risks in this year’s report.

And the tail risk of something truly catastrophic is getting fatter every day.

#TopRisks2025

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Our Top Risk this year is not a single event.

It’s the cumulative impact of the G-Zero leadership deficit on the breakdown of the global order.

Here’s why The G-Zero wins ranked #1 on our #TopRisks2025 🧵

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🌍 2025 : Le paradoxe de notre époque :
Prospérité technologique historique + Effondrement de la gouvernance mondiale = Risques majeurs

Une analyse fascinante des défis qui redessinent notre monde. #Geopolitics #TopRisks2025
@eurasiagroup.net

🔍 Analyse complète 👇 www.whatsapp.com/channel/0029...

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Red Herrings: Eurasia Group's Top Risk of 2025 Trump fails. Europe breaks. The global energy transition stalls. Our 2025 Red Herrings.

Our #TopRisks2025 report includes 3 Red Herrings:

➡️ Trump fails
➡️ Europe breaks
➡️ Global energy transition stalls

Some people think these are big risks heading into 2025. We don’t.

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Eurasia Group | The Top Risks of 2025

Important but sobering read from @eurasiagroup.net on the top risks for 2025.

#TopRisks2025

eurasiagroup.net/TopRisks2025

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'Rule of Don,' 'The G-Zero wins' are Eurasia Group's top risks for 2025 The Eurasia Group's Ian Bremmer joins Morning Joe to discuss its 'Top Risks for 2025' report.

i'm an ai enthusiast, but i still worry we’re heading towards big trouble in 2025

@morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social #toprisks2025
www.msnbc.com/morning-joe/...

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Top Risks 2025 Join us January 6 at 12 pm ET for a livestream with Ian Bremmer and global experts to discuss the Top Risks of 2025 report from Eurasia Group.

my #toprisks2025 report with @eurasiagroup.net is out now!

i'll be live at 12pm et to dive into the greatest challenges we face in the year ahead:
www.gzeromedia.com/events/top-r...

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We are heading back to the law of the jungle, says @eurasiagroup.net's #TopRisks2025 report.

🗓️ LIVE TODAY at 12 pm ET: Join @ianbremmer.com and experts to unpack the biggest risks the world faces this year.

Tune in:
www.gzeromedia.com/events/upcom...

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Eurasia Group | The Top Risks of 2025

it's 2025: what do @eurasiagroup.net and i say is the biggest risk of all?

our flagship #toprisks2025 report is now live. check it out: eurasiagroup.net/TopRisks2025

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Eurasia Group | The Top Risks of 2025

There was a lot to choose from this year, but here’s what we @eurasiagroup.net think you should be worried about in 2025. #TopRisks2025

www.eurasiagroup.net/TopRisks2025

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‼️ @eurasiagroup.net's #TopRisks2025 are here.

At 12pm ET today, Join @ianbremmer.com and other experts for a live breakdown of the biggest risks the world faces this year.

Add to your calendar:
www.gzeromedia.com/events/upcom...

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Exclusive: Ian Bremmer’s Top Risks for 2025 Here are brief summaries of the most important risks that will preoccupy world leaders, business decision-makers, and the rest of us in 2025, according to Bremmer and Kupchan. You can read the full re...

What are the world's Top Risks for 2025? Check out
@gzeromedia.com for summaries of the most important risks that will preoccupy world leaders, business decision-makers, and the rest of us in 2025, according to
@eurasiagroup.net & @ianbremmer.com. #TopRisks2025 gzeromedia.com/news/analysi...

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Red Herrings: Eurasia Group's Top Risk of 2025 Trump fails. Europe breaks. The global energy transition stalls. Our 2025 Red Herrings.

RED HERRINGS
Many think these are big risks heading into 2025. We don’t.

➡️ Trump fails
➡️ Europe breaks
➡️ Global energy transition stalls

#TopRisks2025

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Mexican standoff: Eurasia Group's #10 Top Risk of 2025 Mexico will face formidable challenges this year in its relations with the US at a time of ongoing constitutional overhauls and fiscal stresses at home.

#10: Mexican standoff

Mexico will face formidable challenges this year in its relations with the US at a time of ongoing constitutional overhauls and fiscal stresses at home.

#TopRisks2025

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Ungoverned spaces: Eurasia Group's #9 Top Risk of 2025 The deepening G-Zero will leave many people, places, and spaces thinly governed and forgotten.

#9: Ungoverned spaces

When the world’s most powerful actors are abdicating global leadership, many people and places will become thinly governed and forgotten.

#TopRisks2025

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AI unbound: Eurasia Group's #8 Top Risk of 2025 As most governments opt for lighter-touch regulation and international cooperation falters, AI capabilities and risks will continue to grow unchecked.

#8: AI unbound

As most governments opt for lighter-touch regulation and international cooperation falters, AI capabilities and risks will continue to grow unchecked.

#TopRisks2025

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