Update on #Stress, #Logistics, #Cyberattacks, #TradeUncertainty, #HealthCare and other issues in the #Workplace. Survey of 1,250 executives. See #ThoughtsAndObservations on Substack at substack.com/@miketemkin/...

Municipal government looks for certainty in upcoming CUSMA renewal Expert say municipalities may need to better understand their supply chains and diversify suppliers as trade uncertainty grows ahead of CUSMA review, which could reshape procurement costs for infrastructure projects across Canada.

Municipal government looks for certainty in upcoming CUSMA renewal #MunicipalGovernment #CUSMA #TradeUncertainty #SupplyChains #Infrastructure

WTF Wire

Supreme Court decision #Trumptariffs struck down key duties, raising #tradeuncertainty as markets react cautiously.

#SupremeCourt, #TradePolicy, #MarketUpdate #EconomicNews, #StockMarket, #TariffDecision #BreakingNews, #BusinessNews, #WorldEconomy

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WTF Wire

US trade partners strike new deals to reduce reliance on America as #Trumptariffs fuel #globaltrade uncertainty.
#USTrade, #WTFWire, #EconomicPolicy, #InternationalTrade, #TradeUncertainty, #WorldMarkets, #Geopolitics, #TariffImpact, #BusinessNews
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Curated Agriculture & Farming News | AgCanada Powered by Canada’s premier agricultural network, AgCanada has everything you need in one place from breaking news, market updates, weather reports and more all personalized to match your ...

AGCanadaTV: weekly ag news recap for Oct 17
#AgSky #Transportation #TruckDrivers #Sustainability #AgriBusiness #TradeUncertainty
A U.S. bill would ban Canadian truckers from USA; consumers don't understand sustainability & trade uncertainty is freezing investment into AG
app.agcanada.com/videos

Brent Crude Oil Trades at $62.73 per Barrel Brent crude oil is trading at $62.73 per barrel, reflecting a decline amid U.S.-China trade uncertainties and reduced geopolitical risks in the Middle East. 📉 #BrentCrude #OilPrices #TradeUncertainty #OPEC

Brent crude oil is trading at $62.73 per barrel, reflecting a decline amid U.S.-China trade uncertainties and reduced geopolitical risks in the Middle East. 📉 #BrentCrude #OilPrices #TradeUncertainty #OPEC

Irish Beer Exports Climb Amid Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty Domestic sales decline as brewers face U.S. tariffs, rising non-alcoholic demand, and calls for government support

FYI: Irish Beer Exports Climb Amid Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty #IrishBeer #BeerExports #TradeUncertainty #USTariffs #CraftBeer

Irish Beer Exports Climb Amid Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty Domestic sales decline as brewers face U.S. tariffs, rising non-alcoholic demand, and calls for government support

Irish Beer Exports Climb Amid Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty #IrishBeer #BeerExports #TradeUncertainty #USTariffs #NonAlcoholic

8/9 The bitter irony: Fulop did everything right. He went through the complex CUSMA compliance process specifically to avoid this chaos.

"We thought we were getting a good deal because CUSMA was supposed to keep on being respected, and that's not the case," he says.
#TradeUncertainty

American distillers remain cautious as Canada lifts tariffs on spirits Provinces slow to restore U.S. products to liquor store shelves despite federal policy change, leaving trade uncertainty

FYI: American distillers remain cautious as Canada lifts tariffs on spirits #AmericanDistillers #CanadaTariffs #SpiritsIndustry #TradeUncertainty #LiquorStore

American distillers remain cautious as Canada lifts tariffs on spirits Provinces slow to restore U.S. products to liquor store shelves despite federal policy change, leaving trade uncertainty

American distillers remain cautious as Canada lifts tariffs on spirits #AmericanDistillers #CanadaTariffs #SpiritsMarket #TradeUncertainty #LiquorTrade

9/10 International trade lawyer Lawrence Herman says Canada faces a "waiting game" until the Supreme Court decides.

"In the meantime, there's a lot of uncertainty, a lack of clarity."

Economic relationships hang in constitutional limbo.
#TradeUncertainty #CanadaUS

Trump tariffs mark revival of 18th century mercantilism | Policy Circle Trump tariffs echo mercantilist logic, challenging modern trade norms and reshaping global supply chains. #tradewar #wto

As #Trump doubles down on #protectionism, #economists warn of higher #inflation, #tradeuncertainty, and strategic fallout. #wto
www.policycircle.org/opinion/trum...

8/9 The July disappointment highlights Canada's economic challenges as trade uncertainty weighs on business confidence and hiring decisions.

Youth unemployment in particular signals deeper structural problems in the job market.
#TradeUncertainty

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European stocks slip lower on trade uncertainties; earnings season continues Investing.com - European stocks slipped lower Tuesday on lingering tariff uncertainties, while investors continued to wade through a deluge of quarterly corporate earnings. At 03:02 ET (07:02 GMT), the DAX index in Germany dropped 0.2%, the CAC 40 in France slipped 0.2%, while the FTSE 100 in the U.K. traded largely unchanged. European investors have been on edge since U.S. President Donald Trump announced earlier in July that he would impose a 30% tariff on goods imported from the EU starting Aug. 1. The two sides have been in negotiations, but the deadline is rapidly approaching with no trade deal in sight. The European bloc has been pushing for Washington to agree to maintain a baseline 10% duty, but the Wall Street Journal reported that U.S. officials told the EU’s trade chief last week that they expect Trump to demand more concessions, including a baseline tariff of 15% or higher. With this in mind, a growing number of European Union member states, including Germany, are considering using wide-ranging "anti-coercion" measures targeting U.S. services if the EU cannot reach a trade deal, Reuters reported, citing comments from EU diplomats. Quarterly earnings continue Ahead of that August deadline, investors will be studying a series of quarterly corporate earnings, parsing through the numbers for any clues on the impact trade uncertainty has had on profitability and consumer demand. Additionally, investors will be looking at how much the euro’s rise has eaten into profits of the firms in the bloc’s export-reliant economy after the single currency surged 9% in the April-June quarter. Lindt & Spruengli (SIX:LISN) raised its organic sales growth forecast for 2025, to between 9% and 11%, from previous guidance of 7% to 9%, with the Swiss chocolate maker citing consumer loyalty and a trend towards more premium products. Norsk Hydro (OTC:NHYDY) posted a 33% increase in second-quarter core profit, with the Norwegian renewable energy company citing rising aluminium and energy prices for the boost. Swiss lender Julius Baer (SIX:BAER) missed expectations for first half net profit, which fell 35% on the year, as the results reflected a previously disclosed increase in loan loss provisions, as well as a charge from the sale of its Brazilian wealth management business. U.K. facilities group Mitie (LON:MTO) reported a strong start to its fiscal year, with revenue from the first quarter of FY26 revenue rising 10.1% year-on-year, helped by new contract wins, project delivery and pricing. ECB meeting looms The economic data slate is largely empty in Europe Tuesday, and the main focus will be on the European Central Bank’s next policy decision later in the week. Analysts widely expect the ECB to keep its key deposit rate steady at 2%. At its last meeting in June, policymakers, bolstered by signs of flagging inflation and tepid economic activity in the 20-member euro zone, slashed rates by 25 basis points. It was the eighth reduction in a year, although it came with an indication from the ECB that it would likely pause in July, largely due to uncertainty around trade tensions with Washington. Crude falls on trade concerns Oil prices fell Tuesday on fears the increasingly likely trade war between the European Union and the U.S., two major consumers, will hit economic activity, and thus crude demand. At 03:02 ET, Brent futures dropped 0.4% to $68.94 a barrel, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 0.4% to $65.67 a barrel. Both settled slightly lower on Monday. U.S. tariffs on EU imports, along with levies against a host of other major U.S. trading partners, are set to take effect from August 1, which has been described as a “hard deadline” by White House officials. Don't miss out on the next big opportunity! Stay ahead of the curve with ProPicks – 6 model portfolios fueled by AI stock picks with a stellar performance this year.. In 2024 alone, ProPicks' AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. That's an impressive track record. With portfolios tailored for Dow stocks, S&P stocks, Tech Stocks, and Mid Cap stocks, you can explore various wealth-building strategies. So if BAER is on your watchlist, it could be very wise to know whether or not it made the ProPicks lists.

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Top 3 small-cap stock picks while navigating trade uncertainty - Yahoo Finance Top 3 small-cap stock picks while navigating trade uncertainty  Yahoo Finance

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Stocks See Support from Airline Stocks but Trade Uncertainty Persists - Nasdaq Stocks See Support from Airline Stocks but Trade Uncertainty Persists  Nasdaq

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IMF says new US tariffs keep trade uncertainty running high WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The IMF said on Thursday it was closely monitoring the latest U.S. tariffs announcements, saying uncertainty about the global economic outlook remained high and urged countries to work constructively to facilitate a stable trade environment. The IMF said it would offer more details when it releases an update to its April World Economic Outlook in late July, ahead of the new August 1 deadline for trade negotiations. U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday expanded a global trade war with a new 50% tariff on U.S. copper imports and a 50% duty on goods from Brazil, both to start on August 1. He also announced higher tariffs for 21 other countries. "Trade-related developments are evolving and uncertainty remains high," an IMF spokesperson said in response to a query from Reuters. "Countries should continue to work constructively to facilitate a stable trade environment, and address shared challenges." Worries over future U.S. tariffs are clouding the outlook for factories across much of the United States, Asia and Europe, according to surveys released on Tuesday, although they showed some were able to shrug off the uncertainty and keep growing. Analysts said the underlying softness in surveys highlights the challenges facing businesses and policymakers as they try to navigate Trump’s moves to shake up the global trade order. Trump administration officials argue that tariffs imposed thus far have not fueled inflation, and say a tax-cut law approved last week will more than offset any temporary negative impact from the additional duties being imposed on trade. The IMF in April slashed its growth forecasts for the United States, China and most countries, citing the impact of U.S. tariffs now at 100-year highs and warning that rising trade tensions would further slow growth. Economic activity has increased since then amid stockpiling ahead of tariffs, and the U.S. and China have backed off steep reciprocal tariffs, which could point to a slight - if temporary - upward revision. Economists say uncertainty remains high and higher tariffs will bite harder in the second half of the year. With valuations skyrocketing in 2024, many investors are uneasy putting more money into stocks. Unsure where to invest next? Get access to our proven portfolios and discover high-potential opportunities. In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. That's an impressive track record. With portfolios tailored for Dow stocks, S&P stocks, Tech stocks, and Mid Cap stocks, you can explore various wealth-building strategies.

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Trump Delays Tariff Hikes To Aug 1 Amid UN Trade Warning Trump delays tariff hikes to August 1 as UN warns that prolonged uncertainty could harm global trade flows and investor confidence.

Trump delays tariff hikes until August 1 as UN warns extended uncertainty may hurt global trade and investment

#TariffDelay #TradeUncertainty #GlobalTrade #UNWarning #EconomicJitters #August1Deadline

www.gg2.net/trump-tariff...

Wall Street is getting more bullish on stocks as trade uncertainty lingers - Yahoo Finance Wall Street is getting more bullish on stocks as trade uncertainty lingers  Yahoo Finance

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S&P Report: The US Dollar Is Primed To Weaken Further Explore why the US dollar is primed to weaken after a significant decline, marking its worst performance in decades.

S&P Report: The US Dollar Is Primed To Weaken Further

#USD #DollarWeakness #EconomicReport #CurrencyMarket #FinancialAnalysis #TrumpPolicies #USDebt #FederalReserve #SafeHaven #GlobalEconomy #TradeUncertainty #S&P #MarketTrends #InvestmentStrategy #DeDollarization #InflationImpact #News #Markets

Bulls load up on Asian currencies as trade uncertainty knocks dollar: Reuters poll (Reuters) -Bullish bets firmed up on most Asian currencies as the lack of clarity on a U.S.-China trade agreement kept the dollar on the back foot, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday. Long positions in the Taiwan dollar touched their highest since December 2020, while bullish bets on the South Korean won were the strongest in nearly two-and-a-half years, according to the poll of 10 respondents. Bullish bets on the Chinese yuan too edged up and were at their highest since October. Markets were focused all week on trade negotiations between delegates from the U.S. and China, which culminated in a framework agreement that covered tariff rates, secured the removal of Chinese export restrictions on rare earth minerals, and allowed Chinese students to access U.S. universities. While the agreement restored a delicate truce between the sparring countries, it left markets yearning for details on how the deals would be implemented. The dollar index has weakened more than 9% this year and is expected to decline further in the coming months, benefiting Asian currencies. "In an environment where we are looking for the U.S. economy to slow, the Fed to cut and a Trump administration pursuing various protectionist measures, cyclical factors and structural factors are aligned to keep the USD on a downtrend," said Fiona Lim, senior FX strategist at Maybank. The South Korean won has risen more than 8%, rallying sharply after the election of liberal party candidate Lee Jae-myung as president earlier this month. Lee took office after riding a wave of anger over a brief martial law imposed by his predecessor and on promises of devising an emergency package to address stagnating economic growth and aid households. Long positions in the Taiwan dollar spiked, with much of the currency’s 10% surge this year coming in last month. The currency carried its positive momentum into June from May, when it had appreciated more than 6% on speculation that the island nation would allow appreciation of the currency to smooth trade relations with Washington - a notion that Taiwanese authorities had vigorously denied. On the other hand, poll participants were less upbeat about the Singapore dollar and the Philippine peso where long positions were trimmed slightly. The trend flipped only for the Indian rupee with bets turning marginally bearish for the first time in two months after the country’s central bank delivered a larger than expected 50-basis-point cut on Friday. The Asian currency positioning poll is focused on what analysts and fund managers believe are the current market positions in nine Asian emerging market currencies: the Chinese yuan, South Korean won, Singapore dollar, Indonesian rupiah, Taiwan dollar, Indian rupee, Philippine peso, Malaysian ringgit and the Thai baht. The poll uses estimates of net long or short positions on a scale of minus 3 to plus 3. A score of plus 3 indicates the market is significantly long U.S. dollars. The figures include positions held through non-deliverable forwards (NDFs). The survey findings are provided below (positions in U.S. dollar versus each currency): DATE USD/CNY USD/KRW USD/SGD USD/IDR USD/TWD USD/INR USD/MYR USD/PHP USD/THB 12-Jun-25 -0.78 -1.37 -1.24 -0.60 -1.58 0.03 -1.25 -0.93 -1.24 29-May-25 -0.67 -1.20 -1.34 -0.32 -1.50 -0.08 -1.04 -1.19 -1.14 15-May-25 0.00 -0.22 -0.54 0.70 -1.01 -0.19 -0.15 -0.68 -0.45 01-May-25 0.20 -0.06 -0.67 1.27 -0.53 -0.58 -0.40 -1.02 -0.61 17-Apr-25 0.57 0.19 -0.26 1.33 0.06 -0.20 0.04 -0.65 -0.30 03-Apr-25 0.47 1.13 0.54 1.20 1.14 0.01 0.33 -0.15 0.40 20-Mar-25 0.24 0.72 0.15 0.97 0.85 1.09 0.42 -0.13 0.08 06-Mar-25 0.77 1.00 0.34 1.36 0.71 1.47 0.45 0.20 0.48 20-Feb-25 0.88 0.83 0.31 1.06 0.59 1.22 0.37 0.31 0.02 06-Feb-25 1.15 1.01 0.86 1.25 1.14 1.98 0.62 0.93 0.23

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China’s exports likely slowed in May amid trade uncertainties: Reuters poll BEIJING (Reuters) - Growth in China’s exports likely slowed in May despite a lowering of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods, as the fallout from the still-unresolved trade war and uncertainties in Sino-U.S. ties weighed on shipments. Outbound shipments are projected to have risen 5.0% year-on-year in value terms last month, according to the median forecasts of 20 economists polled by Reuters. That compares with an 8.1% jump in April. Imports are forecast to drop 0.9% in May from the previous year in value terms, widening from a 0.2% dip in April. The global trade war and the swings in China-U.S. trade ties have in the past two months sent Chinese exporters, along with their business partners across the Pacific, on a roller coaster ride. An hour-and-a-half-long phone call between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping late Thursday kept the lid on tensions but left key trade issues such as Beijing’s control on rare earth exports and Washington’s curbs on chip-related exports to further talks. In mid-May, China and the United States struck a 90-day truce in their bruising tariff war and walked back most of the triple-digit levies they heaped on each other’s goods, which had taken effect in early April. Those tariffs, as well as uncertainties surrounding the global trade order after the Trump administration ordered a 90-day pause to its "reciprocal tariffs" on other trade partners, had accelerated China’s exports in March and April, as factories rushed out shipments to the U.S. and overseas manufacturers. The lowering of U.S. tariffs on China, however temporary, was welcome news to China’s policymakers as they seek to shore up an economy reliant on exports and beset by lacklustre domestic demand and sagging prices. Economists polled by Reuters appear divided on how the turnabout from the Geneva trade talks would impact China’s overall exports last month, with estimates ranging from a 9.3% growth to a 2.5% drop. The tariff truce might trigger a new round of frontloading and reduce the urgency for the Chinese government to "roll out a sizable stimulus package and start some necessary structural reforms", Nomura analysts wrote in a report on May 23. The Nomura analysts estimate that average U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports could remain "hefty at about 42%" even without further hikes, and expect China’s export growth to slow down sharply in the second half of the year. China’s first-quarter economic growth beat expectations, but any cheer was overridden by persistent strains in China-U.S. ties. Factory activity data for May shows Chinese manufacturers may have already felt the tariff pains. The official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) shrank for a second month in May, while the gauge in a private-sector survey shrank for the first time in eight months. The central bank last month cut benchmark lending rates to lessen the impact of the trade war on the economy, and lowered the ceiling for deposit rates to offset margin pressure on banks and prompt savers to spend or invest more. China’s May trade surplus is forecast at $101.3 billion, up from $96.18 billion in April.

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Mid-cap stocks offer 'a place to play' amid trade uncertainty - Yahoo Finance Mid-cap stocks offer 'a place to play' amid trade uncertainty  Yahoo Finance

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Dollar frail on weak economic data, trade uncertainty lingers SINGAPORE (Reuters) -The dollar softened on Thursday, stuck near six-week lows after weak U.S. economic data revived fears of slow growth and high inflation, while the euro was steady ahead of an expected interest rate cut from the European Central Bank. The soft data, which showed U.S. services sector contracted for the first time in nearly a year in May and an easing labour market, led to a rally in Treasuries, with the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note hovering at four-week lows. The dollar was a tad lower against the yen at 142.80, while the euro stood at $1.1424, not far from the six-week high it touched at the start of the week. Sterling last fetched $1.3557. Markets have been rattled since U.S. President Donald Trump announced a slate of tariffs on countries around the globe on April 2, only to pause some and declare new ones, leading investors to look for alternatives to U.S. assets. The dollar weakness has been the story of the year, with foreign exchange strategists surveyed by Reuters expecting further declines on mounting concerns about the U.S. federal deficit and debt. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six others, was at 98.749 and has dropped about 9% this year, poised for its weakest yearly performance since 2017. Investors are now awaiting Friday’s monthly payrolls figures to gauge the state of the labour market after payroll processing firm ADP reported that U.S. private payrolls increased far less than expected in May. The more comprehensive employment report on Friday is expected to show that non-farm payrolls increased by 130,000 jobs in May after advancing by 177,000 in April, according to a Reuters survey of economists. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady at 4.2%. "May’s payrolls data tomorrow will be important to see if investor concerns are valid or overdone. A soft labour market report is likely to result in outsize falls in the U.S. dollar," said Mansoor Mohi-uddin, chief economist at Bank of Singapore. Trump on Wednesday redoubled his calls for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates after the ADP data was released. Markets have priced in 56 basis points of rate cuts this year from the Fed, with traders pricing in a 95% chance for easing in September, LSEG data showed. In other currencies, the Australian dollar was 0.22% higher at $0.6507, while the New Zealand dollar rose 0.24% to $0.60425. TRADE DEALS Investors remain worried about U.S. trade negotiations and the lack of progress in hashing out deals ahead of the early July deadline. Trump called China’s Xi Jinping tough and "extremely hard to make a deal with" on Wednesday, exposing frictions after the White House raised expectations for a long-awaited phone call between the two leaders this week. Attention will also be on Europe, where the central bank is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points later on Thursday. Investors will look for clues for what comes after that even as the case grows for a pause in its year-long easing cycle. The ECB has cut rates seven times in 13 months as inflation eased from post-pandemic highs, seeking to prop up a euro zone economy that was struggling even before Trump’s erratic economic and trade policy dealt it yet another blow. "Lower energy prices, forthcoming fiscal stimulus, and reduced global recession risks warrant a wait-and-see approach to further policy moves," said Laura Cooper, head of macro credit and investment strategist at Nuveen. "While a potential insurance cut could come in September, it will be contingent on incoming data – yet risks appear skewed to the upside amid depressed trade-led expectations."

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Asian stocks up, dollar soft as trade uncertainty mounts - WKZO Asian stocks up, dollar soft as trade uncertainty mounts  WKZO

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Asian stocks up, dollar soft as trade uncertainty mounts - The Mighty 790 KFGO Asian stocks up, dollar soft as trade uncertainty mounts  The Mighty 790 KFGO

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Asian stocks up, dollar soft as trade uncertainty mounts - Reuters Asian stocks up, dollar soft as trade uncertainty mounts  Reuters

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Asian stocks up, dollar soft as trade uncertainty mounts - Yahoo Asian stocks up, dollar soft as trade uncertainty mounts  Yahoo

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