Reminder: if some calamity should befall the SNP before 7th May & their vote drops, we could lose the pro-indy majority.
However, as we get more pro-indy MSPs with the #TwoPartyStrategy of #SNP1SGP2 or #SNP1Greens2 NOT #BothVotesSNP, we can avoid that scenario quite comfortably.
This is why we advocate a #TwoPartyStrategy. The SNP will be handicapped the most in all regions, so we need a different list party to vote for to maximise the vote.
The Scot Greens are ideal for that, as standing in all region.
bsky.app/profile/radi...
There are no areas where the unionists will win most of the constituencies.
The SNP are the largest party everywhere and have been polling that way for more than a year. So that advice is nonsense.
It's not about the unionist vote, it's about the pro-indy vote & a #TwoPartyStrategy.
The truth is, mathematically, a #TwoPartyStrategy has always been the way to maximise the pro-indy vote at Holyrood. But no one could agree the split or where to vote for it, by region.
Polling has made it a stark choice for us. The SNP are polling for ZERO list seats, so SNP2 is wasted EVERYWHERE.
bsky.app/profile/radi...
It is a simple & straightforward mathematical calculation that tells you a #TwoPartyStrategy is ideal to maximise the pro-indy vote.
The constituency party will be handicapped more on the list vote than the list party, because of FPTP wins. Their vote gets divided more.
You get more pro-indy MSPs by using a #TwoPartyStrategy, one in constituencies, one on the list.
The constituency party will be handicapped more on the list vote because of FPTP constituency wins.
Therefore, the second party can win more list seats. Their vote is divided less so it takes less votes.
We don't expect to change the minds of stubborn #SNP1&2 voters, but we can try & get as many people as we can to realise the waste of an SNP2 vote, the benefit of more pro-indy MSPs with a #TwoPartyStrategy, which in turn means fewer unionist MSPs.
#SNP1SGP2 or #SNP1Greens2
NOT #BothVotesSNP
Below is the short version of the #TwoPartyStrategy from
@indyposterboy.scot.
If you want the detail behind this, click the link.
(pdf download also available)
radiojammor.wordpress.com/2026/02/17/t...
#SNP1SGP2 or #SNP1Greens2
NOT #BothVotesSNP
#SNP26 #SP26 #SP2026
#Holyrood2026 #Holyrood26
Harking back to results 5, 10 or 15 years ago, is to wilfully ignore the present & rely on people not understanding the voting system.
The SNP's FPTP wins will handicap them on the list. A #TwoPartyStrategy is called for.
Reject the SNP's #BothVotesSNP stance.
bsky.app/profile/radi...
How about the mathematics behind a #TwoPartyStrategy?
#SNP1SGP2 or #SNP1Greens2
NOT #BothVotesSNP
radiojammor.wordpress.com/2026/02/17/t...
In short, your concerns are all factored in to polling (Liberate Scotland is a loose group, barely standing anywhere & barely register) & you only need to have broad strokes polling to apply the same strategy, because the system actually screams for a #TwoPartyStrategy with how it works & polling.
Occasional reminder: You get more pro-indy MSPs by applying a #TwoPartyStrategy for #Holyrood26 & voting as follows:
#SNP1SGP2 or #SNP1Greens2
NOT #BothVotesSNP
All regions.
FPTP Proviso: If the Scot Greens are polling to win a constituency, vote SGP1.
Currently applies to Edinburgh Central only.
Below is the short version of the #TwoPartyStrategy from @indyposterboy.scot.
If you want the detail behind this, click the link.
(pdf download also available)
radiojammor.wordpress.com/2026/02/17/t...
#SNP1SGP2 or #SNP1Greens2
NOT #BothVotesSNP
Dream scenario. You can only get this with a #TwoPartyStrategy 👇
bsky.app/profile/radi...
Yes, necessarily.
The SNP are polling for zero list seats. How will you stop unionists on the list vote with nothing?
#TwoPartyStrategy
#SNP1SGP2 or #SNP1Greens2
NOT #BothVotesSNP
bsky.app/profile/radi...
An SNP list vote will be wasted.
#BothVotesSNP gives us RefUK as the opposition party.
But we have the numbers to change that.
We can put the Scot Greens in as the opposition & keep more unionists out with a #TwoPartyStrategy.
#SNP1SGP2 or #SNP1Greens2
NOT #BothVotesSNP
bsky.app/profile/radi...
#BothVotesSNP gives us RefUK as the opposition party.
But we have the numbers to change that.
We can put the Scot Greens in as the opposition & keep more unionists out with a #TwoPartyStrategy.
#SNP1SGP2 or #SNP1Greens2
NOT #BothVotesSNP
bsky.app/profile/radi...
We can expect tactical voting from unionists, which could succeed where they might be able to gang-up in FPTP seats - but the unionists are far more split & are not likely to achieve much success.
The pro-indy movement however can counter with a #TwoPartyStrategy.
#SNP1SGP2 NOT #BothVotesSNP
James Heale @jaheale.bsky.social Follow New Times/Stonehaven MRP poll out puts SNP on course for a majority in the 129-strong Scottish parliament: SNP – 67 MSPs (+3) Reform – 25 MSPs (+25) Labour – 15 MSPs (-7) Lib Dems – 8 MSPs (+4) Tory - 7 MSPs (-24) Green – 7 MSPs (-1) Changes compared to 2021 22:49 · 24 Feb 2026 Everybody can reply
Colour coded constituency map for Times/Stonehaven MRP polling 24/2/2026 Shows only six constituency seats NOT going SNP (5 Lib Dem, 1 Labour)
Colour coded regional list graphs breaking down party seat allocations by region.
Wrong poll.
This latest one is near a best case FPTP scenario for the SNP but zero list seats shows fault with their strategy, putting RefUK in as opposition.
We need a #TwoPartyStrategy to keep RefUK & the rest out on the list.
#SNP1SGP2 NOT #BothVotesSNP
You want to keep unionists out of Holyrood?
#BothVotesSNP does NOT do it.
We need a #TwoPartyStrategy.
To get fewer unionists, #SNP1SGP2, which gets us more pro-Indy MSPs.
Everywhere. All regions.
#SP26 #SP2026
#Holyrood2026 #Holyrood26
#ScottishIndependence
#ScottishIndependenceASAP
#IndyClan
With the #SNP polling to win zero/not many list MSPs, RefUK will be a major list vote beneficiary if we do not adopt a pro-indy #TwoPartyStrategy.
You keep more of #Reform out with #SNP1SGP2 NOT #BothVotesSNP because you can get more SGP list MSPs.
This applies in ALL regions.
bsky.app/profile/radi...
With the SNP polling to get ZERO, or at most very few list MSPs, it's past time #ScottishIndependence voters applied a #TwoPartyStrategy.
With #SNP1SGP2 NOT #BothVotesSNP you get more pro-indy MSPs.
EVERYWHERE.
Check our feed: QED.
Spreadsheet projection for Highlands & Islands list seats "The red boxed numbers indicate the highest quotient in each round and therefore indicates the party that gets the seat allocation in that round. The first list seat is then allocated to that party (Reform), their divisor is increased by 1, then the calculation is repeated, thereby taking into account list seat allocations as it goes, until the seven available list seats are allocated. We are therefore showing the workings of how the list seats are allocated, based on the projected polling and turnout. Allocations: Reform UK 3, Tories 2, Labour 1, Scottish Greens 1. As per above, this outcome matched Ballot Box Scotland’s projection (below) Screenshot of colour coded image showing Highlands & Islands list seat projection; Cons 2, Lab 1, SGP 1, RefUK 3.
"We then redid this projection but with a ‘what if’ scenario; where half the SNP list vote voted SGP instead." Spreadsheet based on previous spreadsheet, revised as indicated "The SGP would claim three list seats, instead of one, keeping out two more unionists, one Reform and one Tory. Put another way, 58,108 SGP list votes would get three list MSPs, when 66,898 SNP list votes would get (bold text) nothing."
If you're thinking, “The SNP might get a list seat here, so I should vote SNP on the list“... STOP!
You should be thinking, “How many would the SGP get instead?“ #TwoPartyStrategy
You get more pro-indy MSPs EVERYWHERE voting #SNP1SGP2 NOT #BothVotesSNP.
Whether polling drops or rises.
QED👇
"Surely this will depend on the region?"
NO!
The principle applies EVERYWHERE. The SNP will win the most FPTP seats EVERYWHERE & will be handicapped the most on the list EVERYWHERE.
It applies as long as they are the largest pro-indy FPTP winner.
#SNP1SGP2 NOT #BothVotesSNP
#TwoPartyStrategy QED
Nope. The principle applies everywhere. The SNP will win the most FPTP seats everywhere, therefore they will be handicapped the most on the list, everywhere.
#TwoPartyStrategy
Whether the #SNP vote drops or rises between now & 7 May, you will STILL get more pro-indy MSPs by voting #SNP1SGP2 NOT #BothVotesSNP
If the SNP vote drops 5% the ONLY WAY to keep the pro-indy majority is
#SNP1SGP2 NOT #SNP1&2
#TwoPartyStrategy QED👇
radiojammor.wordpres...
(pdf on website)
If you're thinking, “The SNP might get a list seat here, so I should vote SNP on the list“.
STOP!
You should be thinking, “How many would the SGP get instead?“ #TwoPartyStrategy
You get more pro-indy MSPs EVERYWHERE voting #SNP1SGP2 NOT #BothVotesSNP.
Whether polling drops or rises.
QED👇
A party winning many FPTP seats at Scottish Parliamentary elections simply CANNOT do well on the list vote.
Their list vote is handicapped too much by those wins.
#TwoPartyStrategy
#SNP1SGP2 NOT #BothVotesSNP QED
#SP26 #SP2026
#Holyrood2026 #Holyrood26
#ScottishIndependence
#IndyClan
