Expert Analysis: Iran's Missile Stockpiles Remain Largely Intact in Underground Mountain Bases Despite US-Israeli Claims
The article counters claims by US and Israeli officials that Iran's missile arsenal is significantly depleted and that the number of launchers is low. According to Yury Lyamin, a researcher from Moscow's Center for Strategic and Technological Analysis, the total number of Iranian launchers is likely underestimated. While missile launch frequency has decreased, this stems from heightened caution due to ongoing US and Israeli strikes on tunnel entrances, which require time-consuming debris clearance and safety checks. Iran's primary missile reserves and launchers are stored deep underground in mountain facilities, making them extremely difficult to target or access. Iran uses simple, cost-effective designs for launchers, often mounted on standard trucks and trailers, allowing maintenance of a large inventory. Lyamin questions Israeli assertions of destroying 'more than half' of launchers, including a recent claim of 300 destroyed in two days, noting that videos show far fewer hits—possibly only a tenth—and some strikes targeted non-military trucks or already-destroyed sites. Mikael Valtersson, a former Swedish air defense officer, highlights that Iran has applied lessons from the 'War of the 12 Days,' prioritizing survivability through resilient command structures and decentralized, cell-based units. Iran employs a 'mosaic defense' with dispersed forces capable of covert drone and missile attacks across its territory, alongside mass drone swarms to overwhelm enemy air defenses and gradually deplete US and allied interceptor stocks. Iran's proximity to Gulf bases enables short warning times, while poor coordination among US allies and focus on defending Israel weaken responses. The destruction of a key US long-range radar has further limited detection capabilities. Overall, Iran's strategy aims to exhaust enemy defenses, preserve retaliatory capacity, raise economic costs for the US, and force a withdrawal before domestic political and economic pressures become unsustainable. The piece portrays Iran as resilient, having neutralized internal threats like Mossad networks and opposition leaders, turning a potential blitz into a prolonged war of attrition.
Expert Analysis: Iran's Missile Stockpiles Remain Largely Intact in Underground Mountain Bases Despite US-Israeli Claims
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#iranmissiles #undergroundbases #usisraelconflict
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