Yesterday, the #Fed cut rates and launched a $40 billion #bond #buying scheme to ease liquidity strains. The overall statement was the most #dovish since 2021.

"El mercado espera que una Fed liderada por Hassett se incline hacia un tono más dovish". Wewel

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#mercado #fed #hassett #dovish #economia #powell #mercados #bolsadevalores #euro #dolar #entrevista #negociostv

Dollar struggles to recover from dovish Powell gut punch (Corrects day of release of U.S. PCE deflator in paragraph 11) By Kevin Buckland TOKYO (Reuters) -The U.S. dollar attempted on Monday to pull itself up from a four-week low on the euro after a dovish pivot from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sent it tumbling more than 1%. The greenback added 0.2% to $1.1699 per euro early in the Asian day, but remained not far from Friday’s low of $1.174225, a level not seen since July 28. It rose 0.1% to $1.3502 versus sterling following a 0.8% slide in the prior session. It added 0.4% to 147.46 yen, clawing back part of Friday’s 1% tumble. The risk-sensitive Australian dollar briefly leapt to a one-week high of $0.6523 on Monday before pulling back to trade slightly down at $0.6484. In the previous session, it surged 1.1%. Powell in a closely watched speech at the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole symposium on Friday opened the door to an interest rate cut at the central bank’s September meeting. "Downside risks to employment are rising," he told an audience of international economists and policymakers. "And if those risks materialize, they can do so quickly." Traders are now pricing in 80% odds of a quarter-point rate cut at the September 17 policy meeting, and a cumulative 48 basis points of reductions by year-end, according to LSEG data. Traders had ramped up bets on a September cut early this month after an unexpectedly weak monthly payrolls report, but hotter-than-expected producer price inflation and strong business activity surveys forced a paring back in the run-up to Jackson Hole. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. "Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole message cleared the market’s low bar for dovishness following a steady erosion in Fed cut pricing," Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in a client note. "It will be up to the data to determine the pace and depth of cuts." Key upcoming data points include the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE deflator, on Friday, and monthly payrolls figures for August, due on Friday of next week. The dollar has been under additional pressure in recent weeks as U.S. President Donald Trump’s attacks on Powell and other Fed policymakers raised concerns about central bank independence. Trump has repeatedly criticized Powell, first because he has not cut rates this year, and more recently over cost overruns on a renovation of the Federal Reserve building. Successful investors know to check multiple angles before making their move. InvestingPro's three powerful features work together to give you that edge: ProPicks AI runs 80+ stock-picking strategies, including Tech Titans, which doubled the S&P 500's performance in just 18 months! Fair Value combines 17 proven valuation models to help you spot overpriced stocks and undervalued gems. And WarrenAI delivers instant insights on any stock. Ask questions, get vetted answers backed by real-time data (unlike ChatGPT). Our subscribers use all three to identify stocks before double-digit gains and avoid costly mistakes. But with 50% during our Summer Sale, even if you only use one of these features the value pays for itself. Sale ends soon—don't wait until prices go back up.

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Jerome Powell Blinks at Jackson Hole: Bitcoin Price Rips Higher as Fed Signals Dovish Shift After Jerome Powell signaled a dovish policy tilt at Jackson Hole, Bitcoin surged. This detailed post explains why Powell’s speech changed market sentiment and what it means for crypto.

Jerome Powell Blinks at Jackson Hole: Bitcoin Price Rips Higher as Fed Signals Dovish Shift The Fed’s Surprise Pivot Sets the Crypto Market Ablaze At the 2025 Jackson Hole Economic.... @cosmicmeta.ai #Dovish

https://u2m.io/1WiwgQUp

Stocks Rally Sharply on Dovish Fed Chair Powell - Nasdaq Stocks Rally Sharply on Dovish Fed Chair Powell  Nasdaq

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ETH Surges on Powell’s Dovish Fed Signals ETH jumps to $4,651 after Powell’s dovish speech, with $10.83B ETF inflows and 5% supply control signaling institutional…

🚨LATEST: ETH jumps to $4,651 after Powell’s dovish speech, with $10.83B ETF inflows and 5% supply control signaling institutional… #Crypto #Dovish #Ethereum

Powell’s Jackson Hole address fires up markets with dovish tilt By Lewis Krauskopf, Laura Matthews and Davide Barbuscia NEW YORK (Reuters) -Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s closely watched Jackson Hole speech on Friday boosted optimism in markets that the U.S. central bank is poised to ease rates, sending investors to pile into riskier assets and interest-rate-sensitive sectors. In his final address as Fed chair at the Jackson Hole, Wyoming, economic symposium, Powell hinted at a September interest rate cut but stopped short of committing, striking a careful balance between mounting job-market risks and lingering inflation pressures. "Powell was more dovish than the market expected, but he is responding to the weakening of the labor market, recognizing the risks there. So it sets us up for a September cut. That’s a positive," said Jay Hatfield, chief executive officer at Infrastructure Capital Management. The Jackson Hole address followed a weak July jobs report and significant downward revisions to earlier job figures that fueled bets the U.S. central bank will cut interest rates later this year from the current 4.25%-4.5% range. Those expectations lost steam in recent weeks as a surge in wholesale prices in July squashed hopes for a half-point move at the Fed’s next rate-setting meeting in September, leaving markets braced for about two 25-basis-point cuts for the rest of the year. Rates futures traders assigned a 70% probability to a quarter-point interest rate cut in September ahead of Powell’s speech. That changed to 89% in mid-morning trade on Friday, according to LSEG data. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. The address sent the dollar lower. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, was last down 0.8%. Meanwhile, rate-sensitive two-year U.S. Treasury yields dropped by about eight basis points after the speech to 3.692%. Benchmark 10-year yields were down about five basis points to 4.255%. Yields move inversely to prices. U.S. stocks have tended to fare well around previous Jackson Hole conferences in August, but the market has seen sizable moves in both directions in recent years. Stocks extended gains after Powell’s address, with the S&P 500 last up 1.6% on the day. Rate sensitive stocks gained. Small caps, which typically rely on borrowing to fund their growth, were surging, with the small-cap Russell 2000 up 3.6%. Homebuilding shares also jumped, with the PHLX housing index up 4.5%. The rebound in stocks followed declines in the heavyweight U.S. technology sector that dragged down stock indexes earlier in the week, underscoring concerns over potentially overheated AI-driven gains and steep valuations for the group. Powell’s comments are "music to the market’s ears," said Angelo Kourkafas, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones in St. Louis. "The fact that we are still looking for easing ahead provides some comfort that at least the elevated (equity) valuations and expectations are supported by the fact that we’re looking at looser policy," he said. The speech, Powell’s final one as chair with his term ending in May, comes after relentless pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump on Powell to cut interest rates. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. Those pressures ratcheted up earlier this week after Trump urged Fed Governor Lisa Cook to resign over mortgage allegations raised by one of his political allies, a move seen as potentially leading Trump to appoint more dovish members to the Fed’s rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee. On Friday, Trump said he would fire Cook if she doesn’t resign. “Trump’s words on Cook... are once again raising concerns over the Fed’s independence," said Helen Given, director of trading, Monex USA, Washington, who said that going short the dollar was "back in a big way" following Powell’s speech and Trump’s remarks about Cook. Which stocks should you consider in your very next trade? Successful investors know to check multiple angles before making their move. InvestingPro's three powerful features work together to give you that edge: ProPicks AI runs 80+ stock-picking strategies, including Tech Titans, which doubled the S&P 500's performance in just 18 months! Fair Value combines 17 proven valuation models to help you spot overpriced stocks and undervalued gems. And WarrenAI delivers instant insights on any stock. Ask questions, get vetted answers backed by real-time data (unlike ChatGPT). Our subscribers use all three to identify stocks before double-digit gains and avoid costly mistakes. But with 50% during our Summer Sale, even if you only use one of these features the value pays for itself. Sale ends soon—don't wait until prices go back up.

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Fed officials tilt dovish as US job market softens By Ann Saphir (Reuters) -Since the Federal Reserve’s decision last month to hold interest rates steady, a shift appears underway at the U.S. central bank, with several Fed officials sounding increasingly uneasy about the labor market and signaling their openness to, if not impatience for, a rate cut as soon as September. Their evolving stance may please President Donald Trump, who has pushed aggressively for lower interest rates all year. The reasons for it, including new data indicating a weakening labor market that Trump has claimed is "rigged," may not. Labor market worries were at the heart of arguments put forward by Fed Governor Christopher Waller and Vice Chair Michelle Bowman when they dissented from the Fed’s July 30 decision to leave short-term borrowing costs in the 4.25%-4.50% range, where they have been since December. The 9-2 majority signed off on a statement that characterized labor market conditions as solid. Days later, they looked far less so. "Concerning" was how Fed Governor Lisa Cook earlier this week described revisions to the government estimates that slashed job gains in May and June to what economists see as recession levels. The same report also showed employers added far fewer jobs than expected in July, and a tick up in the unemployment rate to 4.2%. "The employment number did say that the risk on the employment side is much higher than it had been...I will definitely be looking carefully," said Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic. Bostic said he continues to believe just one rate cut will be appropriate for 2025, and at least one other hawkish Fed policymaker felt the new data did not change the overall picture much. But even as central bankers appear short of consensus for the need to ease policy, subtle shifts suggest policymakers are tilting more dovish than before. "There are risks on both sides of our mandate, and when that happens, when you have risks on both sides, you have to take a balanced approach," St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said Friday. That’s a shift from his earlier expressions of deeper concern about not meeting the Fed’s inflation mandate than on missing its full employment goal. "I’m comfortable with the decision we made in July, but I am increasingly less comfortable with making that decision again and again," San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said earlier this week. There’s still plenty of data to digest before the Fed’s next policy-setting meeting September 16-17, including a read on consumer prices next week that will help shape policymakers’ assessments of whether the Trump administration’s new higher tariffs will mean persistently higher inflation, as hawks fear, or just a temporary bump, as doves have argued. Financial markets reflect heavy bets that the policy rate will be at least half of a percentage point lower by year-end.

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Want proof that the Fed doesn’t control interest rates? tinyurl.com/y8pc83h9

History shows that the T-bill market moves first – and the Fed follows.

#InterestRates #FederalReserve #FedMeeting #RateCut #Dovish #Hawkish #economy #Inflation

🛢️ #WTI falls to $66.30 as #Israel-#Iran ceasefire eases supply fears. #Dovish #Fed tone may support demand.

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Citi lists 3 reasons for Fed’s Powell to skew dovish at today’s press conference. Investing.com -- Citi economists led by Andrew Hollenhorst anticipate Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will adopt a dovish stance at today’s press conference, with the research firm expecting the Fed’s median projection to maintain two 25-basis-point rate cuts for this year. The bank cites three key factors supporting a dovish outlook from Powell. First, core PCE inflation is projected to register just 1.6% annualized over March, April, and May, following stronger January and February readings that were influenced by residual seasonality. The ongoing slowdown in shelter inflation appears likely to continue given weak housing activity. "Powell and the committee should be increasingly confident that aside from potential temporary tariff effects in goods prices, core inflation is returning to target," Hollenhorst wrote in today’s note. Rising continuing jobless claims represent the second factor, with the four-week average now at its highest level since 2021 at 1,956,000. While initial claims remain low, Citi notes the data suggests that although layoffs haven’t increased, weak hiring makes it difficult for unemployed individuals to find new positions. While Powell is widely expected to say the labor market is resilient, the economist adds that "the recently softer labor market data will at least add a touch of caution to Powell’s comments about keeping rates on hold." Housing market weakness provides the third reason for a potential dovish tone. Single-family home prices, permits, and starts are all declining, with the NAHB index falling to 32 in June data, its lowest level since 2022. Conditions in the South are particularly weak, with that region’s NAHB at 30, its lowest since 2012. "In our base case median “dots” will continue to signal two 25bp rate cuts this year. But even in the event the median for this year moves to just one rate cut, we expect Chair Powell to focus on the desire to cut rates later this year (informed by the three considerations above), delivering a dovish message at the press conference," Hollenhorst concluded.

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Citi lists 3 reasons for Fed’s Powell to skew dovish at today’s press conference. Investing.com -- Citi economists led by Andrew Hollenhorst anticipate Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will adopt a dovish stance at today’s press conference, with the research firm expecting the Fed’s median projection to maintain two 25-basis-point rate cuts for this year. The bank cites three key factors supporting a dovish outlook from Powell. First, core PCE inflation is projected to register just 1.6% annualized over March, April, and May, following stronger January and February readings that were influenced by residual seasonality. The ongoing slowdown in shelter inflation appears likely to continue given weak housing activity. "Powell and the committee should be increasingly confident that aside from potential temporary tariff effects in goods prices, core inflation is returning to target," Hollenhorst wrote in today’s note. Rising continuing jobless claims represent the second factor, with the four-week average now at its highest level since 2021 at 1,956,000. While initial claims remain low, Citi notes the data suggests that although layoffs haven’t increased, weak hiring makes it difficult for unemployed individuals to find new positions. While Powell is widely expected to say the labor market is resilient, the economist adds that "the recently softer labor market data will at least add a touch of caution to Powell’s comments about keeping rates on hold." Housing market weakness provides the third reason for a potential dovish tone. Single-family home prices, permits, and starts are all declining, with the NAHB index falling to 32 in June data, its lowest level since 2022. Conditions in the South are particularly weak, with that region’s NAHB at 30, its lowest since 2012. "In our base case median “dots” will continue to signal two 25bp rate cuts this year. But even in the event the median for this year moves to just one rate cut, we expect Chair Powell to focus on the desire to cut rates later this year (informed by the three considerations above), delivering a dovish message at the press conference," Hollenhorst concluded.

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BofA: Bank of Canada in no rush to ease despite dovish hints BAC hereremove ads USD/CADCAD Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed. Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website. Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

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That likely means #Fed included some strong or impactful #hawkish statements that outweighed the dovish parts in terms of market interpretation - quality over quantity of language. Or put simply: There’s more #dovish content overall, but what markets care about leaned hawkish.

Even though the #dovish score (-12.42) is larger in absolute terms than the #hawkish one (10.78), the net #sentiment score is positive (1.63), chart @bloomberg.com TV live

#JPY drops 0.9% after #dovish #BoJ. #USDJPY rebounds off 140, eyes 145–150 resistance.

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#BOJ #dovish, #Yen weak. #Nikkei +1.2%. #US tech lifts futures. #Gold falls. #Asia mostly shut for May Day.

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#ZEW dips, #Sweden muted, #UK jobs eyed. #China exports jump, #Waller #dovish, markets up on #tariff hopes.

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3rd dovish inflation number in the last 24 hours

@cnbc.com #dovish

Chairman #Powell ’s comments during the press conference appear to be viewed as slightly #dovish given market reaction. #equities rallied and yields fell following the Chair’s comments, chart @JPMorganAM