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ELO ratings in my model for men's hockey at Paris 2024. Gains and losses are indicated, from before the tournament to afterwards. NED and GER lead with around 8.5 points. GER, IND, and RSA all gained around one ELO point (on a scale to 10 points).

ELO ratings in my model for men's hockey at Paris 2024. Gains and losses are indicated, from before the tournament to afterwards. NED and GER lead with around 8.5 points. GER, IND, and RSA all gained around one ELO point (on a scale to 10 points).

The model sees both teams as essentially tied, and a class above the next teams. The picture shows changes from the pre-tournament input ratings. ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ‘
S-tier: NED, GER. โœจ
A-tier: GBR, IND, BEL.
B-tier: ARG, AUS, ESP.
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #Olympics #Paris2024 #FieldHockey

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#FieldHockey: NED wins men's hockey competition a #Paris2024! โœจ
Silver goes to GER, Bronze to IND.
The final match was as close as can get, with NED winning in the penalty shoot-out, after a 1-1 draw during normal time.
#Olympics #molyhock

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Probabilities of outcomes after normal time for men's hockey gold match at Paris 2024. NED wins: 35%. Draw: 30%. GER wins: 35%.

Probabilities of outcomes after normal time for men's hockey gold match at Paris 2024. NED wins: 35%. Draw: 30%. GER wins: 35%.

#Fieldhockey update: men's match for gold at #Paris2024 starts in 15 minutes! ๐Ÿ‘
The model expects a close game, with a 30% chance of a penalty shoot-out. Keep tuned! ๐Ÿ“บ
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #Olympics

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#Fieldhockey update for men's semi-finals at #Paris2024! ๐Ÿ‘
GER and NED will play Thursday's match for gold. This looks to be a very even game. During the group stage, GER won 1-0 against NED.
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #Olympics #DataAnalysis

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Probabilities ("Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins") for the semi-finals of men's hockey at Paris 2024, as calculated by my model. 
ESP-NED: 25-30-45. IND-GER: 23-27-50.

Probabilities ("Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins") for the semi-finals of men's hockey at Paris 2024, as calculated by my model. ESP-NED: 25-30-45. IND-GER: 23-27-50.

#FieldHockey update for men's competition at #Paris2024! ๐Ÿ‘
Tuesday's semi-finals will be ESP-NED and IND-GER. Three of those four teams will get medals at the end of this competition! ๐Ÿ… Matches could be similarly narrow as today's. ๐Ÿ“Š
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #DataAnalysis

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The rankings have GER to ESP within a 2-point range, out of 10. This is a close competition! ๐Ÿ‘
After the quarter finals and backpropagation of the model, all teams will have *felt* each other team, leading to a more equilibrated ranking. Keep tuned for Sunday's update!
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock

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Updated ELO-style rankings after round 4. BEL is now in the lead with 8.0 points. NED lost points due to their defeat against GER.

Updated ELO-style rankings after round 4. BEL is now in the lead with 8.0 points. NED lost points due to their defeat against GER.

Probabilities ("Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins") for round 5. NED-ESP: 50-30-20. FRA-RSA: 45-30-25. GBR-GER: 30-30-40. AUS-IND: 45-30-25. NZL-IRL: 30-30-40. BEL-ARG: 55-30-15.

Probabilities ("Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins") for round 5. NED-ESP: 50-30-20. FRA-RSA: 45-30-25. GBR-GER: 30-30-40. AUS-IND: 45-30-25. NZL-IRL: 30-30-40. BEL-ARG: 55-30-15.

#FieldHockey update, men's competition at #Paris2024! ๐Ÿ‘
All eight spots in the quarter finals are taken, tomorrow's round 5 will decide who will play against whom.
GBR-GER is the match to watch! ๐Ÿ“บ
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #Olympics #DataAnalysis

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Updated ELO rankings after the review of the model, with round 3 having been played. BEL advanced to just below NED's ranking.

Updated ELO rankings after the review of the model, with round 3 having been played. BEL advanced to just below NED's ranking.

#FieldHockey update: men's competition at #Paris2024! ๐Ÿ‘
Today, all twelve teams have played their third matches, which is a good occasion to review the model and the tournament.
Current S-tier: NED, BEL.
A-tier: GBR, GER.
B-tier: AUS, IND, ARG, ESP.
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #DataAnalysis

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Updated ELO rankings after round 2 of matches in the men's hockey competition of Paris2024, with gains and losses indicated with respected to after round 1. NED leads with 8.1 points. GER lost much in this round, losing to ESP and, due to backpropagation, by having FRA's ranking lowered by their loss against NED.

Updated ELO rankings after round 2 of matches in the men's hockey competition of Paris2024, with gains and losses indicated with respected to after round 1. NED leads with 8.1 points. GER lost much in this round, losing to ESP and, due to backpropagation, by having FRA's ranking lowered by their loss against NED.

Probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for round 3 in men's hockey of Paris 2024, as calculated by my ELO-based model. ESP-FRA: 65-15-20. RSA-GER: 20-15-65. GBR-NED: 30-20-50. IRL-IND: 25-20-55. ARG-NZL: 55-20-25. AUS-BEL: 45-20-35.

Probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for round 3 in men's hockey of Paris 2024, as calculated by my ELO-based model. ESP-FRA: 65-15-20. RSA-GER: 20-15-65. GBR-NED: 30-20-50. IRL-IND: 25-20-55. ARG-NZL: 55-20-25. AUS-BEL: 45-20-35.

#Paris2024 update for the men's #FieldHockey competition!
Only NED has had a consistent good run in group A. Tier list and parameter evaluation will be done after tomorrow's round 3. Highlight games there: GBR-NED in group A, and AUS-BEL in group B.
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #Olympics

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Updated ELO ratings for men's hockey competition at Paris 2024, as estimated in my model. NED still leads, but dropped to 8.9 due to underperforming expectations with a narrow 5-3 win against RSA.

Updated ELO ratings for men's hockey competition at Paris 2024, as estimated in my model. NED still leads, but dropped to 8.9 due to underperforming expectations with a narrow 5-3 win against RSA.

Probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for round 2 of the same competition, calculated by my model. GER-ESP: 60-15-25. NED-FRA: 80-10-10. RSA-GBR: 10-10-80. BEL-NZL: 65-15-20. IRL-AUS: 20-15-65. IND-ARG: 45-20-35.

Probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for round 2 of the same competition, calculated by my model. GER-ESP: 60-15-25. NED-FRA: 80-10-10. RSA-GBR: 10-10-80. BEL-NZL: 65-15-20. IRL-AUS: 20-15-65. IND-ARG: 45-20-35.

Hockey update for the #Olympics #Paris2024! ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿšจ
In round 1 of men's hockey, all favorites won, vindicating the initial ELO numbers. NED's 5-3 win against RSA was closer than expected, slightly dropping NED's rating. ๐Ÿ“‰
Next games are already played tomorrow! โœจ
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #FieldHockey

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Rough probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for the first round of women's field hockey competition at Paris2024 olympics, as calculated by my ELO-based model. ARG-USA: 70-20-10. NED-FRA: 90-7-3. BEL-CHN: 50-25-25. AUS-RSA: 70-20-10. GER-JAP: 70-20-10. GBR-ESP: 45-30-25.

Rough probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for the first round of women's field hockey competition at Paris2024 olympics, as calculated by my ELO-based model. ARG-USA: 70-20-10. NED-FRA: 90-7-3. BEL-CHN: 50-25-25. AUS-RSA: 70-20-10. GER-JAP: 70-20-10. GBR-ESP: 45-30-25.

Rough probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for the first round of men's field hockey competition at Paris2024 olympics, as calculated by my ELO-based model. GBR-ESP: 55-15-30. BEL-IRL: 65-15-20. NED-RSA: 80-10-10. AUS-ARG: 55-15-30. GER-FRA: 65-15-20. IND-NZL: 55-15-30.

Rough probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for the first round of men's field hockey competition at Paris2024 olympics, as calculated by my ELO-based model. GBR-ESP: 55-15-30. BEL-IRL: 65-15-20. NED-RSA: 80-10-10. AUS-ARG: 55-15-30. GER-FRA: 65-15-20. IND-NZL: 55-15-30.

The olympic spirit of #Paris2024 made me calculate probabilities for the #FieldHockey competitions. ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“Š
Matches take place each day, starting on Saturday, at stade olympique Yves-du-Manoir.
#HockeyPredictor #DataAnalysis #wolyhock #molyhock

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