Both finals are Netherlands vs Germany, with the Dutch as favorites each time. The women's competition (base odds 6.5 to 3, more than 2 to 1) is even more one-sided than the men's (base odds 8 to 5.5, around 3 to 2). #HockeyPredictor #eurohockey

Strengths in the Women's European field-hockey championships. NED: 6.6, BEL: 3.2, GER: 3.0, ENG: 2.2, ESP: 2.0, FRA: 1.0, SCO: 1.0, IRL: 1.0.

Strengths in the Women's European field-hockey championships. NED: 7.4, ENG: 4.7, GER: 4.6, BEL: 3.5, ESP: 3.3, FRA: 2.2, POL: 1.1, AUT: 1.0.

#HockeyPredictor: The Euros (both w and m) are taking place in Moenchengladbach! After two matchdays (and four days in total), both competitions can be modeled via base odds.
While the Dutch women are crushing even their competition, the Dutch men have multiple rivals to worry about.
#FieldHockey

ELO ranking after the women's hockey competition at Paris 2024, as calculated by my model. Gains and losses are here measured with regards to the input date from before the competition. CHN made a big jump from 5 to 7.9 points.

The updated Tier list reads:
S-tier: NED ✨.
A-tier: BEL, CHN, ARG, GER, AUS.
B-tier: GBR, ESP.
The second shooting star is CHN, which also saw progress from game to game. 🎇
#HockeyPredictor #wolyhock #FieldHockey #DataAnalysis #Olympics

Updated ELO rankings after women's final matches. Gold winner NED leads with 10 points, but lost hugely due to drawing with CHN after normal time.

#FieldHockey update: women's finals at #Paris2024! 🏑
Gold medal: NED 🥇
Silver: CHN 🥈
Bronze: ARG 🥉
Both matches went into penaly shoot-outs. NED won against CHN, and ARG against BEL. Due to drawing after normal time, NED gave almost one whole ELO point to CHN. 📊
#HockeyPredictor #wolyhock #Olympics

ELO ratings in my model for men's hockey at Paris 2024. Gains and losses are indicated, from before the tournament to afterwards. NED and GER lead with around 8.5 points. GER, IND, and RSA all gained around one ELO point (on a scale to 10 points).

The model sees both teams as essentially tied, and a class above the next teams. The picture shows changes from the pre-tournament input ratings. 📊🏑
S-tier: NED, GER. ✨
A-tier: GBR, IND, BEL.
B-tier: ARG, AUS, ESP.
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #Olympics #Paris2024 #FieldHockey

Probabilities of outcomes after normal time for men's hockey gold match at Paris 2024. NED wins: 35%. Draw: 30%. GER wins: 35%.

#Fieldhockey update: men's match for gold at #Paris2024 starts in 15 minutes! 🏑
The model expects a close game, with a 30% chance of a penalty shoot-out. Keep tuned! 📺
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #Olympics

Probabilities ("Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins"; after normal time) for women's matches for medals at Paris 2024 field hockey event. NED-CHN: 75-20-5. ARG-BEL: 25-30-45.

#FieldHockey update: women's semi-finals at #Paris2024!
NED won 3-0 and still feels to be a class above the other teams. In the match for gold medals, they meet CHN which they already defeated in group stage. The model thinks NED have very good odds!
#HockeyPredictor #wolyhock #Olympics

#Fieldhockey update for men's semi-finals at #Paris2024! 🏑
GER and NED will play Thursday's match for gold. This looks to be a very even game. During the group stage, GER won 1-0 against NED.
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #Olympics #DataAnalysis

#FieldHockey update for women's competition at #Paris2024! 🏑
The quarter-finals saw a very exciting game between ARG and GER that went to a penalty shootout. Here are the probabilities for the semi-finals! 📊
ARG-NED: 27-73,
CHN-BEL: 28-72.
#HockeyPredictor #wolyhock #Olympics #DataAnalysis

Probabilities ("Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins") for the semi-finals of men's hockey at Paris 2024, as calculated by my model. ESP-NED: 25-30-45. IND-GER: 23-27-50.

#FieldHockey update for men's competition at #Paris2024! 🏑
Tuesday's semi-finals will be ESP-NED and IND-GER. Three of those four teams will get medals at the end of this competition! 🏅 Matches could be similarly narrow as today's. 📊
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #DataAnalysis

Probabilities ("Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins", after 60 minutes) for quarter-finals of women's hockey at Paris 2024, as calculated by my ELO-based model. NED-GBR: 85-10-5. GER-ARG: 20-25-55. BEL-ESP: 70-20-10. CHN-AUS: 10-20-70.

#FieldHockey update, women's round 5 at #Paris2024! 🏑
BEL's win against GER means that they will have an easier match coming up, and can meet NED only in the final game for gold.
ARG's odds against GER might be exaggerated since the groups have not equilibrated yet. Let's see! 📺
#HockeyPredictor

The rankings have GER to ESP within a 2-point range, out of 10. This is a close competition! 👍
After the quarter finals and backpropagation of the model, all teams will have *felt* each other team, leading to a more equilibrated ranking. Keep tuned for Sunday's update!
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock

Updated ELO-style rankings after round 4. BEL is now in the lead with 8.0 points. NED lost points due to their defeat against GER.

Probabilities ("Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins") for round 5. NED-ESP: 50-30-20. FRA-RSA: 45-30-25. GBR-GER: 30-30-40. AUS-IND: 45-30-25. NZL-IRL: 30-30-40. BEL-ARG: 55-30-15.

#FieldHockey update, men's competition at #Paris2024! 🏑
All eight spots in the quarter finals are taken, tomorrow's round 5 will decide who will play against whom.
GBR-GER is the match to watch! 📺
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #Olympics #DataAnalysis

#FieldHockey update, women's hockey competition at #Paris2024! 🏑
With round 3 played, here are the reviewed ELO ratings. 📊
Current S-tier: NED.
A-tier: ARG, GER, AUS, BEL.
One of these teams is expected to win the gold medals. 🥇
#HockeyPredictor #wolyhock #Olympics #DataAnalysis

Updated ELO rankings after the review of the model, with round 3 having been played. BEL advanced to just below NED's ranking.

#FieldHockey update: men's competition at #Paris2024! 🏑
Today, all twelve teams have played their third matches, which is a good occasion to review the model and the tournament.
Current S-tier: NED, BEL.
A-tier: GBR, GER.
B-tier: AUS, IND, ARG, ESP.
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #DataAnalysis

Updated ELO ratings for women's field hockey at Paris2024 after round 2, as calculated by my model. NED leads with 9.3 points.

Probabilities ("Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins") for round 3 of women's field hockey at Paris2024. ARG-ESP: 70-20-10. RSA-GBR: 20-25-55. AUS-USA: 70-20-10. FRA-GER: 5-10-85. BEL-JAP: 75-20-5. NED-CHN: 70-20-10.

#FieldHockey update for the women's competition at #Paris2024!
The teams now all have one day off. Then matches in round 3 each look to be quite lop-sided. I'm looking forward to BEL's later games against NED and GER in round 4 and 5.
#HockeyPredictor #wolyhock #DataAnalysis

Updated ELO rankings after round 2 of matches in the men's hockey competition of Paris2024, with gains and losses indicated with respected to after round 1. NED leads with 8.1 points. GER lost much in this round, losing to ESP and, due to backpropagation, by having FRA's ranking lowered by their loss against NED.

Probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for round 3 in men's hockey of Paris 2024, as calculated by my ELO-based model. ESP-FRA: 65-15-20. RSA-GER: 20-15-65. GBR-NED: 30-20-50. IRL-IND: 25-20-55. ARG-NZL: 55-20-25. AUS-BEL: 45-20-35.

#Paris2024 update for the men's #FieldHockey competition!
Only NED has had a consistent good run in group A. Tier list and parameter evaluation will be done after tomorrow's round 3. Highlight games there: GBR-NED in group A, and AUS-BEL in group B.
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #Olympics

Updated ELO ratings. ESP and GBR did the strongest trade-off of ELO points, after Spain won their match.

Probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for round 2 of Paris 2024's women's hockey competition. JAP-CHN: 20-30-50. GER-NED: 25-30-45. FRA-BEL: 5-15-80. ESP-USA: 55-25-20. GBR-AUS: 30-30-40. RSA-ARG: 5-15-80.

#FieldHockey update for the women's competition at #Paris2024!
Spain won against Great Britain, with both teams having almost the same ranking now.
Next matches already come tomorrow. With both teams top ranked, GER-NED is the high-light!
#HockeyPredictor #Olympics #DataAnalysis

Probabilities for the first round 1 of women's hockey at Paris 2024, copied from a previous post.

Today and tomorrow are also match days in the women's hockey competition, with ARG-USA and NED-FRA being played tonight. #HockeyPredictor #wolyhock

Updated ELO ratings for men's hockey competition at Paris 2024, as estimated in my model. NED still leads, but dropped to 8.9 due to underperforming expectations with a narrow 5-3 win against RSA.

Probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for round 2 of the same competition, calculated by my model. GER-ESP: 60-15-25. NED-FRA: 80-10-10. RSA-GBR: 10-10-80. BEL-NZL: 65-15-20. IRL-AUS: 20-15-65. IND-ARG: 45-20-35.

Hockey update for the #Olympics #Paris2024! 🏑🚨
In round 1 of men's hockey, all favorites won, vindicating the initial ELO numbers. NED's 5-3 win against RSA was closer than expected, slightly dropping NED's rating. 📉
Next games are already played tomorrow! ✨
#HockeyPredictor #molyhock #FieldHockey

Rough probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for the first round of women's field hockey competition at Paris2024 olympics, as calculated by my ELO-based model. ARG-USA: 70-20-10. NED-FRA: 90-7-3. BEL-CHN: 50-25-25. AUS-RSA: 70-20-10. GER-JAP: 70-20-10. GBR-ESP: 45-30-25.

Rough probabilities of "Team 1 wins", "Draw", "Team 2 wins" for the first round of men's field hockey competition at Paris2024 olympics, as calculated by my ELO-based model. GBR-ESP: 55-15-30. BEL-IRL: 65-15-20. NED-RSA: 80-10-10. AUS-ARG: 55-15-30. GER-FRA: 65-15-20. IND-NZL: 55-15-30.

The olympic spirit of #Paris2024 made me calculate probabilities for the #FieldHockey competitions. 🏑📊
Matches take place each day, starting on Saturday, at stade olympique Yves-du-Manoir.
#HockeyPredictor #DataAnalysis #wolyhock #molyhock

🔥🏅 Paris #Olympics are opened on Friday, with a big event along the river Seine. 🎆
I will cover women's soccer (starting Thursday)⚽,
as well as men's and women's field hockey (starting Saturday) 🏑.
What are the events you are most looking forward to?
#Paris2024 #SoccerPredictor #HockeyPredictor