It's a #vibecession even though most people are doing fine.

@jaredhenderson.bsky.social | Jared Henderson: "Everything feels 'fake' now" | #AIslop #Sora #Deepfakes #EchoChambers #MediaBubbles #WeirdMovies #FakeGrandpa #MediaManipulation #FakeNews #EpistemicBackstop #BodyImage #Vibecession #Gambling #PredictionMarkets #Distrust
www.youtube.com/watch?v=SyUZ...

People will not believe it. Left and right are both convinced that we're in a dire #vibecession the likes of which we haven't seen since 1930.

Everyone is Gambling and No One is Happy Vibes, AI, open-mouth coughing, and lessons from 40 weeks of travel

“But as #DanDavies writes there might not have been any particular trigger for the #Vibecession. ‘Vibes might be like a supercooled fluid, just waiting for a random shock to change phase.’ The #pandemic was the shock.” open.substack.com/pub/kyla/p/e...

Scott Alexander analyses the "#vibecession", a growing trend towards negative sentiments and pessimism despite all economic indicators being up. www.astralcodexten.com/p/vibecession-much-more-...

He can't find a smoking gun to explain it […]

[Original post on mastodon.social]

An Insight Into The #Vibecession And Aggregate Statistics Divergence

What's the Vibe of the Social Web? The all-important 'vibe' shapes the message others receive when they come into contact with the Open Social Web. Vibe. What a word. What a concept. The idea that every space has its own energy which ...

Are young people ditching alternative #SocialMedia because of "bad vibes" as this author claims, or is it immature technology like ghost.io not loading his essay until my third try after mastodon failed to relay the links? -- Its a #vibecession but for technology!
forbetter.ghost.io/whats-the-vi...

How did we just lose 1,000,000 jobs?! And what does it mean for the economy?

This week on Everybody’s Business from @bloomberg.com @chafkin.bsky.social and I talk with @kedseconomist.com about where those jobs went and what this means for the economy. #economy #jobs #vibecession

People’s feelings about the economy can diverge from what the numbers say #vibecession. In the article, I dissect stories told about economic crisis and recovery (I look at climate change and the Covid-19 pandemic) and show how they convey ideas about social order

But, it seems unlikely we'll see a true evening out of interest rates scenarios and the economy in general until 2028 and beyond because of Trump and his capriciousness. #economy #vibecession #inflation

The Kyla Scanlon Effect: How the ‘Vibecession’ Creator is Reshaping Financial News "An analytical look at financial commentator Kyla Scanlon, who coined 'vibecession,' examining her influence, communication style, and impact on financial media."

More Than a Vibe: Analyzing the Economic Substance and Media Impact of Kyla Scanlon

#KylaScanlon #Vibecession #Economics #Finance #CreatorEconomy #FactRage #FactRageNews

tglm.us/HHAmP

@corbden the vibecession started in at least 2022, no matter that Biden said, when ZIRP ended the artificial growth era of 2009-2020, shit’s been real, and almost nobody wants to admit it

Where trad wives and the vibecession intersect: growing a victory garden to save money An influencer shares her four tips for starting a victory garden and saving money on groceries.

www.businessinsider.com/victory-garden-tips-how-...

#Economy #Politics #garden #vibecession #trad-wife #vegetable #plants #growing-food

Event Attributes

#Vibecession, vibe election, yeah that tracks. Postrational era

chart showing over 6% of american car owners on a payment plan are now 60 days late on their payments

The % of Americans behind on their car payments has hit an all time high.

#uspol #economy #recession #vibecession

aged like milk haiku

Wow, what a relief
We survived the #vibecession
Smooth sailing from here

@whstancil.bsky.social it’s almost like the republicans and leftest pushed a narrative that the economy was bad irrespective if the economy was bad. #vibecession

A Win for the Vibecession Story Guess what? Popular economic narratives aren’t reliable

Another great piece from @pkrugman.bsky.social about the #vibecession.
'You could summarize public opinion as being “I’m doing OK, people I know or see around me are doing OK, but I hear that really bad things are happening somewhere out there.”'
#economy #GoodVibrations

#Vibecession Anger Edition Corollary to 2024 Election

Let's boil it down, people stopped listening to individual's experiences and told them how to feel.
It's always a losing strategy in EVERY RELATIONSHIP.

"Don't Tell Me How to Feel!" Sound Familiar?

We need more Behavioral Economics!
#EconSky

A great portmanteau word used to great effect. #vibecession

Bloomberg article on latest UK consumer confidence saying consumers have an uncharitable view of the general economic situation

PwC's Jac Windsor discussing the vibecession on CNBC

📉 ...maybe not such an "uncharitable view" of the economy given the GDP decline announced today, but the latest GfK consumer confidence figures support PwC's hypothesis of a #vibecession holding back consumer demand, despite 10% higher disposable income than last year

Things missing from #vibecession discourse in Canada:

1. Many workers have suffered real wage losses. Most public sector and also unionized private sector workers have - they are about 1/3 of employees.
2. Food, rent, energy price growth is way above "all-items" inflation used to adjust wage data.

#Vibecession

GST holiday will help Canadians cope with ‘vibecession,’ Freeland says Chrystia Freeland says Ottawa's proposed GST break will lead to a pick-up in consumer spending. Find out more.

This is Canada's Finance Minister #vibecession

financialpost.com/news/economy...

#vibecession

AI Shopping Agents Change Your Shopping Like Never Before

bytefeed.ai/ecommerce/ai-shopping-ag...

#vibecession #AIShopping #ecommerce2025

G. Elliott Morris tweet: Much to most of the 2024 #vibecession appears to be due to changes in how the University of Michigan measures consumer sentiment, rather than actual changes in sentiment. When adjusted for this the trend looks to have recovered to Jul 2021 levels (still lags objective indicators) Paul Krugman tweet (retweeted) There were two major negative data points in a good year for the economy: an inflation surge in Q1 and sagging consumer sentiment. It now seems that both were statistical artifacts, not things that really happened

While we agree with UMich’s own analysis that the online interviews themselves display similar trends across time as phone interviews, we believe online respondents are resulting in the level of the overall sentiment and current conditions indices being meaningfully lower, making more recent UMich data points inconsistent with pre-April 2024 data points. Specifically, we use a simple statistical model to estimate that the effect of the methodological switch from phone to online is currently resulting in sentiment being 8.9 index points –or more than 11 percent–lower than it would be if interviews were still collected through the phone. We validate this estimate through comparison with an independent third-party survey.

Someone should tally all campaign stories on the 2024 #vibecession since April – quoting people complaining, reflecting on the persistence of economic pessimism and how it spelled potential doom for Biden, then Harris – based on seemingly flawed statistics
www.briefingbook.info/p/the-effect...

USA Job Creation Stats Revised Down 30%, Unemployment Rising In more evidence that the “all in your head” so-called “vibecession” may be the under-reported beginnings of an actual recession and a much…

USA Job Creation Stats Revised Down 30%, Unemployment Rising

#news #economy #economics #jobs #job #politics #political #federalreserve #usa #unitedstates #labor #recession #vibecession #recession #bureauoflaborstatistics #bls

medium.com/@socialismfo...