ποΈ New episode of Learning Bayesian Statistics!
EP 155 with @alex-andorra.bsky.social & Andreas Munk, why Bayesian inference still hasn't broken into everyday use. The barrier isn't the math, it's the mental shift
π lnkd.in/gchb6bqj
#Bayesian #ProbablisticProgramming
Posts by Pierre-Simon Laplace
β½ Last week, I was thrilled and honored to present our #SoccerFactorModel to Field of Play 2026 in Manchester! ποΈ
It was an absolute blast meeting all these brilliant people, and I can't thank enough the FoP team, especially Dominic Jordan and John Carney for their trust and invitation!
π§΅ Thread π
New episode is out, my dear Bayesians! All about #CausalInference, #Experimentation at scale, and #GaussianProcesses -- definitely a fun one!
New Episode Alert!
ποΈ Scaling #BayesianCausalInference with Thomas Pinder, Netflix & creator of GPJax
Essential listening for anyone working at the frontier of Bayes, Experimentation & Causal Inference π
π learnbayesstats.com/episode/154-...
#Bayesian #JAX #MachineLearning #CausalInference #GPJax
New episode is out πΎ
The show now has a blog section πΎ
Check out @alex-andorra.bsky.social 's first post!
Just published my first open-source #AgentSkill!
It's called bayesian-workflow, and helps you do #BayesianAnaylsis the right way -- well, at least I hope...
Check it out here: github.com/Learning-Bay...
Thanks @avehtari.bsky.social ! We just added arviz.diagnose under the hood, thanks to @aloctavodia.bsky.social , to run comprehensive diagnostic checks for MCMC sampling automatically π
More to come!!
Fundraising = Belief Updating? π§ π
New episode is out! I'm talking with Cherian Koshy about the Neuroscience of Philanthropy.
We discuss:
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Why generosity is hardwired
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Solving the Generosity Gap
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Cognitive friction
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Ethical AI
Check it out: π learnbayesstats.com/episode/neur...
Install it: github.com/Learning-Bayesian-Statistics/baygent-skills
Part of a bigger project I call baygent-skills -- "a set of skills to call your agent Bayes. Thomas Bayes".
More skills coming soon! Issues and PRs welcome π
PyMCheers π
Enforces a 9-step workflow: prior elicitation, predictive checks, calibration (LOO-PIT, not vibes), diagnostics, and reporting adapted for non-technical audiences. All the stuff agents skip when left to their own devices.
Lean, opinionated, adapted from the cutting-edge science you hear on the show!
Hellooooooo my dear Bayesians! We just open-sourced an #AgentSkill that teaches coding agents to do #Bayesian stats properly.
No more skipped diagnostics, no more point estimates without uncertainty, no more "trace plots look fine".
Works with Claude Code, Cursor, Kimi, Gemini CLI, and more
Episode 152 is out ποΈ
Host @alex-andorra.bsky.social talks with Daniel Saunders about a Bayesian decision theory workflow.
Big idea: stop optimizing for model accuracy and start optimizing for decision value.
π lnkd.in/gw_uGaZc
#Bayesian #DecisionTheory #DataScience #Optimization
ποΈ New episode out now - Episode 151: Diffusion Models in Python, a Live Demo
In this episode, @alex-andorra.bsky.social is joined by Jonas Arruda to explore how diffusion models can be used for simulation-based inference (SBI) in practice with a live Python demo and more ...
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Bayesian neural networks need one thing to matter: good uncertainty. Scaling them has always been the hard part
In this episode, host @alex-andorra.bsky.social with Emmanuel Sommer, Jakob Robnik, & David RΓΌgamer explain whatβs changing, faster sampling, better dynamics & more ..
π§ lnkd.in/g2W5cZQZ
Work in tech is changing fast, and not always in obvious ways.
@alex-andorra.bsky.social talks with Alana Karen about how AI, hiring, and management are reshaping careers behind the scenes, AI automating early work, hiring favoring familiarity β¦ and more.
π§ lnkd.in/gcRJVT-s
#FutureOfWork
My #AdvancedRegressionModeling course, written with the brilliant Ravin Kumar and @tomicapretto.bsky.social, is now available through my Topmate profile!
So do give it a try and let me know what you think in the comments π
See you soon in the Intuitive Bayes' Discourse π
topmate.io/alex_andorra...
Clinical trials donβt fail because patients fail.
They fail when designs stop learning.
Episode 148 of Learning Bayesian Statistics explores adaptive & platform trials and why "wait for the final analysis" isnβt neutral in ALS or pandemics.
π learnbayesstats.com/episode/148-...
#newEpisode #bayes
Fast Bayesian inference is greatβ¦ until youβre babysitting convergence.
@alex-andorra.bsky.social is joined by Martin Ingram to explore DADVI a more predictable, less noisy approach to variational inference that makes trade-offs explicit instead of mysterious
π§ lnkd.in/gAX2iaHz
#bayesianinference
ποΈ How do you tackle extreme physics experiments? Ethan Smith shares insights with @alex-andorra.bsky.social
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Bayesian inference for sparse, noisy data
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Priors guide well-established physical models
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Scaling Bayesian workflows across teams
π§ lnkd.in/geA2kQm6
#Bayesian #LearningBayesianStats
ποΈ What does it take to grow in tech? Jordan Thibodeau shares lessons from years inside top tech cultures with @alex-andorra.bsky.social
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Bayesian thinking as a practical advantage
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AI amplifies skill, not replaces it
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Networking & sharing knowledge matter
π§ lnkd.in/ghk6D6nH
#bayes #career
Now I'm also looking for a research software engineer to implement a pile of research results to R packages loo, posterior, bayesplot, projpred, priorsense, brms or/and Python packages ArviZ, Bambi and Kulprit. Apply by email with no specific deadline (see contact info at users.aalto.fi/~ave/)
Bayesian deep learning helps ML models understand their uncertainty
In this episode @alex-andorra.bsky.social talks with Maurizio Filippone about Gaussian Processes, scalable inference, MCMC, and Bayesian deep learning at scale
π§ learnbayesstats.com/episode/144-...
#BayesianStats #AI #ML #Bayes
π½οΈ Can better nutrition science come from better statistics?
In the latest episode, @alex-andorra.bsky.social chats with Christoph Bamberg about using a Bayesian mindset to make psychology & nutrition research more transparent and actionable
π§ learnbayesstats.com/episode/143-...
#bayes #nutrition
How to run #BART and #TreeModels fast in #Python -- new episode is out, with @gstechschulte.bsky.social !
π€How do you keep Bayesian rigor when the dataβs too big to behave?
@gstechschulte.bsky.social joins @alex-andorra.bsky.social on Learning Bayesian Statistics to talk BART and how theyβre bridging classic stats with modern, large-scale systems.
π§ Listen here: learnbayesstats.com/episode/142-...
π§ͺ Causal inference is about understanding why things happen, not just what
@alex-andorra.bsky.social talks with Sam Witty about ChiRho & how probabilistic programming is reshaping interventions, counterfactuals, and the future of causal reasoning
π§ learnbayesstats.com/episode/141-...
#newepisode
π NFL meets Bayesian stats!
In this episode @alex-andorra.bsky.social chats with Ron Yurko on
π Writing your own models
π Building a sports analytics portfolio
π Pitfalls of modelling expectations
π Using tracking data for player insights
π Causal thinking in football data
π§ lnkd.in/gWz4v2JG
What if your optimization algorithm could explain its uncertainty as clearly as its results?β π€
In this episodeποΈ @alex-andorra.bsky.social dives into Bayesian optimization, BoTorch, and why uncertainty matters with Maximilian Balandat
π§ Listen here: lnkd.in/gg6fcfFU
#bayesian #pytorch #podcast
Your deep learning model might be confidently wrong β and in medicine or epidemiology, thatβs dangerous.
In this episode, @alex-andorra.bsky.social chats with MΓ©lodie Monod, FranΓ§ois-Xavier & Yingzhen Li about making neural nets more reliable, Bayesian LLMs & more
π§ lnkd.in/gcaRQXcb
#bayes #llm