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JMA has issued its final advisory on Tropical Storm #Nokaen (#AdaPH), expecting to weaken further and dissipate within 48 hours. Meanwhile, Invest #93W is no longer expected to become a tropical depression in the next 24 hours.

(JMA Weather Map; 00Z)

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #91S could develop near #Indonesia
(2) Something subtropical may form north of #NewZealand
(3) Another system may develop near #Australia
(4) Something may develop and head towards #Fiji
(5) #93W #WilmaPH out of time

#wx #cyclone #typhoon

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #90P forms as a brief TC
(2) #93W #WilmaPH less likely to develop near the #Philippines
(3) #99P could become a STC
(4,5) More signals exist next week

#wx #typhoon #cyclone

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Invest #93W is continuing to get better organized as it gradually approaches the #Philippines. The storm has been bursting some decent thunderstorms over the past 12 hours and we could see a named system soon. Next Name = #Nokaen #WilmaPH

#typhoon

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #Koto nearly gone
(2) #93W headed towards the #Philippines
(3) #99P could briefly develop OTS
(4,5) 2 other disturbances exist with low chances of formation

#typhoon #cyclone

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Image: PAGASA

Image: PAGASA

Low Pressure Area 12a (JTWC: Invest #93W; JMA: TD) entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Wednesday afternoon (3 Dec), according to PAGASA. It remains with a high chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours.

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Invest #93W is beginning to take a turn to the southwest and is roughly 2-3 days away from impacting the #Philippines. Fortunately, it looks like it should remain below #typhoon status. Next Name = #Nokaen #WilmaPH

#wx

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #Ditwah moving over #India
(2) #Koto lingers near #Vietnam
(3) #93W threatening the #Philippines
(4) A disturbance could develop near #Australia next week

#wx #cyclone #typhoon

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Image: PAGASA

Image: PAGASA

Low Pressure Area 12a (JTWC: Invest #93W; JMA: TD) has a high chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours, according to PAGASA. At 14:00 PhST this Tuesday, the system was last spotted 1220 km east of southeastern Luzon.

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #Ditwah reforms near #India
(2) #Koto now a RL near #Vietnam
(3) #93W headed towards the #Philippines
(4) Another system could form near #Australia

#wx #cyclone #typhoon

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Invest #93W is gradually getting better organized and is beginning to make its southwestward jog towards the #Philippines. Fortunately, it looks like the system will likely not reach #typhoon status. Next Name = #Nokaen #WilmaPH

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #Koto weakening near #Vietnam
(2) #Senyar nearly gone
(3) #Ditwah could briefly reform
(4) #93W looking less likely to develop

#wx #typhoon #cyclone

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Invest #93W has formed over the waters south-southeast of Guam this Saturday, according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC).

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The Western Pacific now has Invest #93W which is currently located southeast of the Northern Mariana Islands. The system does have a chance to curve out to sea, but it also has a high chance of curving towards the #Philippines. Next Name = #Nokaen #WilmaPH

#typhoon

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Unofficial #HCCTWO
(1) #Koto meandering towards #Vietnam
(2) #Ditwah stalling over #SriLanka
(3) #Seynar reforms in the WPAC
(4) #93W could threaten the #Philippines

#wx #cyclone #typhoon

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#Invest93W E of #Philippines now #27W; to head WNW toward N #Luzon S #China N #Vietnam; interests there #HongKong #Macau to watch closely
#Wxx #Wxtwitter #TropicsWx #blueskywx #93W #PaoloPh #southchinasea #Matmo #台風21号 #Macao #Guangdong #Hainan #Guangxi #Isabela #Haikou #Beihai #Zhanjiang #Haiphong

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#Invest93W E of #Philippines has #TCFA; to head WNW toward N #Luzon S #China N #Vietnam; interests there #HongKong #Macau to watch closely
#Wxx #Wxtwitter #TropicsWx #blueskywx #93W #PaoloPh #southchinasea #Matmo #台風21号 #Macao #Guangdong #Hainan #Guangxi #Isabela #Haikou #Beihai #Zhanjiang #Haiphong

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Tropical Depression (93W/Paolo) – Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1: 0000 UTC 1 October 2025 Another tropical depression forms east of the Philippines.

Tropical Depression ( #93W / #PaoloPH) – Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1: 0000 UTC 1 October 2025: Another tropical depression forms east of the Philippines. willweatherrva.beehiiv.com/p/tropical-d...

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Invest #93W is getting its act together and does look like it will make landfall in the northern #Philippines as a potential #typhoon during the next 48 hours. Those who live there should be preparing for the possibility of Moderate Impacts. Will have a stream up soon!

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The sun has risen over Invest #93W which is continuing to get better organized, and it may already have a broad circulation. Unfortunately, the system is expected to impact the #Philippines before eventually reaching #China and #Vietnam. Next Name = #Matmo #PaoloPH

#typhoon

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秋台風監視 2025/10/01~のhttp://Ventusky.com によるNOAA GFS 14日間 1500m暖気+5500mジェット気流 + GEM 雲量 + GPV 各国台風進路予測 + GEM GFS ICON 降水量 地上風速。早期台風兆候(遠隔→ #93W 台風21号? 遠来→弱 近傍→弱)。 移動性高気圧 寒気南下 。

鹿児島まで朝晩は急に涼しくなり、予測モデルも寒気南下が目立ち始めた。秋台風は、台風21号兆候が顕著だがまた大陸志向、それ以降はお世辞にも秋台風最盛期の様相には見えない。まさかこのまま冬に?

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WPAC Tropical Weather Outlook - 9/30/25 Invest 93W looks likely to be our next tropical cyclone in the Western Pacific, and the Philippines need to monitor its progress.

WPAC Tropical Weather Outlook - 9/30/25: Invest #93W looks likely to be our next tropical cyclone in the Western Pacific, and the #Philippines need to monitor its progress. willweatherrva.beehiiv.com/p/wpac-tropi...

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#Invest93W E of #Philippines forecast to head WNW towards N #Luzon and later S #China N #Vietnam
All interests there, #HongKong #Macau to watch closely esp after #Ragasa and #Bualoi
#Wxx #Wxtwitter #TropicsWx #blueskywx #93W #PaoloPh #southchinasea #Matmo #台風21号 #Macao #Guangdong #Hainan #Guangxi

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記録的に暑い今年9月の沖縄
しかし風向き変わり空気感変化
#夏の空気・湿った南風
#大陸からの空気・乾いた北風
この先は風次第の沖縄
安定した北風になれば過ごしやすくなるんですけどね…(昨日北風も今朝は南寄りに変わりつつある)
やっぱり台風が来ないと季節感変わらないかな?
#台風21号リスク #93W 米軍情報認定
img.ritou.com/r/b-blog-191...

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秋台風 2025/09/30~のhttp://Ventusky.com によるNOAA GFS 14日間 1500m暖気+5500mジェット気流 + GEM 雲量 + GPV 各国台風進路予測 + GEM GFS ICON 降水量 地上風速。台風19号は温帯低気圧に 台風20号は熱帯低気圧に 早期台風兆候(遠隔 #93W 台風21号?)。

台風19号は温低、台風20号は熱低に。今夜は鹿児島市も脱熱帯夜で涼しく、いよいよ秋? 秋台風の気配が増しているが、日本へ来そうな兆候は見られない。まさか日本は冬台風に気候変動? しかし寒気は着実に迫ってきてる?

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WPAC Tropical Weather Outlook - 9/29/25 Bualoi is weakening over Laos and Neoguri has exited stage right, but Invest 93W looks like it could pose a threat to the Philippines by the end of the week.

WPAC Tropical Weather Outlook - 9/29/25: #Bualoi is weakening over Laos and Neoguri has exited stage right, but Invest #93W looks like it could pose a threat to the #Philippines by the end of the week. willweatherrva.beehiiv.com/p/wpac-tropi...

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#HongKong SAR #China in #Typhoon Signal 1 since 710pm and in #Macau SAR since 7pm last night
#Invest93W #JacintoPH #Kajiki #IsangPH #Wxx #Wxtwitter #Tropicswx #BlueSkyWx #JacintoPH #93W #台風14号 #Nongfa #台風13号 #TropicalStorm #TropicalStormNongfa #Macao

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#Invest93W W of #Philippines now TD #20W to head WNW across #SouthChinaSea to impacts in S #Hainan #China incl #Sanya and N #Vietnam incl #Vinh
Interests there to watch closely after being hit by #Kajiki/ #IsangPH
#Wxx #Wxtwitter #Tropicswx #BlueSkyWx #JacintoPH #93W #台風14号 #Nongfa #台風13号

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#Invest93W W of #Philippines now TD #20W to head WNW across #SouthChinaSea to impacts in S #Hainan #China incl #Sanya and N #Vietnam incl #Vinh
Interests there to watch closely after being hit by #Kajiki/ #IsangPH
#Wxx #Wxtwitter #Tropicswx #BlueSkyWx #JacintoPH #93W #台風14号 #Nongfa #台風13号

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#HongKong SAR #China could raise #Typhoon Signal 1 by tonight HKT
#Invest93W #JacintoPH #Kajiki #IsangPH #Wxx #Wxtwitter #Tropicswx #BlueSkyWx #JacintoPH #93W #台風14号 #Nongfa #台風13号 #TropicalStorm #TropicalStormNongfa

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