Cohen: organized #TCs violate gradient wind bal & are outflow dom. GWB holds in less organized broad TCs #AMS32HURR
.@sarahditchek: comparing eliassen's balanced vortex model to ERA-I composite radial-pressure #TC data. #AMS32HURR
Montgomery: #Gaston pouch closed @ low-lev, but open above. Dryair gets in, limits conv; spindown circ. #AMS32HURR
Smith: E-W #TC #Irene position correl to #NY precip; E steering diff in W ens mem leads to track diff #AMS32HURR
Blanco:sfc pres. of #Kelvin wv propagates fast; CCs dev & dissipate behind (discontinuous propagation) #AMS32HURR
.@alli_wing: #TCG in #RCE works similar to self-agg. cloud cluster. Sfc flux and LW feedbacks key. #AMS32HURR
Torn: in high vs. low intensity variance #TCs, key thermodynamic diff. exist b/w SSTs, Theta-E, and size. #AMS32HURR
.@KieranBhatia: #PRIME bias corrects ensemble of forecasts to reduce forecast error vs. consensus models #AMS32HURR
DeMaria: #SHIPS will know subsfc cooling from upwelling. Ocean age predictor may improve slow #TC fcasts #AMS32HURR
DeMaria: re-deriving #LGEM to have info about #RI probabilities improves High intensity forecasts. #AMS32HURR
Magnusson: Ocean coupling in #ECMWF reduces significant positive bias in #TC intensity @ higher lats. #AMS32HURR
Zhang: Shallow cumulus in #MPAS provides small fraction of rain (~1%), but helps microphysics produce much more rainfall(~50%) #AMS32HURR
Kerns: Large-scale precip. tracking can better identify initiation and dissipation pts of #MJO convection #AMS32HURR
Oderline: smoothly adj. shear in #WRF via nudging makes #TC feel shear; weakening results & no TC env mod #AMS32HURR
Riemer: intrusion of traj. decrease w/ increase in shear, but ventilation of midlevel #TC traj. increase #AMS32HURR
Kiladis: Having #MJO does not change tropics #olr pdf. MJO convection compensated by outside subsidence. #AMS32HURR
COMMAS idealized model of tropical cyclone: no shear = no #lightning; added shear = continued lightning #ildc2016 #AMS32HURR
WRF-ELEC gives more eyewall convection and #lightning in model than in obs. #ildc2016 #AMS32HURR
Majumdar: Lower latitude tracking #Joaquin is correlated to stronger outflow in S quad and lower MSLP #TC #AMS32HURR
Cecil: #HiRAD peak wind obs. of ~165 kt in #Patricia. Peak wind in area not sampled by dropsondes #AMS32HURR
Bell: nice azimuthally avg. cross-sections of #Patricia from high-density dropsondes. One drop got in eye #AMS32HURR
Bell: Points out #Patricia has dubious distinction to be only #TC with +100 kt fcast wind speed error #AMS32HURR
Bell: Great IR mosaic showing how lucky #Hawaii was w/ no #TC impact during hyperactive #CPHC 2015 season #AMS32HURR
Doyle: A wealth of research in progress from unprecedented high temporal dropsonde data from #TCI #AMS32HURR
Fuentes: Improved representation of #TCs in #MERRA-2; superior depiction of 1979 TCs w/o increasing res. #AMS32HURR
Brennan: Vortex reloc. of #GFS = worse trk fcast of #TC #Joaquin & shallow vortex steered by shallow flow #AMS32HURR
Wu: liquid water vapor from #cloudsat actually lower in strengthening TCs vs. weakening TCs. Strange. #AMS32HURR
Wei: #Indian #monsoon relatively insensitive to changes in topography over Africa. Impact more local. #AMS32HURR
Martinez: Strengthening hurricanes have higher vertical vorticity & dewpoint depressions inside #RMW #AMS32HURR