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#Abiy
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#Ethiopian PM #Abiy Ahmed’s speech goes beyond defense — invoking #Eritrean port ambitions and slogans about refusing to remain landlocked during a military ceremony is a clear provocation, signaling expansionist intent rather than simple security messaging.
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In July 2018, shortly after #Abiy became PM, #Epstein texts #Bannon:
"Note, I spoke with the president of #Ethiopia and #Eritrea , they have agreed not to do any
more work with the Chinese. ! as they now understand the trick.
In fact there is a possiblitiy of the two countries becoming one".
🫠
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PM #Abiy Ahmed now says the rift with #Eritrea stems from atrocities in #Tigray — even though Eritrean forces were invited into the war by him. Timing and framing raise questions about narrative shift and underlying strategic tensions like Red Sea access.
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#Eritrea has played a decisive role in Ethiopian politics: it helped #TPLF grow in the 1970s–80s and later enabled #Abiy Ahmed’s consolidation in 2018 by neutralizing key opposition. External support can shape domestic power.
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#Abiy trying not to fall of his horse as the #Birr takes a deep dive & Ethiopia’s creditors contemplate legal action. This while Ethiopian intel. totally missed Fano’s attacks leading to heavy ENDF casualties as ENDF prepared to invade #Eritrea. ENDF had to pull troops from Afar.
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#Eritrea & #Tigray fought each other during Tigraywar, so for #Abiy it was unthinkable they’d be allies. A strategic mistake: If they coordinate, even loosely, it creates a 2 front vulnerability (Fano in Amhara & Eritrea Tigray) forcing #ENDF into reactive, fragmented strategies
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#Russia & #Ethiopia signed a doc for the construction of a nuclear power plant in 🇪🇹. These are extremely expensive (often>$10 bln). #Abiy would be dependent on Russian finance & tech. The US EU likely to view this w concern as 🇷🇺’s influence over 🇪🇹 grows
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#Abiy reshuffled his military top, promoting officers, leading to #Oromos dominating the #ENDF top. He likely wants to secure loyalty & ethnic legitimacy among Oromos during war time. At the start of Tigraywar he did a similar reshuffle, yet he cant afford a war at this time.
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The next 60 days are ideal for an #Ethiopian invasion of #Eritrea due to the weather. But #Abiy lacks clear intel on EDF. It’ll take weeks to get it & he’ll need to decide decisively. If he attacks it would be high risk militarily, diplomatically & economically. Let peace prevail
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While #Abiy is recruiting soldiers & buying arms, #Tigray’s #TPLF is doing the same & preparing for war. Talks betw #Mekelle & #Addis have long ended & Abiy is delivering more arms to #TPF in #Afar. TPLF wants to be fully ready for anything #ENDF & TPF bring incl. drones.
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The #US #UK & others are trying to stop #Addis before #Ethiopia starts an imperialist war against #Eritrea for its port #Assab. They asked #Asmara to negotiate but the #Eritreans arent gonna talk while a gun is pointed at them. Pressure on #Abiy mounting while #Afwerki is relaxed
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Sources confirm #Ethiopia’s #Abiy has set up a #Eritrea command post composed of #ENDF & intel as current HUMINT/SIGINT/analysis arent giving a trusted pic. #Asmara operates a very closed system. It elevates the #Eritrean military to toptier status & is classic before a campaign.
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#Ethiopia’s #Abiy is preparing #Ethiopians for a war to invade #Eritrea. He visited a drone factory, an #airforce base & saw his generals. The brotherly ppl of 🇪🇹🇪🇷 dont need war. #Tigrayans, #Eritreans, #Oromos, #Afars & #Amharas have other priorities
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If #Abiy decides to invade #Eritrea this dry season he would take an immense risk. #ENDF would have to fight #EDF, #TPLF, #Fano & #OLA simultaneously. #Addis would risk sustained cuts in external finance or a dramatically worsened economy that the #UAE cant or wont substitute for
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Most analysts agree that the #Ethiopian regime led by #Abiy is one of the main destabilizing forces. It kills its own people (#Amhara, #Oromia, #Tigray). It threatens #Eritrea, #Somalia & #Djibouti and supports #RSF in #Sudan. Lastly it fails to reach a deal w #Egypt on #GERD. #Trump #Gaza #France
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Cooperation betw #Amhara #Fano & #Tigray’s #TPLF has improved and Fano is uniting. While #Abiy has invested in the #Afar region to oppose #Asmara, #Ethiopian #Afars favor aligning themselves closer to #Eritrea. This raises the costs of a direct war for #Addis. #Trump #Sudan #AU
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Guess who was #US pres.& #Israel PM when #Abiy #Ahmed was installed in 2018 by removing PM Hailemariam & Killed millions?
May God #judge wrongdoers👺& pay them wages of deeds Amen🙏
May God #grant #Afrika lasting #Justice⚖️ #freedom #peace #love💕#prosperity Amen🙏
#peace be to the #world🌍Amen🙏
34/ END
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He did the unthinkable, contrary to his words.
Instead inviting Afrikan leader(s) who ACTUALLY have been improving people way of life,he invited to Vatican the most bloody & butcher of Afrika’s youth of our time, colonizers agent #Abiy #Ahmed of #Ethiopia.
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#WarlordsMustGoNow
#StopWarsNow
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#TPLF readies itself for #war as it wants to consolidate its power in #Tigray against southerners loyal to #Getachew & #Abiy. #Addis is worried as this would be a serious strategic blow at a time where its already isolated regionally & #Trump is backing #Egypt openly. #Asmara #AU #Israeli #Houthis
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