According to the #TPLF, large portions of #Tigray remain under occupation, while many residents continue to live in displacement camps and rely on humanitarian assistance. It added that roughly 40% of Tigray’s territory remains occupied, leaving many communities unable to return to their homes. 2/
Lack of communication btw the two parties increases regional tension. “The end of the term of the interim administration is a critical juncture,” the expert added. “Some believe that the #TPLF will try to install its own government, while others think that the federal government will intervene.” 3/
A political analyst from #Tigray says the Pretoria Agreement is under threat. “The silence of the federal gov’t can be interpreted in several ways,” said the expert. “It could be a tactical move to see how the #TPLF reacts, or it could be a sign of a deeper rift and a lack of a clear strategy.” 2/
TPLF’s Election Ban Raises Spectre of Renewed War
As Simret and the #TPLF jockey for relevance in postwar #Tigray, the National Election Board’s removal of the TPLF from the prospect of peaceful political contestation in the June 2026 elections pushes the region closer to armed confrontation.
A basic question remains: how can #Tigray hold an election when hundreds of thousands of IDPs are still displaced, internal and external security risks persist, Tigray’s ruling party, #TPLF, is still banned and multiple parties have already said the conditions for a credible election don’t exist? 2/
In 1982, despite their ideological differences, the two collaborated during the Derg regime’s Red Star Campaign, a massive offensive aimed at crushing the #EPLF. The #TPLF intervened not only out of solidarity but also to safeguard its own survival by weakening a common enemy. 3/
Tensions in #Tigray escalate: Ethiopia’s #ENDF 🇪🇹 recalls personnel who left in the past 3 yrs & ramps up troop deployments. Abiy has frozen #TPLF leaders’ bank accounts. Southern Tigray & Afar will likely play a key role as clashes rise — war could ignite soon. ⚠️🪖
#Ethiopia always had the size, air power, & resources. #Eritrea’s leadership survived Haile Selassie, was key in defeating the Derg alongside the #TPLF, later helped defeat the TPLF militarily in Tigray & built a state from guerrilla war. What’s different now is 🇪🇹’s cohesion
Ethiopia’s Cold War with Tigray Heats Up
#Ethiopia has steadily tightened pressure on #Tigray — cutting fuel deliveries, choking off access to cash, withholding federal transfers and slashing IDP aid. Observers say the goal is to push the #TPLF toward a risky military gamble.
A senior #TPLF official says federal forces have launched drone strikes ‘deep inside Tigray’ – reviving a sense of ‘déjà vu of 2020’ with new blockades and mobilisation in western #Tigray and Afar, echoing the run‑up to the last war. #Ethiopia
africa-conf.com/tigrays-heat...
In a speech to parliament on February 3rd Abiy Ahmed, Ethiopia’s prime minister, suggested that the #TPLF was made up of “traitors” working to “dismantle #Ethiopia”. Some in Mr. Abiy’s circle may have concluded the time is ripe for firmer measures against the TPLF. 2/
Why Is Abiy Admitting Eritrea’s Tigray Atrocities Now?
It seems aimed at discrediting the #TPLF faction he accuses of collaborating with #Eritrea, while portraying his government and its proxies — the Getachew camp and their #TPF militias — as forces fighting to “liberate” #Tigray from the TPLF.
UK Bans All Travel to Tigray as Ethiopia Risks Rise
“The FCDO now advises against all travel to all parts of #Tigray Region following renewed violence between #TPLF aligned forces and the #Ethiopian military (‘Warnings and insurance’, ‘Safety and Security’ and ‘Regional Risks’ pages).”
Abiy Ahmed’s economic pressure, political sidelining of the #TPLF, and support for rival forces created a suffocating environment—making renewed conflict almost inevitable. He also alienated former allies #Amhara and #Eritrea.
#Eritrea has played a decisive role in Ethiopian politics: it helped #TPLF grow in the 1970s–80s and later enabled #Abiy Ahmed’s consolidation in 2018 by neutralizing key opposition. External support can shape domestic power.
In 1982, despite their ideological differences, the two collaborated during the Derg regime’s Red Star Campaign, a massive offensive aimed at crushing the #EPLF. The #TPLF intervened not only out of solidarity but also to safeguard its own survival by weakening a common enemy. 3/
#Äthiopien
Das Pulverfass am Horn von Afrika
In der äthiopischen Provinz #Tigray treffen regionale Akteure und geopolitische Interessen aufeinander
www.nd-aktuell.de/artikel/1196...
#TPLF #Eritrea
The rhetoric of defending Eritrea’s sovereignty may unite #Eritreans around the leadership, but the reality of war would be hugely damaging. The #TPLF faces the risk of #Tigray becoming the epicenter of another devastating war without its people having had the chance to recover from the last one. 2/
De‑Escalation Key to Avoid Ethio‑Eritrea War
Despite the febrile rhetoric, neither Ethiopia, #Eritrea nor #Tigray’s #TPLF appear overly eager for war. #Ethiopia is wary of tarnishing its rehabilitated status as a regional power among the int’l community. 1/
www.chathamhouse.org/2025/11/de-e...
Complicity of Evil Ethiopian Orthodox Church In Tigray Genocide
Abune Petros, the then secretary of this evil church, claimed that only 20 war casualties occurred during the Axum Massacre, and that the IDPs who fled ethnic cleansing in Western #Tigray were #TPLF supporters who left voluntarily. 1/
Fog of War: Why are Ethiopia-Eritrea Tensions Rising?
“The #TPLF factor had been the most prominent consideration that had driven #Eritrea and #Ethiopia together. It seems fairly obvious that the strategic aims of the parties are not likely to be met through violence.”
www.aa.com.tr/en/africa/fo...
National Insurance Crime Bureau Highlights Fraud Risks from Third-Party Litigation Funding #None #Oak_Brook #National_Insurance_Crime_Bureau #TPLF #Fraud_Risks
Ethiopia Perilously Close to Another War
Three years on, the Pretoria peace deal has all but collapsed. On Nov 7, the #TPLF accused PM Abiy Ahmed of breaching it with drone strikes on #Tigray, following clashes with ENDF-backed militias in neighboring Afar. 1/
www.economist.com/middle-east-...
“Alongside atrocities committed against its own people, #Eritrea was heavily involved in the #Tigrayan genocide in #Ethiopia that left an estimated 600,000 people dead. Eritrea is not party to the 2022 peace agreement made between the Ethiopian government and the #TPLF.” 2/
#TPLF accuses government of #Ethiopia of violating peace agreement, warns of escalation
eastleighvoice.co.ke/ethiopia/237...
Genocide Denied, Power Secured: Getachew’s Play
Getachew & Co are working to whitewash the genocide against #Tigray — echoing PP talking points better than the regime itself in a bid to appease Abiy Ahmed and gain political power. Soon enough, they’ll dismiss the genocide as mere #TPLF propaganda.
While #Fano fights on, Abiy is very worried about TPLF in #Tigray. Addis tries to divide Tigrayans by paying TPF a lot in order to fight the Fed gov’s fight while at the same time sanctioning Mekelle. #TPLF preparing for an ENDF attack as its target nr. 1
In the latest escalation of a dispute that threatens to cause a new war in the #HornofAfrica, Ethiopian Foreign Minister Gedion Timothewos has sent a letter to the UN accusing #Eritrea’s government of working with a #TPLF faction and #Amhara rebels.
africa-conf.com/tensions-wor...
“The collusion between the Eritrean government and the #TPLF has become more evident over the past few months. The hardliner faction of the TPLF and the Eritrean government are actively preparing to wage war against #Ethiopia.” Letter from Ethiopia’s Foreign Minister to UNSG Antonio Guterres
