Same mistake in 2 fields.
Medical physics: 2 mm shift in dose map = tolerance (not error).
Solar forecasting: 2 km cloud shift = disaster with RMSE.
γ-index (space/time/intensity tolerances) fixes it. Physics first!
New IJF paper + code 👇
lnkd.in/dbgsJrxJ
#SolarEnergy #Forecasting #GammaIndex
Prediction Markets: Friend or Foe? My latest article for Communications of the ACM. cacm.acm.org/news/predict... #technology #data #forecasting #computing #gambling #predictionmarkets #CACM
The market cap of GM, Ford, and Chrysler put together is less than $150B. The market cap of Tesla is $1.3T and the market cap of Nvidia is $4T. The market is #forecasting accurately or inaccurately that future of U.S. economy will be robots (Tesla) and AI (Nvidia).
TodaysHotList.com
#PredictionMarket #Forecasting #MarketSentiment #Betting
#Odds #Polimarket #Finance #DeFi #ForexAnalysis #StockMarketNews
#Elon #Musk #Terafab
NOAA's National Weather Service eyes the cloud for next-gen applications;
Technology improvements will add mobility to the NWS throughout the U.S.
Our news release: www.noaa.gov/news-release...
noaa.gov and nws.noaa.gov #weather #forecasting
Here's my forecast for the day:
If oil stays at $105/barrel, we will see regular gasoline hit $4.00/gal. (nat'l avg.) in April.
This will add about 0.6 to the CPI. So, expect inflation in April to hit 3.0% from a year earlier (up from 2.4% in February).
So much winning!!!
#Forecast #Forecasting
🌞⛈️World Meteorology Day!🌪️❄️
Today celebrates the founding of the World Meteorological Organization in 1950 and how the study of meteorology adds to the safety and wellbeing of society.
#worldmeteorologyday #meteorology #weather #prediction #forecasting #science #news #noaa #preparedness #davemurray
Dominate Google with SEO forecasting: ✨ Predict Keywords 📊 Set Benchmarks 👥 Outsmart Competitors �'� Estimate ROI �'� Plan Costs. Expert guidance is key. Don't leave success to chance; embrace SEO forecasting! �'� #SEO #Forecasting
TodaysHotList.com
#PredictionMarket #Forecasting #MarketSentiment #Betting
#Odds #Polimarket #Finance #DeFi #ForexAnalysis #StockMarketNews
#IranWar, #OilCrisis, #StraitOfHormuz #EnergyMarket
🚨 Do #LLMs really forecast inflation?
On March 20 join #AMLEDS webinar with Tatevik Sekhposyan (TexasA&M): “ChatMacro: Evaluating Inflation Forecasts of Generative #AI.”
ChatGPT can look strong in pseudo OOS tests, but performs poorly in true real-time #forecasting.
🕚 11AM ET · 4PM CET
#EconSky
Stock news image
Investment wisdom from Ray Dalio
Recent trends and performance don't predict future results. Avoid extrapolating short-term patterns into long-term expectations.
#InvestingWisdom #Dalio #RecencyBias #Forecasting #PatternRecognition
TodaysHotList.com
#PredictionMarket #Forecasting #MarketSentiment #Betting
#Odds #Polimarket #Finance #DeFi #ForexAnalysis #StockMarketNews
#IranWar, #OilCrisis, #StraitOfHormuz #EnergyMarket
StFT: Spatio-temporal Fourier Transformer for Long-term Dynamics Prediction
Da Long, Shandian Zhe, Samuel Williams, Leonid Oliker, Zhe Bai
Action editor: Jacek Cyranka
https://openreview.net/forum?id=o9Cb0ri2oW
#stft #forecasting #fourier
Rule 🥇: temporal leakage is a sin. You don't use the future to forecast the past.
Rule 🥈: don’t forecast what you can measure.
Rule 🥉: counterfactuals don’t get spoilers. If it knows what happened next, it's not a counterfactual. It’s fanfiction.
#forecasting #causalinference #mlsky
✨⭐ Here it comes! A new paper with fantastic Fei Shang That's another methodological paper for the R package bsvars! 🩷💛 Just have a look at the abstract! Rest assured we provide solid backing for each of them 🦾💪
More details coming up soon.
#bsvars #forecasting #MarkovSwitching #rstats #econsky
US Blizzards, Polar Vortex, Heat Domes, Atmospheric Rivers - Weather Weirding, Weather Wilding and Weather Whiplashing…https://youtu.be/hKIM1RRuH8o?si=ukUdkSJ5S1vElxsQ
#weather #weatherphotography #forecasting #meteorology #climate #Arctic #poles #climatechange
This image shows a figure titled Number of Undisclosed Items by Industry.
This study examines how firms’ disclosures align with #analysts’ information needs in #capitalmarkets, using detailed data from analysts’ #forecasting models provided by Visible Alpha.
Read: spkl.io/63321AIUYD
Subscribe: spkl.io/63325AIUYH
#Accountingsky
A CRM is not just a digital Rolodex; it is a strategic tool for forecasting your future revenue. By looking at your current pipeline, you can predict what your next three months will look like. Plan your business growth with confidence and precision.
Book your demo today
#Forecasting #BusinessStra
Stay on top of your cash flow by:
• #Tracking payments and expenses closely
• #Forecasting cash needs ahead of time
• #Maintaining a healthy cash reserve
Yes, revenue is important.
Психоистория Азимова как техническое задание: как я построил мультиагентный AI-прогнозатор Гэри Селдон пер...
#asimov #forecasting #llm #multi-agent #architecture #multi-agent #systems #multi-agent #системы #multiagent #sci-fi
Origin | Interest | Match
PredictionsMarketPlace.com
Affiliate Disclosure
#Polymarket #Clawd #Crypto #Trading #Agent #Markets
#DeFi #Web3 #Humans #Bitcoin #Robots #Sports #Gambling #Bots #Tech #Trump #Epstein #Uber, #OpenClaw #AIBubble,#Betting, #Forecasting, #TradingBot
You already know that you can visualize your metrics from #Prometheus in #OpenSearch Dashboard's Discover Metrics experience (if not, check the comments).
But what if we could add some #AI sauce for #anomalyDetection & #forecasting?
New RFC @opensearch.org
github.com/opensearch-p...
@prometheus.io
University of Bayreuth launches elite master’s programme in Ecological Forecasting
www.uni-bayreuth.de/en/press...
#Elitestudiengang #UBT #UniBayreuth #Ecological #Forecasting #StudierenInBayreuth
Forecasting isn’t guessing.
It’s structured analysis + disciplined assumptions.
#Forecasting #Analytics #GoAnalytics
My weekly newsletter is out!
This week's agenda:
🔹 Open Source of the Week - the Heval project
🔹 New learning resources
🔹 Book of the week - AI Agents and Applications by Roberto Infante
ramikrispin.substack.com/p/forecastin...
#ai #datascience #forecasting #julialang
This figure compares forecasting performance metrics (R 2 OOS, overall accuracy, and F1) for benchmark models under two regimes: U.S.-only (left bar), and global (right bar) data. Bars of the same color correspond to the same rolling training window size (5, 21, 252, and 512 trading days). Each duplet of adjacent bars illustrates the performance change attributable to expanding the training data from U.S.-only to Global. Benchmark models include linear (OLS, Lasso, Ridge, Elastic Net, and PCR), ensemble (XGBoost, CatBoost, and LightGBM), and neural network (NN-S and NN-L) models. ‘Overall Acc.’ denotes overall directional accuracy, and ‘F1’ refers to the macro-averaged F1 score. In the middle panel, the horizontal line indicates the 50% overall accuracy. ‘H’ indicates that the model is estimated using the Huber loss.
This paper presents an empirical study of time series foundation models in global #financial markets, focusing on #forecasting daily excess returns across 94 countries over more than three decades.
Read: spkl.io/63329Ax5eU
Subscribe: spkl.io/63323Ax5et
#FinanceSky
There are no Champions in Supervised Long-Term Time Series Forecasting
Lorenzo Brigato, Rafael Morand, Knut Joar Strømmen et al.
Action editor: Devendra Dhami
https://openreview.net/forum?id=yO1JuBpTBB
#benchmarking #forecasting #benchmark
