BNM Adopts Multi-Scenario Approach as Middle East Conflict Clouds Economic Outlook KUALA LUMPUR — Escalating tensions in West Asia are adding further uncertainty to the global economic landscape, prompting Malaysia’s central bank to adopt a multi-scenario strategy to navigate potential risks. Bank Negara Malaysia acknowledged that the current environment has made economic forecasting increasingly complex, with projections subject to rapid changes driven by geopolitical developments. Deputy …

BNM Adopts Multi-Scenario Approach as Middle East Conflict Clouds Economic Outlook #BankNegaraMalaysia #EconomicOutlook #MiddleEastConflict #GlobalEconomy #GeopoliticalRisks

Iran Testimony at UN Human Rights Council Raises Geopolitical Risks UNHRC testimony on Mar 27, 2026 (Al Jazeera) heightens diplomatic risk; the 47-member Council's scrutiny could widen regional risk premia and affect energy and credit markets.

Iran Testimony at UN Human Rights Council Raises Geopolitical Risks: UNHRC testimony on Mar 27, 2026 (Al Jazeera) heightens diplomatic risk; the 47-member Council's scrutiny could widen regional risk premia and affect… 👈 Read full analysis #Iran #HumanRights #UNHRC #GeopoliticalRisks #EnergyMarkets

Force Majeure Unlikely Despite Strait Of Hormuz Shipping Disruption – Analyst KUALA LUMPUR, March 1 (Bernama) — Gulf national oil companies are unlikely to declare force majeure pre-emptively amid elevated geopolitical risks in the Middle East, following the reported sea traffic disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, said SPI Asset Management managing partner Stephen Innes today. He added that such a move would typically require demonstrable inability to perform contractual obligations, and Gulf national oil companies would more likely manage nominations as well as adjust logistics first, stressing that disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz would not automatically trigger force majeure. Force majeure in the oil and gas industry is a […]

Force Majeure Unlikely Despite Strait Of Hormuz Shipping Disruption – Analyst #ForceMajeure #StraitOfHormuz #GeopoliticalRisks #OilAndGas #ShippingDisruption

Renewed US-Iran Conflict Fueling Market Volatility, Raising Oil Prices And Forex risks KUALA LUMPUR, March 1 (Bernama) — Global markets turned cautious on Sunday following the latest United States military action against Iran, with economists warning that heightened geopolitical risks due to the situation in the Middle East could reinforce risk-off sentiment and affect oil prices, the ringgit, and trade flows, said analysts. Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said the renewed conflict injects fresh uncertainty into global trade, particularly through its direct impact on energy markets. At the time of writing, WTI crude was up 2.78 per cent at US$67.02 per barrel, while Brent crude rose […]

Renewed US-Iran Conflict Fueling Market Volatility, Raising Oil Prices And Forex risks #USIranConflict #MarketVolatility #OilPrices #ForexRisks #GeopoliticalRisks

🚀 BITCOIN DECLINE TRACKING FOR 5TH WEEK

Bitcoin eyes another weekly dip, poised for the first time since 2022, as geopolitical tensions loom 🚨 • 🔥 Markets volatile amid rising risks 🔥 • 🔥 Investors brace for correctional phase 🚨

#CryptoWatch #GeopoliticalRisks

The ringgit opened lower driven by the easing of geopolitical risks and the rise of the US dollar KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit opened lower against the US dollar on Friday, driven by external factors as easing geopolitical tensions increased demand for the United States (US) currency. At 8am, the local currency weakened to 3.9510/9610 against the US dollar from 3.9440/9535 at the close on Thursday. According to media reports, the US and Iran are scheduled to hold talks in Oman on Friday following the incident of an Iranian drone being shot down earlier this week. IPPFA Sdn Bhd Investment Strategy Director and Economist Mohd Sedek Jantan said weak US labour market data including a decline in job vacancies, […]

The ringgit opened lower driven by the easing of geopolitical risks and the rise of the US dollar #Ringgit #USdollar #ForexMarket #GeopoliticalRisks #CurrencyExchange

Attacks on Tankers in the Black Sea Raise Risks for Oil Markets and Kazakhstan’s Exports - The Times Of Central Asia Recent drone attacks on the Delta Harmony and Matilda oil tankers in the Black Sea have added to the growing geopolitical risks facing the global oil market.

Latest from our Jonathan Campion drone attacks near Novorossiysk have highlighted growing security risks to Kazakhstan’s key oil export route via the CPC even as shipments remain uninterrupted https://ow.ly/Qwmm50XWQsM #Kazakhstan #Oil #CPC #EnergySecurity #GeopoliticalRisks #OilExports

BMO: US #equityfutures are suggesting another down day, after the #S&P500 fell 0.2% on Tuesday amid heightened #geopoliticalrisks
#markets #stocks #stockmarkets

#AIindustry faces #bubble concerns despite #Google’s #AIadvancements, including the launch of #Gemini3 and an updated #NanoBanana. #Nvidia’s earnings, while strong, raised concerns about #geopoliticalrisks with #China impacting its market.…

Emerging Europe’s growth holds up but risks loom, says wiiw Fiscal fragility, weakening industrial demand from Germany, and the prolonged fallout from Russia’s war in Ukraine threaten to undermine growth momentum in parts of the region.

Fiscal fragility, weakening industrial demand from Germany, and the prolonged fallout from Russia’s war in Ukraine threaten to undermine growth momentum in parts of the region. Bne IntelliNews #EmergingEurope #EconomicGrowth #GeopoliticalRisks

The world economy in an age of disorder At a time such as this, when the world system is being overturned, it is dangerous to have confidence in what lies ahead.

🌍 GLOBAL ECONOMY: Disorder is the NEW ORDER! 💥

#GlobalEconomy #EconomicTrends #InvestmentStrategy #GeopoliticalRisks #EconomicDisruption

Read More: zurl.co/U32pE

US-Venezuela Tensions Threaten Indian Investments - IndiaWest News US-Venezuela Tensions Threaten Indian Investments.

US-Venezuela Tensions Threaten Indian Investments

Full Story: indiawest.com/us-venezuela...

#USVenezuelaTensions #IndianInvestmentsAtRisk #GeopoliticalRisks #DiplomaticStrain #EconomicUncertainty #InvestmentThreat #GlobalDiplomacy #StrategicTensions #IndiaAbroad #ForeignPolicyWatch #NewDelhiNews

Geopolitics Drives More Cyberattacks Better security translates to necessary ‘cost or inconvenience,’ Singapore’s top cyber regulator says.

🌐 CYBER WARFARE: The New Global Battlefield! 🚨

#CyberSecurity #GlobalThreat #GeopoliticalRisks #InformationWarfare #TechSecurity

Read More: zurl.co/2Ex85

Foreign Buyers Are Backing Treasury Bonds. It Comes with Strings Attached. With hedge funds and other investors becoming more dominant, this haven might not be quite as safe as it used to be.

🌐 TREASURY BONDS: Global Buyers' Secret CHESS GAME! 🔍

#GlobalFinance #TreasuryBonds #InvestmentStrategy #EconomicTrends #GeopoliticalRisks

Read More: zurl.co/bQJOs

#auspol #climateimpacts #geopoliticalrisks

A Massive Hedge Fund Now Closes As US Investors Retreat Discover the decline of New Silk Road, a hedge fund that has shut down after 16 years due to weak performance and capital withdrawal.

A Massive Hedge Fund Now Closes As US Investors Retreat

#HedgeFund #Investing #FinancialNews #MarketTrends #NewSilkRoad #USInvestors #AsianMarkets #InvestmentStrategy #Finance #EconomicDownturn #InvestmentManagement #SingaporeFinance #GeopoliticalRisks #AssetManagement #FundClosure #News #Markets

Geopolitical shifts threaten global sectors like trade, tech, energy, and finance. Policymakers must act with ESG trade routes, ethical AI, and cross-border reforms to build resilience and drive sustainable, cooperative change.

#PolicyStrategy #SDG #Trade #Equity
#GeopoliticalRisks #GlobalSolutions

Trade war, geopolitical risks top central bank concerns in UBS annual survey Investing.com -- Escalating trade tensions and geopolitical instability have overtaken economic volatility as the primary concern among global central banks, according to UBS’s 31st Annual Reserve Management Seminar Survey. The report, based on responses from nearly 40 central banks collected between May and June 2025, underscores a significant shift in risk perception. “Trade war escalation ranks #1 with 73%,” UBS wrote, with a further escalation in military conflicts cited by 51% of participants. Economic volatility, which traditionally tops the list, dropped to third place, noted by 49% of respondents. In a marked change from previous years, central banks now view political and geopolitical factors as the central threat to financial stability. UBS highlighted that concerns around “the weaponization of FX reserves” rose to 49%, up sharply from 32% in 2024 and 14% in 2023. The survey also found that most reserve managers expect inflation to remain sticky. While 54% anticipate U.S. headline CPI falling to 2–3%, 40% believe it will linger between 3–4% over the next year. Additionally, 83% expect Fed policy rates to stay between 3–4%, and 43% forecast a U.S. recession by 2026. On U.S. politics, UBS said respondents were wary of a second Trump administration, with 65% citing potential erosion of Federal Reserve independence as a key concern. Nearly half also fear a deterioration in the rule of law and data quality. In terms of asset allocation, gold is said to remain the top pick for risk-adjusted returns over five years. Emerging market debt and green bonds also reportedly drew interest, though UBS said central banks appear to be slowing their move into equities. The dollar remains the dominant global reserve currency, but the euro and renminbi are gaining ground.

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Israel-Iran War Exposes Asia's Vulnerability to Middle East Oil Disruptions | AI News Brew The recent 12-day war between Israel and Iran has highlighted a critical vulnerability in Asia's energy security, exposing the region's heavy reliance on oil and gas shipments through the strategic St

Israel-Iran War Exposes Asia's Vulnerability to Middle East Oil Disruptions
haiku.ainewsbrew.com/article/4861

#IsraelIranWar #AsiaEnergySecurity #OilDependence #StraitOfHormuz #RenewableEnergy #GeopoliticalRisks #EnergyTransition #MiddleEastConflict

Congressman proposes bills to regulate investments tied to China and sanctions Congressman outlines legislation to restrict investment in Chinese-related stocks and funds.

Congress is taking bold steps to safeguard American investors by proposing new regulations on investments related to China and other high-risk nations.

Click to read more!

#US #CitizenPortal #USInvestors #InvestmentAccountability #GeopoliticalRisks #FinancialTransparency

Bitcoin and Ethereum Now Drive Whopping $1.24bn in Crypto Inflows  June 2025 sees significant Bitcoin and Ethereum inflows, illustrating growing investor confidence in cryptocurrency markets.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Now Drive Whopping $1.24bn in Crypto Inflows


#Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoInflows #DigitalAssets #MarketTrends #InvestmentNews #Cryptocurrency #FinancialGrowth #Stablecoins #GeopoliticalRisks #DeFi #Altcoins #MarketAnalysis #CryptoInvestors #CryptoInvesting #CryptoNews

Defense stocks were already outperforming. How the Iran conflict changes their outlook - CNBC Defense stocks were already outperforming. How the Iran conflict changes their outlook  CNBC

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Iran's Threat to Block Strait of Hormuz Raises Global Oil Supply Concerns | AI News Brew <p>The Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway between Iran and Oman, faces potential disruption as Iran renews threats to block the passage, raising concerns about global oil supply and prices [1][2]. ...

Iran's Threat to Block Strait of Hormuz Raises Global Oil Supply Concerns
ainewsbrew.com/article/4761

#StraitOfHormuz #OilSupply #IranTensions #GlobalTrade #EnergyMarkets #GeopoliticalRisks #MaritimeSecurity #OilPrices #MiddleEastCrisis #GlobalEconomy

Markets Hold Steady as Trump Weighs Military Action in Iran Markets Wobble as Investors Wait on Trump’s Decision About War with Iran Wall Street is showing cautious optimism following the

Markets Watch Closely as Trump Weighs War Decision on Iran

#TrumpNews #IsraelIranConflict #StockMarketUpdate
#OilPrices #GlobalMarkets #MiddleEastTensions #InvestorAlert
#GeopoliticalRisks #USMilitaryNews #EconomicOutlook

Citi’s Willer expects AI trade to outweigh Middle East risks Investing.com -- Citi’s Global Head of Macro and Asset Allocation maintains a constructive stance on equities despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, highlighting a renewed focus on the AI trade as a key driver of market sentiment. “We remain overweight equities, including the U.S., as we see a continued return of the AI trade,” Dirk Willer said in Citi’s June Global Asset Allocation report. The note argues that recent geopolitical events, including those in the Middle East, have not materially derailed risk appetite. “We expect any impact from the Middle East tension on risky assets to be relatively short lived,” Willer wrote, adding that if oil were to spike again, it would likely be brief due to sufficient spare capacity. Willer suggests such a move could even present an opportunity: “If risky assets were to be impacted by another oil spike, we would be ready to increase our equity exposure further.” Citi retains a +1 Overweight position in equities and continues to favor U.S. stocks, citing strong AI momentum and supportive earnings. The bank’s U.S. equity strategist recently raised the S&P 500 year-end target to 6,300, with a bull case of 7,000, underpinned by a “fading tariff fears”, which lead to lower growth concerns. Within equities, Citi reduced its Overweight in Europe slightly to make room for an added Overweight in emerging Asia, particularly Korea, Taiwan, and India, which are seen as beneficiaries of the AI revival. However, Willer acknowledges that U.S. tech outperformance poses a headwind to European equity gains. “Tech outperforming in the U.S. makes it less likely that Europe outperforms the U.S.,” the report said. “Our strategists suggest that Europe only outperforms 30% of the time when the tech sector is outperforming in the U.S.,” it added. Sector-wise, Citi remains Overweight technology, Communication Services, Banks, and Utilities, while underweighting Real Estate, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, and Materials. The Wall Street firm also flagged valuation concerns in U.S. equities but believes the recent correction has “reset the clock,” reducing the near-term risk of a peak in the rally. Elsewhere, the U.K. remains Citi’s underweight call.

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Oil price moves from Israel-Iran conflict likely to dictate path of stocks - Citi Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed. Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website. Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

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Bank of Indonesia keeps rates unchanged amid geopolitical risks Investing.com -- Indonesia’s central bank kept interest rates steady on Wednesday, maintaining a cautious stance due to external uncertainties and ongoing geopolitical tensions. Bank Indonesia left its benchmark seven-day reverse repo rate unchanged at 5.50%, while also holding the overnight deposit facility rate at 4.75% and the lending facility rate at 6.25%. The decision comes amid heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and was made hours before the Federal Reserve’s own rate announcement, factors that likely influenced the central bank’s wait-and-see approach. Bank Indonesia Governor Perry Warjiyo stated at a press conference that the rate decision aligns with the central bank’s goals of keeping inflation on target, maintaining rupiah stability, and supporting economic growth. Warjiyo emphasized that Indonesia’s economic growth needs continued support. The central bank projects the country’s growth for this year to range between 4.6% and 5.4%. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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Fed policymakers gather amid rising geopolitical risks, unclear tariff impact By Howard Schneider WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Federal Reserve policymakers will begin a two-day meeting on Tuesday with escalating tensions in the Middle East risking a new commodity price shock and fresh U.S. data expected to show a drop in retail sales and sluggish factory output in May. The U.S. central bank is widely anticipated to leave its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range, where it has been since December, and repeat that it can’t give much guidance until it is clearer whether President Donald Trump’s import tariffs and fiscal policies push inflation higher, undercut growth, or - as his administration contends will happen - keep growth on track while prices ease. Trump has demanded immediate rate cuts. Several days of intense missile exchanges between Israel and Iran, however, presented the Fed with even more reason for caution after oil prices jumped and presented a possible new source of inflation, though crude oil indices were declining along with U.S. bond yields on Monday after reports that the Iranian government was seeking talks with the U.S. and Israel to end the conflict. Major U.S. equity indices rose. Still, the fighting highlighted the uncertainty Fed officials say has gripped their policy debate since Trump returned to power in January and unveiled a far more aggressive effort than expected to raise import taxes and rewrite global trade rules. Fed officials have largely expected that Trump’s trade policies will have a stagflationary effect on the U.S. economy, simultaneously slowing growth and raising prices, with the monetary policy path - whether rate cuts or an extended hold of borrowing costs at the current level - dependent on which problem seems to be more serious. Retail sales and industrial production data due to be released on Tuesday morning could add weight to the evidence the economy is slowing. Economists polled by Reuters expect retail sales fell 0.7% in May after recent months where households appeared to rush some purchases to avoid coming import levies, while industrial output is forecast to rise just 0.1%. "Consumers likely took a break from spending in May following a strong increase in March and a lackluster April," said Scott Anderson, chief U.S. economist at BMO. He added that he expects industrial production fell slightly over the month due to "trade war uncertainty, rising input prices, and slowing U.S. and global demand." The Fed will issue a new policy statement as well as updated projections for the economy and the benchmark interest rate at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT) on Wednesday, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell scheduled to hold a press conference half an hour later. FED FORECASTS The central bank’s Summary of Economic Projections may draw more attention than the policy decision itself, as analysts and investors look for evidence of how Fed officials’ views of the outlook have changed since their last set of projections in March, before the scope of Trump’s tariff plans became clear but also before he delayed some of the stiffest levies in the face of largely negative market reaction. Fed officials in March marked down their expectations for economic growth this year and raised their level of expected inflation, but left unchanged the median outlook for two quarter-percentage-point rate cuts this year. Though that rate outlook matched the one in December, the spread of views in the Fed’s "dot plot" chart narrowed, and some analysts anticipate a further hawkish shift in light of the central bank’s emphasis on keeping inflation controlled and expectations that Trump’s new tariffs still will lead to price increases. "These stagflationary revisions don’t point to a clear direction of the revision to the dots. Even so, we think the dots will revise in a modestly hawkish direction" with only a single rate cut this year.

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Is the market overreacting to the Middle East crisis? UBS weighs in Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks. Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed. Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website. It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website. Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

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European shares tumble as trade, geopolitical tensions mount (Reuters) -European shares dropped on Thursday, in their fourth straight session of declines, as trade optimism stemming from U.S.-China trade talks faded, while mounting geopolitical tensions led to the markets being more cautious. The pan-European STOXX 600 was down 0.4% at 549.41 points at 0707 GMT, while most regional bourses were also in the red. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he was willing to extend the deadline for trade talks but it was not likely necessary as the U.S. will send offer letters to countries in a week or so. However, markets were a little concerned about the European Union being able to clinch a deal before Trump’s July 8 deadline - when the tariff pause expires. Geopolitical worries added more caution to markets already navigating U.S. tariff-driven uncertainty after trade talks with China did not offer a solution to de-escalate longstanding tensions. U.S. personnel were being moved out of the Middle East because "it could be a dangerous place" amid rising tensions with Iran, Trump said on Wednesday. In the market, travel and leisure stocks were the worst hit, down 1.7%, while industrial miners fell 1.1%. Among stocks, BE Semiconductor Industries (AS:BESI) jumped 7.7% after raising its long-term financial targets ahead of its investor day. Tesco (OTC:TSCDY) gained 1.3% after Britain’s biggest food retailer’s domestic sales growth accelerated in its first quarter.

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